Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
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Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem

In response to recent developments, Hezbollah officials in Lebanon have reverted to a language of threats and intimidation, alongside disparaging remarks aimed at their critics.

This shift comes amid ongoing conflicts in the south and amidst calls to end the country’s presidential vacuum.

Most notably, Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, emphasized the exclusive role of resistance in expelling occupation forces, reclaiming independence, and defending Lebanon.

He dismissed those advocating for peaceful means or utilizing social media for their future, asserting that Hezbollah was on the right path, forging ahead while “others play and amuse themselves in their rooms.”

Former Minister and MP Ashraf Rifi views Hezbollah’s return to a threatening tone as a consequence of its divergent choices from those of most Lebanese.

Ghayath Yazbek of the Lebanese Forces (LF) characterized Hezbollah's leadership as erratic, vacillating between rigidity and accommodation, often delivering harsh or mild messages as circumstances dictate, all without popular or political consensus or state support.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Rifi urged Hezbollah to cease its threats, affirming, “Lebanon is a pluralistic nation; no single entity can dictate its choices.”

He criticized Hezbollah’s alignment with Iranian interests, contrasting it with the desires of Lebanese voices rejecting an Iranian hegemony over Lebanon.

Rifi argues that regardless of any settlements, he rejects Hezbollah’s claim of a divine victory internally. He emphasizes Lebanon’s right to determine its destiny, urging Hezbollah to reconsider its stance.

Rifi also points out that Hezbollah, which once boasted 74 parliament seats, now barely holds 51, indicating a loss of influence that could have enabled them to appoint a president.

On his part, Yazbek criticized Hezbollah’s different approach to assessing gains and losses.

“Victory (to Hezbollah) must be total, or it’s meaningless. What’s the use if the people suffer and Israel is destroyed?” questioned Yazbek.

Moreover, Yazbek emphasizes that the challenges with Hezbollah didn’t start on Oct. 7.

“This conflict has worsened the fundamental divide between a state and a non-state entity. While gunfire may temporarily overshadow this deep crisis, its lasting impact remains, and we’ll face it again post-war, reverting to pre-Oct. 7 conditions,” explained the LF official.

These statements reflect deepening divisions exacerbated by recent conflicts and underscore a broader crisis in governance and national identity. They highlight ongoing tensions over Hezbollah’s militaristic stance and the absence of a unified political and popular mandate.

The discourse continues to evolve, with various Lebanese leaders rejecting Hezbollah’s militarization of national discourse and advocating for inclusive dialogue and adherence to international resolutions aimed at disarming militias.

This push underscores a persistent struggle to define Lebanon’s path forward amidst regional conflicts and internal discord.



US Military: ISIS Attacks on Track to Double in Iraq, Syria Compared to Last Year

FILE - A motorist passes by a flag of ISIS in central Rawah, 281 kilometers northwest of Baghdad, Iraq, on July 22, 2014. (AP Photo, File)
FILE - A motorist passes by a flag of ISIS in central Rawah, 281 kilometers northwest of Baghdad, Iraq, on July 22, 2014. (AP Photo, File)
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US Military: ISIS Attacks on Track to Double in Iraq, Syria Compared to Last Year

FILE - A motorist passes by a flag of ISIS in central Rawah, 281 kilometers northwest of Baghdad, Iraq, on July 22, 2014. (AP Photo, File)
FILE - A motorist passes by a flag of ISIS in central Rawah, 281 kilometers northwest of Baghdad, Iraq, on July 22, 2014. (AP Photo, File)

The US Central Command said Wednesday that ISIS is trying "to reconstitute” as the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq is on track to double those of the previous year.

ISIS has claimed 153 attacks in both countries in the first six months of 2024, CENTCOM said in a statement. According to a US defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity as he wasn't allowed to speak publicly on the matter, the group was behind 121 attacks in Syria and Iraq in 2023.

“The increase in attacks indicates ISIS is attempting to reconstitute following several years of decreased capability,” The Associated Press quoted CENTCOM as saying.

A coalition of more than 80 countries, led by the United States, was formed to fight ISIS, which lost its hold on the territory it controlled in Iraq and 2017 and in Syria in 2019, although sleeper cells remain in both countries and abroad.

Iraqi officials say that they can keep ISIS threat under control with their own forces and have entered into talks with the US aimed at winding down the mission of the US-led military coalition in Iraq.
The talks come at a time of increased domestic tensions over the US military presence.

From October to February, an umbrella group of Iran-backed militias calling itself the Islamic Resistance in Iraq launched regular drone attacks on bases housing US troops in Iraq and Syria, which they said was in retaliation for Washington’s support of Israel in the ongoing war in Gaza and were aimed at forcing US forces to withdraw from Iraq.

Those attacks largely halted after three US soldiers were killed in a strike on a base in Jordan, near the Syrian border in late January, prompting US retaliatory strikes in Iraq.

On Tuesday, two Iraqi militia officials said they had launched a new drone attack targeting the Ain al-Asad air base in Iraq. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to comment publicly. It was unclear whether the attack had hit its target. US officials did not immediately respond to requests for comment.