Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
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Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem

In response to recent developments, Hezbollah officials in Lebanon have reverted to a language of threats and intimidation, alongside disparaging remarks aimed at their critics.

This shift comes amid ongoing conflicts in the south and amidst calls to end the country’s presidential vacuum.

Most notably, Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, emphasized the exclusive role of resistance in expelling occupation forces, reclaiming independence, and defending Lebanon.

He dismissed those advocating for peaceful means or utilizing social media for their future, asserting that Hezbollah was on the right path, forging ahead while “others play and amuse themselves in their rooms.”

Former Minister and MP Ashraf Rifi views Hezbollah’s return to a threatening tone as a consequence of its divergent choices from those of most Lebanese.

Ghayath Yazbek of the Lebanese Forces (LF) characterized Hezbollah's leadership as erratic, vacillating between rigidity and accommodation, often delivering harsh or mild messages as circumstances dictate, all without popular or political consensus or state support.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Rifi urged Hezbollah to cease its threats, affirming, “Lebanon is a pluralistic nation; no single entity can dictate its choices.”

He criticized Hezbollah’s alignment with Iranian interests, contrasting it with the desires of Lebanese voices rejecting an Iranian hegemony over Lebanon.

Rifi argues that regardless of any settlements, he rejects Hezbollah’s claim of a divine victory internally. He emphasizes Lebanon’s right to determine its destiny, urging Hezbollah to reconsider its stance.

Rifi also points out that Hezbollah, which once boasted 74 parliament seats, now barely holds 51, indicating a loss of influence that could have enabled them to appoint a president.

On his part, Yazbek criticized Hezbollah’s different approach to assessing gains and losses.

“Victory (to Hezbollah) must be total, or it’s meaningless. What’s the use if the people suffer and Israel is destroyed?” questioned Yazbek.

Moreover, Yazbek emphasizes that the challenges with Hezbollah didn’t start on Oct. 7.

“This conflict has worsened the fundamental divide between a state and a non-state entity. While gunfire may temporarily overshadow this deep crisis, its lasting impact remains, and we’ll face it again post-war, reverting to pre-Oct. 7 conditions,” explained the LF official.

These statements reflect deepening divisions exacerbated by recent conflicts and underscore a broader crisis in governance and national identity. They highlight ongoing tensions over Hezbollah’s militaristic stance and the absence of a unified political and popular mandate.

The discourse continues to evolve, with various Lebanese leaders rejecting Hezbollah’s militarization of national discourse and advocating for inclusive dialogue and adherence to international resolutions aimed at disarming militias.

This push underscores a persistent struggle to define Lebanon’s path forward amidst regional conflicts and internal discord.



Alarming Resurgence of Cholera Cases in Houthi-Controlled Areas in Yemen

Thanks to the support of the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center (KSrelief), WHO has made great strides in Yemen (UN)
Thanks to the support of the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center (KSrelief), WHO has made great strides in Yemen (UN)
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Alarming Resurgence of Cholera Cases in Houthi-Controlled Areas in Yemen

Thanks to the support of the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center (KSrelief), WHO has made great strides in Yemen (UN)
Thanks to the support of the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center (KSrelief), WHO has made great strides in Yemen (UN)

The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned of an alarming resurgence of cholera cases in Houthi-held territories in the north of Yemen, with the number of recorded cases nearing 100,000.

Meanwhile, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasted a heightened risk of flooding during Yemen's rainy season, which runs until September.

In its Health Cluster Bulletin, WHO said the cholera outbreak continues in Yemen covering most of the country.

It said 112,583 suspected cholera cases have been reported in the Yemeni governorates since the beginning of this year.

Most cases were recorded in Houthi-controlled areas, accounting for 83% of the total cases compared to 17% in governorates under the internationally-recognized government.

As of July 6, 2024, the bulletin said 93,000 suspected cases have been reported in Houthi-controlled areas.

It noted that the Health Cluster, with coordination with the relevant authorities and partners, is coordinating a rapid response to the outbreak.

The Yemeni government, in cooperation with the UN, continues the fight against cholera and to open cholera treatment centers.

In return, the Houthis ban child vaccination campaigns, hide the number of cholera cases and deaths in the areas under their control, while the militias’ media outlets and mosques continue to warn against vaccines, describing them as Western conspiracies.

The lack of vaccination campaigns in Houthi-controlled areas have caused the resurgence of many diseases, including polio, years after Yemen was announced free of the pandemic.

Flooding Risks

A cholera outbreak in Houthi-controlled areas came while FAO warned of a heightened risk of flooding, especially in coastal and low-lying areas, in the coming weeks.

In its Agrometeorological Early Warning Bulletin, FAO said factors such as heavy rainfall, inadequate drainage systems, devegetation, and other environmental conditions can contribute to flash floods.

The resulting exposure of vulnerable agricultural resources further amplifies the threat to food security, the bulletin warned.

According to UN data, 6 million people were projected to be one step away from famine in Yemen due to the sharp decline in aid provided by donors, and the suspension, since the end of last year, of the food program that distributes aid in Houthi-controlled areas.

FAO said July, in particular, typically records significant rainfall across many areas of Yemen.

It said that with daily precipitation levels expected to rise, reaching cumulative values surpassing 200 mm in areas like Ibb governorate, the Central Highlands and parts of the Southern Uplands are poised to receive the heaviest rainfall in the upcoming period.

Additionally, the bulletin said areas such as Hadramaut governorate, which typically experience minimal rainfall, are predicted to receive substantial precipitation nearing 40 mm.

FAO showed that these meteorological projections, coupled with the hydro-topographical characteristics of low-lying and coastal watersheds, could result in the reemergence of flash floods, with varying probabilities across different areas.

Some areas in Yemen will experience temperatures exceeding 44 degrees Celsius, specifically, the northern areas of Hadramaut and Al Maharah governorates, as well as coastal spots in Lahj.

Also, temperatures around 40 degrees Celsius will be recorded in various locations along the Red Sea (such as Hodeidah and Hajjah), the Gulf of Aden (Lahj), and the inland areas of Shabwah, Marib, Al Jawf, Hadramaut, and Al Maharah.