Blinken Heads to Middle East for 11th Time since Gaza War, but Truce Prospects Uncertain

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken looks on during a joint press conference between the US President and the German Chancellor at the chancellery in Berlin, Germany, 18 October 2024.(EPA)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken looks on during a joint press conference between the US President and the German Chancellor at the chancellery in Berlin, Germany, 18 October 2024.(EPA)
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Blinken Heads to Middle East for 11th Time since Gaza War, but Truce Prospects Uncertain

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken looks on during a joint press conference between the US President and the German Chancellor at the chancellery in Berlin, Germany, 18 October 2024.(EPA)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken looks on during a joint press conference between the US President and the German Chancellor at the chancellery in Berlin, Germany, 18 October 2024.(EPA)

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is heading again to the Middle East, making his 11th trip to the region since the war in Gaza erupted last year and as Israel steps up attacks against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The State Department said Blinken would depart Monday for a weeklong trip to Israel and a number of Arab countries on a visit that also comes as Israel weighs retaliation against Iran for a ballistic missile attack earlier this month.  

The trip had been expected after President Joe Biden said last week he would dispatch Blinken to the region following Israel’s killing of Hamas military chief Yahya Sinwar, a move that some believe could open a window for new talks on a ceasefire proposal that has been languishing for months.

In Israel on Tuesday, Blinken will meet Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Isaac Herzog, according to Israeli officials.

“Secretary Blinken will discuss the importance of bringing the war in Gaza to an end, securing the release of all hostages, and alleviating the suffering of the Palestinian people," State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said in a statement.

In the region, Blinken will discuss planning for when the conflict ends and “the need to chart a new path forward that enables Palestinians to rebuild their lives,” Miller added.

He said Blinken also would underscore the need for a dramatic increase in the amount of humanitarian aid reaching Gaza, something that Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin made clear in a letter to Israeli officials last week. That letter reminded Israel that the Biden administration could be forced by US law to curtail some forms of military aid should the delivery of humanitarian assistance continue to be hindered.

In addition to the conflict in Gaza, Blinken will also raise the importance the administration places on reaching a diplomatic resolution to the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon and elsewhere.

“He will reaffirm the US commitment to work with partners across the region to de-escalate tensions and provide lasting stability,” Miller said in the statement.

Since the Hamas attacks in Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, and the Israeli response, Blinken has traveled to the Middle East 10 other times seeking an end to the crisis. His previous trips have yielded little in the way of ending hostilities, but he has managed to increase aid deliveries to Gaza in the past.

Since just last month, the situation has grown increasingly tense, sparking renewed fears of a wider regional war, particularly since Israel began ground operations in Lebanon against Hezbollah and killed its leader Hassan Nasrallah in a massive airstrike in the Beirut suburbs.

Iran has responded to Israeli attacks against its proxies with ballistic missile launches, the latest of which Israel has yet to retaliate for. Biden administration officials have cautioned Israel about its planned retaliation and believe they have won assurances from Israeli leaders that they will not hit nuclear or oil facilities.

However, Netanyahu has said repeatedly that while Israel will listen to American advice, his country will act in its own national interest. And previous US warnings about escalation have gone unheeded.



Syria Kurd Force Denies Links to Ankara Attack as Türkiye Strikes

Syrian Democratic Forces commander-in-chief Mazloum Abdi speaks during an interview with AFP in Syria's northeastern city of Hasakeh on October 26, 2024. (AFP)
Syrian Democratic Forces commander-in-chief Mazloum Abdi speaks during an interview with AFP in Syria's northeastern city of Hasakeh on October 26, 2024. (AFP)
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Syria Kurd Force Denies Links to Ankara Attack as Türkiye Strikes

Syrian Democratic Forces commander-in-chief Mazloum Abdi speaks during an interview with AFP in Syria's northeastern city of Hasakeh on October 26, 2024. (AFP)
Syrian Democratic Forces commander-in-chief Mazloum Abdi speaks during an interview with AFP in Syria's northeastern city of Hasakeh on October 26, 2024. (AFP)

The commander of a Kurdish-led force in Syria denied links to a deadly attack near Ankara claimed by Kurdish PKK militants, after Turkish strikes on Kurd-held Syria killed more than a dozen people in retaliation.

Türkiye carried out air strikes against targets linked to Kurdish militants in Iraq and Syria after Wednesday's shooting and suicide attack that killed five people at a defense firm near the Turkish capital.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said the attackers infiltrated from neighboring Syria, vowing there would be no let-up in the fight against Kurdish fighters.

"We opened an internal investigation and I can confirm that none of the attackers entered Türkiye from Syrian territory," Mazloum Abdi, the head of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) told AFP.

The SDF is a US-backed force that spearheaded fighting against the ISIS group in its last Syria strongholds before its territorial defeat in 2019.

It is dominated by the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG), viewed by Ankara as an offshoot of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) which claimed the attack on Ankara.

"We have no connection to this attack that took place in Ankara," Abdi said late Saturday from Hasakeh, a major city run by the semi-autonomous Kurdish administration in northeast Syria.

"Our battlefields are inside Syrian territory," he added.

Turkish strikes on Kurd-held Syria since Wednesday have killed 15 civilians and two fighters, according to Abdi.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based war monitor, said Türkiye has launched more than 100 strikes, most of them using drones, since Wednesday.

It said civilian infrastructure including bakeries, grain silos and power stations were hit alongside military facilities and checkpoints used by Kurdish forces.

"It seems that (Türkiye’s) goal is not just to respond to the events that took place in Ankara, but also to target institutions and sources of livelihood for the population," said Abdi.

"The main goal is to weaken and eliminate the (semi) autonomous administration, forcing the population to migrate," he said.

- 'Weak' US response -

Abdi said he was open to dialogue to de-escalate tensions but demanded an end to Türkiye’s attacks which he said are "ongoing" and suggest a potentially wider operation.

"We are ready to resolve issues with Türkiye through dialogue, but not under the pressure of attacks, so these operations must be stopped for dialogue efforts to continue," Abdi said.

Turkish troops and allied opposition factions control swaths of northern Syria following successive cross-border offensives since 2016, most of them targeting the SDF.

"The Turkish state is taking advantage of the current events in the Middle East, as attention is directed towards Gaza, Lebanon and the Israeli attack on Iran" to launch new attacks on Syria, Abdi said.

Abdi criticized his US allies for not protecting Kurdish forces, saying the position of the US-led coalition "seems weak".

The United States has about 900 troops in Syria as part of an anti-ISIS coalition.

"Their response is not at the level required to stop the attacks, and pressure must be put on Türkiye," he added, saying the strikes on Syria "not only concern us but also affect their forces."

The US presidential election on November 5 could also weaken support for the SDF if Donald Trump is elected, according to Abdi.

In 2019, Trump announced a decision to withdraw thousands of US troops from Kurdish-held Syria, paving the way for Türkiye to launch an invasion there that same year.

"In 2019, we had an unsuccessful experience with the administration of US President Trump," said the SDF commander.

"But we are confident that the United States... makes its decisions based on" strategic interests in the region.