Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has outperformed some of the goals outlined in Vision 2030, such as female workforce participation which increased to 36 percent, ahead of the 2030 target of 30 percent, according to a recent report by PwC Middle East.

The Kingdom’s economic diversification plans are beginning to bear fruit across various sectors, the report said, with the share of the non-oil economy reaching 59 percent, and non-oil GDP increasing in 2022 by 15 percent in actual terms and 28 percent in nominal terms, compared to the pre-Vision baseline.

The report stressed that Riyadh found its way to recovery through the tourism sector and the economic initiatives, which are aimed at expansion, innovation and diversification, indicating that this positive outlook was due to high oil prices and strong balance sheets at the sovereign and institutional levels.

Richard Boxshall, PwC Partner and Chief Economist commented: “The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) as a whole is making good progress towards achieving its countries’ National Visions, with areas of common focus including non-oil diversification, improving infrastructure, advancing digitalization, creating competitive business environments and workforce nationalization targets for the private sector.”

He continued: “Most GCC countries are also advancing towards their sustainability objectives, such as investing in solar generation capacity. With COP28 on the horizon, we expect the momentum and reinvestments driving this transformation to increase.”

The report highlighted the speed with which the region moved in its endeavor to secure the recovery of the non-oil economy, even in the sectors most affected by the pandemic, namely hospitality, transportation, retail and wholesale trade.

In 2022, the tourism sector in five Gulf countries, namely Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, recorded a decline of 8 percent compared to 2019 levels. However, by the last quarter of 2022, three of them, namely Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, recorded much higher levels than those registered in the same period in 2019.

PwC Middle East revealed that Saudi Arabia received almost 6 million visitors in the fourth quarter of 2022, up 47 percent compared to the same quarter in 2019.

“Saudi Arabia’s economy has shown great growth since the launch of Vision 2030... The Kingdom’s increased focus on diversity has enabled the country to lead its economic sustainability agenda on a larger scale,” said Faisal Al-Sarraj, partner and Saudi deputy country leader at PwC Middle East.

He added: “This only gives us more optimism that the future for the Kingdom expands beyond Vision 2030 and will continue to lead by example through innovative solutions and transformation.”



Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia has entered global debt markets with a planned sale of bonds in three tranches, aiming to use the proceeds to cover budget deficits and repay outstanding debt, according to IFR (International Financing Review).

The indicative pricing for the three-year bonds is set at 120 basis points above US Treasury bonds, while the six- and ten-year bonds are priced at 130 and 140 basis points above US Treasuries, respectively, as reported by Reuters.

The bonds, expected to be of benchmark size (typically at least $500 million), come a day after Saudi Arabia unveiled its 2025 borrowing plan. The Kingdom’s financing needs for the year are estimated at SAR 139 billion ($37 billion), with SAR 101 billion ($26.8 billion) allocated to cover the budget deficit and the remainder to service existing debt.

The National Debt Management Center (NDMC) announced that Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan had approved the 2025 borrowing plan following its endorsement by the NDMC Board. The plan highlights public debt developments for 2024, domestic debt market initiatives, and the 2025 financing roadmap, including the Kingdom’s issuance calendar for local sukuk denominated in Saudi Riyals.

The NDMC emphasized that Saudi Arabia aims to enhance sustainable access to debt markets and broaden its investor base. For 2025, the Kingdom will continue diversifying its domestic and international financing channels to meet funding needs efficiently. Plans include issuing sovereign debt instruments at fair prices under risk management frameworks and pursuing specialized financing opportunities to support economic growth, such as export credit agency-backed funding, infrastructure development financing, and exploring new markets and currencies.

Recently, Saudi Arabia secured a $2.5 billion Sharia-compliant revolving credit facility for three years from three regional and international financial institutions to address budgetary needs.

In 2024, Saudi Arabia issued $17 billion in dollar-denominated bonds, including $12 billion in January and $5 billion in sukuk in May. Rating agencies have recognized the Kingdom’s financial stability. In November, Moody’s upgraded Saudi Arabia’s rating to “AA3,” while Fitch assigned an “A+” rating, both with stable outlooks. S&P Global rated the Kingdom at “A/A-1” with a positive outlook, reflecting its low credit risk and strong capacity to meet financial obligations.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio at 26.2% for 2024, describing it as low and sustainable. The IMF projects this ratio to reach 35% by 2029, with foreign borrowing playing a significant role in financing fiscal deficits.