IMF Calls Jordan a ‘Success Story’, Says Reforms Are Essential

Aerial view of the Jordanian capital, Amman (Reuters)
Aerial view of the Jordanian capital, Amman (Reuters)
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IMF Calls Jordan a ‘Success Story’, Says Reforms Are Essential

Aerial view of the Jordanian capital, Amman (Reuters)
Aerial view of the Jordanian capital, Amman (Reuters)

Jordan has successfully maintained monetary and financial stability despite the difficulties, announced the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Jordan needs to accelerate the pace of structural economic reforms to push growth beyond the 2 to 3 percent it has recorded on average over the past years to reduce the high unemployment rates.

Leading the IMF mission, Ron van Rooden, said that unemployment was still high, at 22.9 percent, particularly among the youth and women, asserting that "structural reforms are essential for achieving strong and inclusive growth and creating more jobs."

Van Rooden noted that the reforms include enhancing the ease of doing business and reducing the cost of doing business, promoting competition, increasing labor market flexibility, and improving governance and transparency.

He indicated that the post-pandemic recovery continues, with real GDP expected to grow by 2.6 percent in 2023. However, it remains insufficient to improve the living standards of about 11 million people.

The IMF official, ending a visit to conduct the sixth review of the country's IMF-backed program, said Jordan remained firmly on track with crucial program targets met and progress through prudent monetary and fiscal policies.

"Despite a challenging global and regional environment, Jordan has maintained macroeconomic stability," van Rooden said.

He added that Jordan's macroeconomic stability had helped it tap more favorable interest rates from international capital markets than other sovereign countries when it issued last month's Eurobond worth $1.25 billion.

"We are calling Jordan a success story because they have consistently implemented sound macroeconomic policy, fiscal policy, monetary policy."

Jordan's Finance Minister Mohammed al-Ississ commented that the four-year IMF-backed program, scheduled to end next year, helped maintain economic stability amid difficult global conditions.

Van Rooden indicated that inflation is on the way to decline to 2.7 percent in 2023, compared to 3.8, with a tight monetary policy that helped to curb global inflationary pressures.

 



Yemen’s Fragile Economy Feels the Heat of Iran-Israel Conflict

Fears mount over the impact of military escalation on the Yemeni currency, which has recently seen a rapid decline (AFP). 
Fears mount over the impact of military escalation on the Yemeni currency, which has recently seen a rapid decline (AFP). 
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Yemen’s Fragile Economy Feels the Heat of Iran-Israel Conflict

Fears mount over the impact of military escalation on the Yemeni currency, which has recently seen a rapid decline (AFP). 
Fears mount over the impact of military escalation on the Yemeni currency, which has recently seen a rapid decline (AFP). 

The ripple effects of the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel are being felt in Yemen’s fragile economy. The already-depreciated Yemeni rial has fallen further, fuel prices have surged following a government decision, and fears of wider inflation loom over one of the region’s most vulnerable economies.

Last week, the exchange rate for the US dollar crossed 2,750 Yemeni rials before slightly retreating. Economists warn the rial will likely continue to weaken amid broader regional instability. In response, Prime Minister Salem bin Braik announced an emergency 100-day plan to stabilize the economy and ensure basic state obligations, including public sector salaries.

The government also introduced new fuel pricing, raising costs by up to $1 per 20-liter container of gasoline and diesel. This marks the fourth fuel price hike this year, compounding pressure on Yemen’s already burdened consumers.

With Yemen importing over 95% of its goods, any increase in global shipping costs or insurance premiums immediately impacts domestic prices.

Economist Rashid Al-Ansi explained to Asharq Al-Awsat that the cost of food, fuel, and other essential goods is rising due to the weakened currency and regional tensions. Unlike neighboring countries, he added, Yemen lacks the fiscal space and policy flexibility to absorb such shocks.

Adding to the strain, foreign currency reserves are being depleted as locals rush to convert their savings into dollars or gold amid fears of an open war between Israel and Iran. This has raised concerns of further rial depreciation and capital flight, according to economist Fares Al-Najjar.

Al-Najjar also warned that remittance flows - Yemen’s main source of foreign currency - may decline due to global uncertainty, reducing the central bank’s ability to stabilize the market. The government is already struggling to fund basic services, including electricity in Aden and water supply in Taiz.

Experts are particularly concerned about potential disruption to maritime trade. If military tensions spill over into the Red Sea or Gulf of Aden, Yemen’s surrounding waters could be labeled “high-risk zones,” driving shipping and insurance costs up by as much as 300%. This would cripple import flows and make oil exports - Yemen’s last lifeline for foreign currency - nearly impossible.