Extending Hajj Visas Boosts Economic Diversification, Stimulates Tourism

Hundreds of thousands of pilgrims flock to the Jamaraat Bridge during the last Hajj season (EPA)
Hundreds of thousands of pilgrims flock to the Jamaraat Bridge during the last Hajj season (EPA)
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Extending Hajj Visas Boosts Economic Diversification, Stimulates Tourism

Hundreds of thousands of pilgrims flock to the Jamaraat Bridge during the last Hajj season (EPA)
Hundreds of thousands of pilgrims flock to the Jamaraat Bridge during the last Hajj season (EPA)

Saudi Arabia’s decision to extend the Hajj visa to three months will enhance the Kingdom’s efforts to diversify the economy, increase new job opportunities, stimulate foreign investment indirectly, as well as reduce pressure on Jeddah Airport, officials and experts told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Member of the Saudi Shura Council Fadl bin Saad Al-Buainain noted that the pilgrim’s comprehensive experience goes beyond performing the rituals of Hajj and Umrah, to moving between the cities of the Kingdom and visiting tourist and heritage sites, which would strengthen the tourism sector and reflect positively on commercial activities and the overall economy.

Al-Buainain stressed that these visits will provide an important marketing and media channel, and will enhance cultural communication and consolidate human relations.

“There is an important aspect in extending residence and allowing travel from any of the Kingdom’s airports. This will contribute to reducing the human flow departing from Jeddah Airport, and revitalizing the airports of other cities,” he stated.

But the economic impact may not be visible in the short term, according to Al Buainain.

The Saudi official added that the decision would have positive repercussions in the medium term, and provide greater support for achieving the objectives of diversifying the sources of the economy, increasing consumer spending, and pumping more investments in the tourism and commercial sectors.

For his part, the CEO of Thakher Development Company, Eng. Abdulaziz Al-Aboudi, noted that the government decisions would stimulate the hospitality sector in Makkah Al-Mukarramah and achieve a qualitative positive shift.

“The hotel occupancy rate in Makkah Al-Mukarramah during the Hajj season 2023 reached 100 percent, compared to 80 percent during Ramadan, and 60 percent during the same period in 2022,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Al-Aboudi revealed that the hospitality and real estate sectors in Makkah recorded a strong performance during the Hajj season this year, driven by a number of factors, including the high occupancy rate in hotels.

Dr. Abdel-Rahman Baeshen, head of the Al-Shorouk Center for Economic Studies, said that Saudi Arabia has adopted a strategy of maximizing the material returns from the Hajj and Umrah, within a plan to diversify the economy.

He added that extending the Hajj visa would increase the revenues of the tourism sector in general, and stimulate recovery and growth.

For his part, professor of international commercial law at the Institute of Management in Riyadh Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi said: “Extending the Hajj visa for a period of three months will have positive results on the Saudi economy, by enriching and deepening the experience of pilgrims and preparing various tourist sites to receive visitors.”

Tourism currently contributes about $12 billion to the Saudi gross domestic product, Al-Obaidi told Asharq Al-Awsat, noting that the recent government decision would help raise this amount to $20 billion in 2030, reflecting positively on the policy of diversifying the national economy.



US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.