Saudi Arabia Takes Precautions to Continue to Contain Inflation

The inflation rate in Saudi Arabia remains at low levels. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The inflation rate in Saudi Arabia remains at low levels. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Takes Precautions to Continue to Contain Inflation

The inflation rate in Saudi Arabia remains at low levels. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The inflation rate in Saudi Arabia remains at low levels. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has resumed its process of raising the repurchase agreement rate, “repo”, by 25 basis points to 6%, and increasing the reverse repurchase agreement rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%.

The move is part of the Kingdom’s efforts to reduce inflation, which currently stands at a relatively low and non-alarming level of 2.7%.

The decision by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) follows the approval by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, aligning with its objectives to maintain monetary stability.

SAMA had kept interest rates unchanged in June, in line with the US central bank's decision to pause its perceived opportunistic increase, allowing investors to take a breather and inject more investments into the local market.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, experts said the decision aids in transforming investments from quantitative to qualitative, as cautious funds migrate towards central banks.

They believe it contributes to monetary stability amidst the ongoing surge in global inflation, which consequently affects Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom has taken all necessary measures to curb the rise in inflation.

Saudi Shura Council member Fadel al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that interest rates are among the most crucial tools for controlling inflation or stimulating the economy, depending on economic variables and demands.

He emphasized that controlling interest rates will not achieve the desired goals unless there is harmony between fiscal and monetary policies, and a synchronization of their tools to achieve strategic objectives.

In al-Buainain’s view, what the US economy needs may not be the same for economies tied to the dollar, including Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries. Nevertheless, they find themselves obliged to mirror the Federal Reserve’s actions to maintain monetary stability.

He explained that Gulf countries are not experiencing high inflation rates; in fact, they have some of the lowest. He stressed that inflation in Saudi Arabia remains at a relatively low and non-alarming level, while the economy requires stimulation to sustain growth.

Al-Buainain said that raising interest rates leads to a slowdown in economic growth and may negatively impact certain sectors and projects due to increased financing costs, especially in the real estate sector, which heavily relies on borrowing.



World Bank Raises China's GDP Forecast for 2024, 2025

World Bank Raises China's GDP Forecast for 2024, 2025
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World Bank Raises China's GDP Forecast for 2024, 2025

World Bank Raises China's GDP Forecast for 2024, 2025

The World Bank raised on Thursday its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 and 2025, but warned that subdued household and business confidence, along with headwinds in the property sector, would keep weighing it down next year.
The world's second-biggest economy has struggled this year, mainly due to a property crisis and tepid domestic demand. An expected hike in US tariffs on its goods when US President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January may also hit growth.
"Addressing challenges in the property sector, strengthening social safety nets, and improving local government finances will be essential to unlocking a sustained recovery," Mara Warwick, the World Bank's country director for China, said.
"It is important to balance short-term support to growth with long-term structural reforms," she added in a statement.
Thanks to the effect of recent policy easing and near-term export strength, the World Bank sees China's gross domestic product growth at 4.9% this year, up from its June forecast of 4.8%.
Beijing set a growth target of "around 5%" this year, a goal it says it is confident of achieving.
Although growth for 2025 is also expected to fall to 4.5%, that is still higher than the World Bank's earlier forecast of 4.1%.
Slower household income growth and the negative wealth effect from lower home prices are expected to weigh on consumption into 2025, the Bank added.
To revive growth, Chinese authorities have agreed to issue a record 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported this week.
The figures will not be officially unveiled until the annual meeting of China's parliament, the National People's Congress, in March 2025, and could still change before then.
While the housing regulator will continue efforts to stem further declines in China's real estate market next year, the World Bank said a turnaround in the sector was not anticipated until late 2025.
China's middle class has expanded significantly since the 2010s, encompassing 32% of the population in 2021, but World Bank estimates suggest about 55% remain "economically insecure", underscoring the need to generate opportunities.