4 Factors behind the Stability of Real Estate Prices in Saudi Arabia

The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
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4 Factors behind the Stability of Real Estate Prices in Saudi Arabia

The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.

Real estate is one of the vital sectors that have a strategic impact on the Saudi economy. With its major transformation and its new incentives aimed at attracting nationals and foreigners, the sector’s contribution to the GDP increased significantly to reach 12.8 percent in the first quarter of 2023, according to figures published by the Real Estate Authority.

Despite the successive rise in US interest rates, which reached record levels in 22 years, the real estate price index in Saudi Arabia slightly increased in the second quarter, not exceeding 0.8 percent on an annual basis.

In comments to Asharq Al-Awsat, real estate expert Eng. Ahmed Al-Fageeh attributed the stability of the real estate market to four factors: the record and continuous rise in interest rates, the decrease in the number of real estate deals, the drop of housing finance contracts, and the amendment of housing support for citizens, which is one of the most important solutions provided by the Ministry of Housing in order to provide assistance to beneficiaries.

As of the second quarter of 2023, the sales of villas and apartments started to rise again, Al-Fageeh noted, saying that the value of villa sales in the last three months of May, June and July increased by 22 percent, reaching SAR 6.6 billion compared to SAR 5.4 billion in 2022.

He explained that these figures indicated that the real estate market overcame the impact of high interests and other factors, and highlighted the existence of independent purchasing power in the real estate market.

Regarding appropriate solutions to reduce the cost of residential real estate for citizens, Al-Fageeh underlined the need to provide real estate developers with residential plots and lands, as well as financing, in partnership with the Ministry of Housing and based on a specific national program, thus helping bring in a large number of housing units into the real estate market and raising the supply.

Consultant and real estate expert Al-Aboudi bin Abdullah told Asharq Al-Awsat that the record increase in interest rates over the last period caused a general stagnation in real estate prices.

He added that the latest report by the General Authority for Statistics on the consumer price index during June 2023 showed an increase in the monthly inflation index for real estate prices by 0.8 percent, which is relatively low, unlike the results of previous quarters, which reached 20 percent.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.