Saudi Arabia Maintains Control over Inflation at 2.3%

A food and consumer goods markets in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A food and consumer goods markets in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT
20

Saudi Arabia Maintains Control over Inflation at 2.3%

A food and consumer goods markets in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A food and consumer goods markets in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s government has effectively managed to contain inflation, slowing it down to its lowest level in a year, recording 2.3% in July compared to 2.7% in the same month of the previous year.

This was even lower than the 2.7% recorded in June.

The government’s control over the inflation rate is the result of economic measures and actions it swiftly undertook early on to confront the global surge in prices.

Experts interviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat emphasize the significance of the decrease in actual housing rental rates in July, which stood at 10.3 %, down from 10.8 % in June. This factor has played a pivotal role in reining in the inflation rate in the Kingdom.

Notably, housing rental costs constitute the largest sub-category in the consumer price index, accounting for 21 % of the index weight.

Experts also highlight the contributions of government initiatives and programs related to the real estate and housing sector in boosting the supply of real estate products in general, particularly residential apartments.

This has had a direct impact on rental prices. Additionally, the reduction in real estate financing due to the recent interest rate hike by the Saudi Central Bank has also played a role.

Mohammed Makni, a finance and investment professor at the College of Economics and Administrative Sciences at Imam Muhammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, explains that the inflation rate has experienced consecutive declines in the past three months, attributed mainly to the ongoing interest rate hikes by the Saudi Central Bank.

“In July of the previous year, the Federal Reserve decided to raise the interest rate by 25 basis points, and Saudi Arabia followed suit by raising its interest rate by the same level. This reduced the liquidity in the local market and consequently impacted the inflation rate,” Makni told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“According to the latest statistics from the Saudi Central Bank, consumer loans during the second quarter of the current year have witnessed a decrease, reaching 443 billion riyals ($118.1 billion), confirming the Kingdom's approach of draining liquidity from the local market,” he added.

Makni further elucidates that most activities in the Consumer Price Index during July showed a positive change. He anticipated the inflation rate to remain stable around 2% to 2.5% in the coming months, depending on the decisions taken by the US Federal Reserve.



Gold Slips as US Bond Yields Rise, Investors Assess New Tariffs

Gold rings are displayed in a gold shop in Chinatown in Bangkok, Thailand August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Soe Zeya Tun/File Photo
Gold rings are displayed in a gold shop in Chinatown in Bangkok, Thailand August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Soe Zeya Tun/File Photo
TT
20

Gold Slips as US Bond Yields Rise, Investors Assess New Tariffs

Gold rings are displayed in a gold shop in Chinatown in Bangkok, Thailand August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Soe Zeya Tun/File Photo
Gold rings are displayed in a gold shop in Chinatown in Bangkok, Thailand August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Soe Zeya Tun/File Photo

Gold prices eased on Tuesday, weighed by higher US Treasury yields as US President Donald Trump announced new tariff proposals on trading partners, including Japan and South Korea.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,328.67 per ounce, as of 1207 GMT. US gold futures fell 0.1% to $3,338.20.

The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose to a two-week peak, making the non-yielding bullion less attractive.

"Gold is stuck between a rock and a hard place," said UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo, Reuters reported.

"Negative for the gold price is the US decision to extend the deadline for a trade deal for many trade partners, positive for the gold price is the fact that key US trading partners in Asia might have to deal with higher tariffs in the near future, weighing on economic growth prospects."

On Monday, Trump told 14 countries that sharply higher tariffs would start on August 1, marking a new phase in the trade war he launched in April, with levies between 25% and 40%.

The new deadline was firm, Trump said, adding that he would consider extensions if countries made proposals for a trade deal.

"Reciprocal tariffs" were to be capped at 10% until July 9 to allow for negotiations, but so far, agreements have been reached only with Britain and Vietnam. In June, Washington and Beijing agreed on a framework covering tariff rates.

Meanwhile, China has warned the Trump administration against reigniting trade tensions and threatened to retaliate against nations that strike deals with the US to exclude it from their supply chains.

Trump's tariffs have stoked inflation fears, further complicating the US Federal Reserve's path to lower interest rates.

Investors await minutes of the Fed's June meeting, due on Wednesday, for more clues into the bank's policy outlook.

Spot silver fell 0.1% to $36.71 per ounce, platinum rose 0.2% to $1,372.51, and palladium rose 0.6% to $1,117.33.