Green Hydrogen: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman, and Egypt Lead the Way

A mobile hydrogen-powered unit at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters)
A mobile hydrogen-powered unit at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters)
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Green Hydrogen: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman, and Egypt Lead the Way

A mobile hydrogen-powered unit at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters)
A mobile hydrogen-powered unit at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters)

The Arab Gulf and Egypt have joined the global race to secure a share of the green hydrogen industry, either through production or through long-term contracts to ensure abundant supplies, amidst worldwide energy sector upheavals.

This aligns with their ongoing efforts to transition their economies to be more environmentally friendly.

Green hydrogen is currently seen as a significant investment magnet, with its market expected to reach a value of $1.4 trillion annually by 2050, according to a report by Deloitte.

The EU has allocated billions of dollars to produce hydrogen both within and outside its member states.

The bloc anticipates an annual need of approximately 20 million tons; of which, it will produce 10 million. The remainder will be imported from abroad, including sources like Egypt and Mozambique.

Similarly, Japan is heavily investing in green hydrogen. It has committed to spending over $100 billion over the next fifteen years to augment supply by securing domestic and foreign sources.

By 2030, Japan anticipates needing three million tons annually, an increase from the current two million. This demand is projected to leap to 12 million by 2040.

Moreover, hydrogen has the potential to play a pivotal role in helping Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries achieve their net-zero objectives.

According to PwC, the swift transition to green hydrogen offers GCC nations the opportunity to pioneer in this emerging industry. Green hydrogen could serve as a versatile and primary energy source in a carbon-free future.

PwC suggests that the GCC states have a competitive edge in green hydrogen production due to the abundance of low-cost solar energy. Additionally, the availability of land and port infrastructure within their special economic zones further enhances these natural advantages.

For GCC countries, developing a hydrogen supply chain is of paramount importance, especially since the majority of projects are export-oriented.

Saudi Arabia is constructing the world’s largest green hydrogen production facility in the future mega-city NEOM, located in the Kingdom’s northwest.

With an anticipated cost of $500 billion, the initiative is poised to position the Kingdom prominently on the global map for clean energy transition.

In July, Saudi Arabia announced its intention to join the Global Hydrogen Trade Forum, set to be launched by the Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM). The group is an international coalition formed to advocate for clean energy policies. The forum aims to bring together hydrogen importing and exporting countries to discuss international trade of this fuel.

Also in July, the UAE, which is set to host the UN Climate Change Conference (COP 28) later this year, approved a hydrogen strategy that aims to produce 1.4 million metric tons of hydrogen annually by 2031, positioning the country among the world’s top ten hydrogen-producers.

Oman is also making steadfast strides toward entering the green hydrogen market. The sultanate aims to diversify its energy sources by relying on hydrogen and increase the renewable energy contribution to its national electricity mix to 30% by 2030, with plans to raise this to about 39% by 2040 as part of its carbon neutrality goals.

Egypt, meanwhile, is targeting a production of 5.8 million tons annually by 2024. Out of this, 3.8 million tons are earmarked for export each year, representing 5% of the global green hydrogen market.



Dollar Recovers as Trump Proposes Canada, Mexico Tariffs

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Recovers as Trump Proposes Canada, Mexico Tariffs

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The US dollar rose on Tuesday, recovering from its biggest daily percentage drop in 14 months after President Donald Trump suggested the US could impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico by Feb. 1, countering expectations he might take a gradual approach.

Trump told reporters he was thinking about implementing tariffs of around 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico at the start of February over illegal immigrants and fentanyl crossing into the country. He also raised the possibility of a universal tariff but said the US was "not ready" for that yet.

The dollar fell sharply on Monday after Trump's first day in office passed with no specific plans on tariffs and officials said any new taxes would be imposed in a measured way, a major relief for trade-exposed currencies, Reuters reported.

"What you're seeing here, too, is just how crowded long dollar positioning is, so all you need is some ambiguity on the tariff front, and you get these kind of moves," said Erik Bregar, director, FX & precious metals risk management, at Silver Gold Bull in Toronto.

"The bigger outside moves are going to come now if we see some deals happening, some stuff being negotiated and some of this fear getting priced out. The dollar positioning is long enough that you're going to see some smart people trying to bet on a turn."

The dollar index, which measures the dollar against a basket of currencies, rose 0.32% to 108.33 after dropping 1.24% on Monday. It was up as much as 0.68% earlier in the session.

The euro was down 0.22% at $1.0391. The EU is also seen as a likely target for Trump's tariff policies. Sterling weakened 0.26% to $1.2291.

Talking to reporters on Monday, Trump said he would remedy the trade imbalance either through tariffs or by Europe buying more US oil and gas.

A subsequent trade memo directed agencies to investigate and remedy persistent trade deficits. Analysts at Jefferies said the memo should be seen as a "blueprint for what to expect next on tariffs," and April 1 will be an important date as the agency reports are due by that date.

The Canadian dollar weakened 0.8% versus the greenback to C$1.44 per dollar while the Mexican peso was down 0.86% versus the dollar at 20.698.

The inauguration speech focused on emergencies in immigration and energy and a more expansionist foreign policy, including a pledge to take back the Panama Canal.

In his first term in office, Trump had a history of announcing imminent plans for policy proposals, including on healthcare and infrastructure, only for nothing to take shape.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.11% to 155.42.

The yen has strengthened against the dollar in three of the last four sessions, supported by growing expectations the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates on Friday.

Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura said on Tuesday at a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker event that a weak yen would increase inflation by boosting import costs. Mimura said the government and the central bank were communicating closely every day through various channels.

Markets are pricing an 86.2% chance of a quarter-point increase.

The dollar strengthened 0.23% against the offshore Chinese yuan to 7.278. Trump has threatened China with tariffs of up to 60% but did not detail any plans on Monday.

Beijing later set a stronger fix for the yuan, suggesting it was still inclined to take steps to prop up the currency.