Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
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Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)

The surge of the non-oil economy in Saudi Arabia at a rate of 6.1 percent, during the second quarter of 2023, led the Kingdom to raise its estimates of GDP growth from 1.1 percent to 1.2 percent.

On July 31, the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) issued preliminary estimates, which pointed that the GDP growth reached 1.1 percent in the second quarter of the year.

The GASTAT recent report noted that most economic activities recorded positive growth rates on an annual basis in the second quarter of 2023, with transport, storage and communication activities registering the highest rates of 12.9 percent.

This was supported by the launch of a number of developments and projects, including the official inauguration of Riyadh Air, which will start operating by 2025, according Jadwa Investment.

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotel activities also grew by 9.8 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period of 2022.

The construction sector also rebounded strongly, growing by 4 percent during the second quarter on an annual basis, in an upward trend, after nearly two years of stagnation that was mainly due to the outbreak of the Covid-19.

On Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), in a statement issued by its Executive Board at the conclusion of the 2023 Article IV consultation with Saudi Arabia, expected that the real non-oil GDP in the Kingdom would grow by 4.9 percent during 2023, and 4.4 percent during 2024.

The statement added that the IMF Board “welcomed Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic transformation, supported by commendable reforms under the Vision 2030 agenda and higher oil prices, which has helped create high growth, record low unemployment, contained inflation, and strong external and fiscal buffers, while reducing reliance on oil.”

The GASTAT report showed that the GDP increased by 1.2 percent in the second quarter on an annual basis, while it decreased by 0.2 percent on a quarterly basis compared to the first quarter of the year.

GASTAT further noted that the Kingdom’s oil activities decreased by 4.3 percent in the three months to the end of June, compared to the same period of the previous year, while it dropped by 1.5 percent from the first quarter of 2023.



Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders remained cautious ahead of US tariffs due to be announced at 2000 GMT, fearing they could exacerbate a global trade war and dampen demand for crude.

Brent futures were down 7 cents, or 0.09%, at $74.42 a barrel by 0858 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents, or 0.07%, to $71.15.

The White House confirmed on Tuesday that President Donald Trump will impose new tariffs on Wednesday, though it provided no detail on the size and scope of the trade barriers, according to Reuters.

Trump's tariff policies could stoke inflation, slow economic growth and escalate trade disputes.

"Crude prices have paused last month's rally, with Brent finding some resistance above $75, with the focus for now turning from a sanctions-led reduction in supply to Trump's tariff announcement and its potential negative impact on growth and demand," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Traders will be watching for levies on crude imports, potentially driving up prices of refined products, he added.

For weeks Trump has touted April 2 as "Liberation Day", bringing new duties that could rattle the global trade system.

The White House announcement is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (2000 GMT).

"The balance of risk lies to the downside, given that weaker than expected tariff measures are unlikely to drive a significant rally in Brent, while stronger than expected measures could trigger a substantial selloff," BMI analysts said in a note.

Trump has also threatened to impose secondary tariffs on Russian oil and on Monday he ramped up sanctions on Iran as part of his administration's "maximum pressure" campaign to cut its exports.

"Markets likely to be volatile ahead of the final announcements on tariffs and the scale of them. The threat of secondary tariffs on Russian crude continues to provide some support for prices, with more downside risk at present around tariff uncertainty," said Panmure Liberum analyst Ashley Kelty.

US oil and fuel inventories painted a mixed picture of supply and demand in the world's biggest producer and consumer.

US crude oil inventories rose by 6 million barrels in the week ended March 28, according to sources citing the American Petroleum Institute. Gasoline inventories, however, fell by 1.6 million barrels and distillate stocks were down by 11,000 barrels, the sources said.

Official US crude oil inventory data from the Energy Information Administration is due later on Wednesday.