Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
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Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)

The surge of the non-oil economy in Saudi Arabia at a rate of 6.1 percent, during the second quarter of 2023, led the Kingdom to raise its estimates of GDP growth from 1.1 percent to 1.2 percent.

On July 31, the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) issued preliminary estimates, which pointed that the GDP growth reached 1.1 percent in the second quarter of the year.

The GASTAT recent report noted that most economic activities recorded positive growth rates on an annual basis in the second quarter of 2023, with transport, storage and communication activities registering the highest rates of 12.9 percent.

This was supported by the launch of a number of developments and projects, including the official inauguration of Riyadh Air, which will start operating by 2025, according Jadwa Investment.

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotel activities also grew by 9.8 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period of 2022.

The construction sector also rebounded strongly, growing by 4 percent during the second quarter on an annual basis, in an upward trend, after nearly two years of stagnation that was mainly due to the outbreak of the Covid-19.

On Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), in a statement issued by its Executive Board at the conclusion of the 2023 Article IV consultation with Saudi Arabia, expected that the real non-oil GDP in the Kingdom would grow by 4.9 percent during 2023, and 4.4 percent during 2024.

The statement added that the IMF Board “welcomed Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic transformation, supported by commendable reforms under the Vision 2030 agenda and higher oil prices, which has helped create high growth, record low unemployment, contained inflation, and strong external and fiscal buffers, while reducing reliance on oil.”

The GASTAT report showed that the GDP increased by 1.2 percent in the second quarter on an annual basis, while it decreased by 0.2 percent on a quarterly basis compared to the first quarter of the year.

GASTAT further noted that the Kingdom’s oil activities decreased by 4.3 percent in the three months to the end of June, compared to the same period of the previous year, while it dropped by 1.5 percent from the first quarter of 2023.



Moody's Upgrades Saudi Arabia's Credit Rating

Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
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Moody's Upgrades Saudi Arabia's Credit Rating

Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters

The credit rating agency “Moody’s Ratings” upgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to “Aa3” in local and foreign currency, with a “stable” outlook.
The agency indicated in its report that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification and the robust growth of its non-oil sector. Over time, the advancements are expected to reduce Saudi Arabia’s exposure to oil market developments and long-term carbon transition on its economy and public finances.
The agency commended the Kingdom's financial planning within the fiscal space, emphasizing its commitment to prioritizing expenditure and enhancing the spending efficiency. Additionally, the government’s ongoing efforts to utilize available fiscal resources to diversify the economic base through transformative spending were highlighted as instrumental in supporting the sustainable development of the Kingdom's non-oil economy and maintaining a strong fiscal position.
In its report, the agency noted that the planning and commitment underpin its projection of a relatively stable fiscal deficit, which could range between 2%-3% of gross domestic product (GDP).
Moody's expected that the non-oil private-sector GDP of Saudi Arabia will expand by 4-5% in the coming years, positioning it among the highest in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region, an indication of continued progress in the diversification efforts reducing the Kingdom’s exposure to oil market developments.
In recent years, the Kingdom achieved multiple credit rating upgrades from global rating agencies. These advancements reflect the Kingdom's ongoing efforts toward economic transformation, supported by structural reforms and the adoption of fiscal policies that promote financial sustainability, enhance financial planning efficiency, and reinforce the Kingdom's strong and resilient fiscal position.