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Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
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Non-oil Sector Leads Saudi Arabia’s GDP Growth in Second Quarter

Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)
Non-oil activities achieved a positive growth of 6.1% during the second quarter of 2023. (SPA)

The surge of the non-oil economy in Saudi Arabia at a rate of 6.1 percent, during the second quarter of 2023, led the Kingdom to raise its estimates of GDP growth from 1.1 percent to 1.2 percent.

On July 31, the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) issued preliminary estimates, which pointed that the GDP growth reached 1.1 percent in the second quarter of the year.

The GASTAT recent report noted that most economic activities recorded positive growth rates on an annual basis in the second quarter of 2023, with transport, storage and communication activities registering the highest rates of 12.9 percent.

This was supported by the launch of a number of developments and projects, including the official inauguration of Riyadh Air, which will start operating by 2025, according Jadwa Investment.

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotel activities also grew by 9.8 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period of 2022.

The construction sector also rebounded strongly, growing by 4 percent during the second quarter on an annual basis, in an upward trend, after nearly two years of stagnation that was mainly due to the outbreak of the Covid-19.

On Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), in a statement issued by its Executive Board at the conclusion of the 2023 Article IV consultation with Saudi Arabia, expected that the real non-oil GDP in the Kingdom would grow by 4.9 percent during 2023, and 4.4 percent during 2024.

The statement added that the IMF Board “welcomed Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic transformation, supported by commendable reforms under the Vision 2030 agenda and higher oil prices, which has helped create high growth, record low unemployment, contained inflation, and strong external and fiscal buffers, while reducing reliance on oil.”

The GASTAT report showed that the GDP increased by 1.2 percent in the second quarter on an annual basis, while it decreased by 0.2 percent on a quarterly basis compared to the first quarter of the year.

GASTAT further noted that the Kingdom’s oil activities decreased by 4.3 percent in the three months to the end of June, compared to the same period of the previous year, while it dropped by 1.5 percent from the first quarter of 2023.

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ECB's Lagarde Renews Integration Call as Trade War Looms

FILE PHOTO: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Governor of the Bank of Finland Olli Rehn arrive at the non-monetary policy meeting of the ECB's Governing Council in Inari, Finnish Lapland, Finland February 22, 2023. Lehtikuva/Tarmo Lehtosalo via REUTERS//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Governor of the Bank of Finland Olli Rehn arrive at the non-monetary policy meeting of the ECB's Governing Council in Inari, Finnish Lapland, Finland February 22, 2023. Lehtikuva/Tarmo Lehtosalo via REUTERS//File Photo
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ECB's Lagarde Renews Integration Call as Trade War Looms

FILE PHOTO: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Governor of the Bank of Finland Olli Rehn arrive at the non-monetary policy meeting of the ECB's Governing Council in Inari, Finnish Lapland, Finland February 22, 2023. Lehtikuva/Tarmo Lehtosalo via REUTERS//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Governor of the Bank of Finland Olli Rehn arrive at the non-monetary policy meeting of the ECB's Governing Council in Inari, Finnish Lapland, Finland February 22, 2023. Lehtikuva/Tarmo Lehtosalo via REUTERS//File Photo

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde renewed her call for economic integration across Europe on Friday, arguing that intensifying global trade tensions and a growing technology gap with the United States create fresh urgency for action.
US President-elect Donald Trump has promised to impose tariffs on most if not all imports and said Europe would pay a heavy price for having run a large trade surplus with the US for decades.
"The geopolitical environment has also become less favorable, with growing threats to free trade from all corners of the world," Lagarde said in a speech, without directly referring to Trump.
"The urgency to integrate our capital markets has risen."
While Europe has made some progress, EU members tend to water down most proposals to protect vested national interests to the detriment of the bloc as a whole, Reuters quoted Lagarde as saying.
But this is taking hundreds of billions if not trillions of euros out of the economy as households are holding 11.5 trillion euros in cash and deposits, and much of this is not making its way to the firms that need the funding.
"If EU households were to align their deposit-to-financial assets ratio with that of US households, a stock of up to 8 trillion euros could be redirected into long-term, market-based investments – or a flow of around 350 billion euros annually," Lagarde said.
When the cash actually enters the capital market, it often stays within national borders or leaves for the US in hope of better returns, Lagarde added.
Europe therefore needs to reduce the cost of investing in capital markets and must make the regulatory regime easier for cash to flow to places where it is needed the most.
A solution might be to create an EU-wide regulatory regime on top of the 27 national rules and certain issuers could then opt into this framework.
"To bypass the cumbersome process of regulatory harmonization, we could envisage a 28th regime for issuers of securities," Lagarde said. "They would benefit from a unified corporate and securities law, facilitating cross-border placement, holding and settlement."
Still, that would not solve the problem that few innovative companies set up shop in Europe, partly due to the lack of funding. So Europe must make it easier for investment to flow into venture capital and for banks to fund startups, she said.