IMF Economic Review for Egypt Delayed to Q1 2024

 IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva shakes hands with the Egyptian Central Bank Governor Hassan Abdullah while Finance Minister Mohamed Maait looks on. (Egyptian Ministry of Finance)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva shakes hands with the Egyptian Central Bank Governor Hassan Abdullah while Finance Minister Mohamed Maait looks on. (Egyptian Ministry of Finance)
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IMF Economic Review for Egypt Delayed to Q1 2024

 IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva shakes hands with the Egyptian Central Bank Governor Hassan Abdullah while Finance Minister Mohamed Maait looks on. (Egyptian Ministry of Finance)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva shakes hands with the Egyptian Central Bank Governor Hassan Abdullah while Finance Minister Mohamed Maait looks on. (Egyptian Ministry of Finance)

An Egyptian lawmaker has revealed that the first review by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) of Egypt’s economic reform program, initially scheduled for September, has been postponed for the second time.

It is now anticipated to take place in the first quarter of 2024.

“The initial review by IMF experts this month will not proceed due to the government’s delay in fulfilling some of the commitments it made with the IMF under the recent agreement,” said Yasser Omar, the Deputy Chairman of the parliamentary Planning and Budget Committee.

In December 2022, the IMF's Executive Board approved a $3 billion loan to Egypt under a 46-month agreement. Egypt received the first installment of $347 million in December, with the remaining disbursements contingent on reviews conducted by IMF experts.

However, the implementation of the agreement came to a halt because the IMF has not conducted the first review of the economy, as the government has refrained from taking more stringent steps to adhere to a flexible exchange rate for its national currency.

This reluctance stems from the significant inflation rates and concerns about the economic and social repercussions such a decision might have on citizens.

Omar stated that the government would be able to fulfill all of its commitments to the IMF, including adhering to a flexible exchange rate for the Egyptian pound against the dollar, in light of the steps it is taking and the acceleration of the privatization program.

Earlier this year, Prime Minister Mustafa Madbouly announced a list of 32 companies and banks that the government intends to offer to investors over the course of the year.

Finance Minister Mohamed Maait stated that Egypt aims to achieve $10 billion in net foreign direct investment during the current fiscal year, compared to $8.6 billion in the previous fiscal year.

Omar also noted that he expects the IMF review to be conducted in the first quarter of 2024 at which point the economy should be better equipped to handle a new floatation of the pound.



Oil Heads for Weekly Gains on Anxiety over Intensifying Ukraine War

Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oilfield in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oilfield in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo
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Oil Heads for Weekly Gains on Anxiety over Intensifying Ukraine War

Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oilfield in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oilfield in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

Oil prices extended gains on Friday, heading for a weekly uptick of more than 4%, as the Ukraine war intensified with Russian President Vladimir Putin warning of a global conflict.
Brent crude futures gained 10 cents, or 0.1%, to $74.33 a barrel by 0448 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $70.23 per barrel.
Both contracts jumped 2% on Thursday and are set to cap gains of more than 4% this week, the strongest weekly performance since late September, as Moscow stepped up its offensive against Ukraine after the US and Britain allowed Kyiv to strike Russia with their weapons.
Putin said on Thursday it had fired a ballistic missile at Ukraine and warned of a global conflict, raising the risk of oil supply disruption from one of the world's largest producers.
Russia this month said it produced about 9 million barrels of oil a day, even with output declines following import bans tied to its invasion of Ukraine and supply curbs by producer group OPEC+.
Ukraine has used drones to target Russian oil infrastructure, including in June, when it used long-range attack drones to strike four Russian refineries.
Swelling US crude and gasoline stocks and forecasts of surplus supply next year limited price gains.
"Our base case is that Brent stays in a $70-85 range, with high spare capacity limiting price upside, and the price elasticity of OPEC and shale supply limiting price downside," Goldman Sachs analysts led by Daan Struyven said in a note.
"However, the risks of breaking out are growing," they said, adding that Brent could rise to about $85 a barrel in the first half of 2025 if Iran supply drops by 1 million barrels per day on tighter sanctions enforcement under US President-elect Donald Trump's administration.
Some analysts forecast another jump in US oil inventories in next week's data.
"We will be expecting a rebound in production as well as US refinery activity next week that will carry negative implications for both crude and key products," said Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates in Florida.
The world's top crude importer, China, meanwhile on Thursday announced policy measures to boost trade, including support for energy product imports, amid worries over Trump's threats to impose tariffs.