IMF: Structural Reforms Necessary for Growth, Job Opportunities

A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

IMF: Structural Reforms Necessary for Growth, Job Opportunities

A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Middle East Institute (MEI) co-hosted an exclusive panel on the sidelines of this year's Annual IMF/World Bank Meetings in Marrakech on the topic of economic structural reforms in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA).

The "Structural Reforms to Reinvigorate Growth in MENA" session discussed on Tuesday the recent succession of economic shocks to the MENA region and the actions taken to mitigate their impact.

It also explored the impact of these actions on the MENA countries with a tight macroeconomic policy space amid a continued uncertain external environment.

The report addressed a chapter on structural reforms titled "From Setbacks to Comebacks: Reforms to Build Resilience and Prosperity."

Several participants referred to the Saudi reforms in empowering women and enhancing their participation in the labor market as a model.

They asserted that a small structural reform in the Kingdom was enough to transform the economic scene, and women now have a significant role in the labor market.

IMF's Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department, Jihad Azour, explained that the primary goal must be to provide job opportunities for young people.

Azout indicated that structural reforms offer a way to increase potential growth and establish growth in the near term.

He noted that the reforms would be an influential factor in accelerating the pace of economic diversification among oil-exporting countries, stressing that most structural reforms help raise output, with their impact increasing over time.

The expert added that governance reforms, mainly enhancing the rule of law and government effectiveness, are especially important and can also generate positive output effects during periods of weak growth or relatively limited policy space.

Amid high public debt and inflation, fiscal consolidation and tight monetary policy are needed in many countries in the region.

In this context, structural reforms offer a way to increase potential growth and accrue near-term growth benefits.

However, Azour noted that merely maintaining macroeconomic stability will not achieve the required transformative change.

He indicated that stability represents the foundation, not the building, adding that structural reforms will also be necessary to accomplish comprehensive growth for all segments of society.

Some participants discussed the need to strengthen the role of the private sector and pave the way for it to create confidence, which in turn contributes to the arrival of investments.

Improving the government's ability to implement policies and regulations to promote private sector development also fosters growth through improved investment and productivity.

Economic and policy expert Alia Moubayed explained that the region suffers from weak growth due to high inflation.

Moubayed explained that the region can benefit significantly if it implements structural reforms, which is its only way to improve the situation.

She referred to Oman, which implemented reforms and improved its situation after several credit rating agencies lowered its rating.



China's August Manufacturing Slips to 6-Month Low

FILE PHOTO: A worker wearing a face mask works on a production line manufacturing bicycle steel rim at a factory, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China March 2, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A worker wearing a face mask works on a production line manufacturing bicycle steel rim at a factory, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China March 2, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo
TT

China's August Manufacturing Slips to 6-Month Low

FILE PHOTO: A worker wearing a face mask works on a production line manufacturing bicycle steel rim at a factory, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China March 2, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A worker wearing a face mask works on a production line manufacturing bicycle steel rim at a factory, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China March 2, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo

China's manufacturing slowed to a six-month low in August, an official factory survey showed on Saturday, raising expectations policymakers will unveil fresh plans to direct more stimulus to households and less to infrastructure projects.
The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined for a fourth month to 49.1 in August from 49.4 in July, below the 50-mark separating growth from contraction and missing a median forecast of 49.5 in a Reuters poll.
In contrast, the non-manufacturing PMI, which includes services and construction, quickened to 50.3 from 50.2.
The world's second-biggest economy started the second half of the year on a shaky footing, with dismal exports, prices and bank lending indicators for July showing demand losing steam.
The recovery most analysts had expected following China's lifting of its strict COVID-19 pandemic curbs in 2022 has so far eluded the $19 trillion economy.
Last month, Beijing signaled it was ready to deviate from its playbook of pouring funds into infrastructure projects. Analysts have broadly welcomed support targeting consumer spending but warn other policy levers will need to be pulled if the government is to hit its annual growth target of around 5%.
There have been some green shoots, with retail sales topping forecasts last month.
But more specific details on how China plans to reinvigorate the 1.4 billion-strong consumer market remain to be seen, with officials so far only pledging to "focus on boosting consumption to expand domestic demand".
Weighing heavy on consumer spending has been a bruising slump in the property sector over the past three years.
With 70% of household wealth held in real estate, which at its peak accounted for a quarter of the economy, consumers have kept their wallets tightly shut.
There is little sign that policies aimed at restoring confidence are having the desired effect, as China's new home prices fell at the fastest pace in nine years in July.
A Reuters poll on Friday showed home prices would fall 8.5% in 2024, deeper than the 5.0% decline tipped in a May survey.