IMF: Structural Reforms Necessary for Growth, Job Opportunities

A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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IMF: Structural Reforms Necessary for Growth, Job Opportunities

A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A session on structural reforms in the MENA region during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Marrakesh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Middle East Institute (MEI) co-hosted an exclusive panel on the sidelines of this year's Annual IMF/World Bank Meetings in Marrakech on the topic of economic structural reforms in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA).

The "Structural Reforms to Reinvigorate Growth in MENA" session discussed on Tuesday the recent succession of economic shocks to the MENA region and the actions taken to mitigate their impact.

It also explored the impact of these actions on the MENA countries with a tight macroeconomic policy space amid a continued uncertain external environment.

The report addressed a chapter on structural reforms titled "From Setbacks to Comebacks: Reforms to Build Resilience and Prosperity."

Several participants referred to the Saudi reforms in empowering women and enhancing their participation in the labor market as a model.

They asserted that a small structural reform in the Kingdom was enough to transform the economic scene, and women now have a significant role in the labor market.

IMF's Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department, Jihad Azour, explained that the primary goal must be to provide job opportunities for young people.

Azout indicated that structural reforms offer a way to increase potential growth and establish growth in the near term.

He noted that the reforms would be an influential factor in accelerating the pace of economic diversification among oil-exporting countries, stressing that most structural reforms help raise output, with their impact increasing over time.

The expert added that governance reforms, mainly enhancing the rule of law and government effectiveness, are especially important and can also generate positive output effects during periods of weak growth or relatively limited policy space.

Amid high public debt and inflation, fiscal consolidation and tight monetary policy are needed in many countries in the region.

In this context, structural reforms offer a way to increase potential growth and accrue near-term growth benefits.

However, Azour noted that merely maintaining macroeconomic stability will not achieve the required transformative change.

He indicated that stability represents the foundation, not the building, adding that structural reforms will also be necessary to accomplish comprehensive growth for all segments of society.

Some participants discussed the need to strengthen the role of the private sector and pave the way for it to create confidence, which in turn contributes to the arrival of investments.

Improving the government's ability to implement policies and regulations to promote private sector development also fosters growth through improved investment and productivity.

Economic and policy expert Alia Moubayed explained that the region suffers from weak growth due to high inflation.

Moubayed explained that the region can benefit significantly if it implements structural reforms, which is its only way to improve the situation.

She referred to Oman, which implemented reforms and improved its situation after several credit rating agencies lowered its rating.



Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
TT

Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo

Oil prices picked up on Tuesday, after the previous session's sell-off, as the market assessed US President-elect Donald Trump's planned trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada and his aim to increase US crude production.

Oil prices had fallen more than $2 a barrel on Monday after multiple reports that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to the terms of a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. A senior Israeli official said Israel looks set to approve a US plan for a ceasefire on Tuesday, but some analysts said Monday's sell-off in oil prices had been overdone.

Brent crude futures were up 43 cents, or 0.6%, at $73.44 a barrel as of 1414 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $69.38 a barrel, up 44 cents, or 0.6%.

Brent crude futures fluctuated between $73.30 and $73.80 a barrel in afternoon trading.

"Today’s intra-day fluctuations are probably more of the function of assessing Trump’s overnight pledge to impose tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

On Monday, Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on all products coming into the US from Mexico and Canada.

The vast majority of Canada's 4 million bpd of crude exports go to the US Analysts have said it is unlikely Trump would impose tariffs on Canadian oil, which cannot be easily replaced since it differs from grades that the US produces.

On Monday, Reuters reported that Trump's team is also preparing an energy package to roll out within days of his taking office that would increase oil drilling.

A senior executive at Exxon Mobil said on Tuesday that US oil and gas producers are unlikely to "radically increase'' production.

OPEC+ MEETING

Market reaction on Monday to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire news was "over the top" as the broader Middle East conflict has "never actually disrupted supplies significantly to induce war premiums" this year, said senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva at Phillip Nova.

Elsewhere, OPEC+ at its next meeting on Sunday may consider leaving its current oil output cuts in place from Jan. 1. The producer group is already postponing hikes amid global demand worries.