Carbon Trade… Global Interest, Saudi Action

Young people plant trees around the Saudi capital, Riyadh, to reduce carbon emissions. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Young people plant trees around the Saudi capital, Riyadh, to reduce carbon emissions. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Carbon Trade… Global Interest, Saudi Action

Young people plant trees around the Saudi capital, Riyadh, to reduce carbon emissions. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Young people plant trees around the Saudi capital, Riyadh, to reduce carbon emissions. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Amid talk of global carbon dioxide emissions rising by about 1 percent this year, which will make climate-warming gases reach a new record level, calls are mounting to take immediate action to preserve nature, climate, health and the entire planet.

In the face of these concerns, a new commercial trend is emerging in international markets, the “carbon trade” between countries, companies, and individuals.

According to the United Nations definition, the UN Carbon Offset Platform is an e-commerce platform where a company, an organization or a regular citizen can purchase units (carbon credits) to compensate for greenhouse gas emissions or to simply support action on climate.

The UN adds that the main feature of this platform is to display UNFCCC-certified climate friendly projects that reduce, avoid or remove greenhouse gas emissions from the atmosphere. These projects are implemented in developing countries around the world and are rewarded with Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) for each ton of greenhouse gas they help reduce, avoid or remove.

A study by the International Emissions Trading Association and the University of Maryland indicated that national climate action plans, collaboratively through carbon trading, could save governments more than $300 billion annually by 2030, which has increased global interest in the carbon market.

In fact, one of the key outcomes of the 2021 UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) held in Glasgow was the establishment of Article 6 regulating carbon markets under the UNFCCC.

A “carbon market” could contribute to tougher climate action by enabling governments and entities to trade carbon credits resulting from reducing or removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere, such as phasing out fossil fuels, switching to renewable energy, or conserving carbon stocks in ecosystems such as forests.

Carbon trade in Saudi Arabia

Recognizing the opportunities provided by carbon trading, through financing projects and activities in the Middle East and North Africa, the Regional Voluntary Carbon Market Company in Saudi Arabia, which was established by the Public Investment Fund last year, plays a major role in expanding the scope of the voluntary carbon market and encouraging sustainable business and climate practices.

In October 2022, the company oversaw the sale of more than 1.4 million tons of carbon credits, the largest share of which was purchased by the Olayan Finance Company, Aramco, and the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden).

The Regional Voluntary Carbon Market is scheduled to host a conference on Oct. 26 on carbon markets in countries of the Global South to agree on a list of actions that must be taken before the 28th Conference of the Parties (COP28).

The Carbon Markets in the Global South - Riyadh Edition will be held within the Future Investment Initiative conference to review the most prominent challenges of strengthening voluntary carbon markets at the global level to reduce carbon emissions. The conference will be held in cooperation with S&P Global Commodity Insights.



Turkish Cenbank Inflation Forecasts Unchanged, Vows Tight Policy

Business and residential buildings are seen in Sisli district, in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 26, 2024. REUTERS/Dilara Senkaya
Business and residential buildings are seen in Sisli district, in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 26, 2024. REUTERS/Dilara Senkaya
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Turkish Cenbank Inflation Forecasts Unchanged, Vows Tight Policy

Business and residential buildings are seen in Sisli district, in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 26, 2024. REUTERS/Dilara Senkaya
Business and residential buildings are seen in Sisli district, in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 26, 2024. REUTERS/Dilara Senkaya

The Turkish Central Bank has left its mid-point inflation forecasts for end-2024 and end-2025 unchanged at 38% and 14% respectively, Governor Fatih Karahan said on Thursday, vowing to maintain a tight monetary policy stance.
In a briefing on the bank's latest quarterly inflation report, Karahan said that inflation was projected to fall to 9% by the end of 2026.
"We will decisively maintain our tight monetary policy stance until price stability is achieved," he said. "By maintaining the cautious stance in monetary policy, we envisage that inflation will decline steadily in the rest of the year."
Turkish annual consumer price inflation eased to 61.78% in July, accelerating what is expected to be a sustained slide. Economists see end-year inflation around 42%, Reuters reported.
The bank has raised its policy rate by 4,150 basis points since June last year, but has kept it unchanged at 50% since March to allow the tightening to have an impact.
Karahan said a tight monetary policy stance could be maintained even when the time comes for rate cuts.
"We need to maintain the tight stance for a long time. This does not mean that interest rates will never be cut. A tight stance can be maintained with rate cuts," he said.
The lira was largely flat at 33.5225 to the dollar after his comments, having touched a record low of 33.6700 earlier this week.
EXPECTATIONS CRITICAL
Karahan said the bank's "decisive" monetary policy stance would support the downtrend in monthly underlying inflation amid rebalancing in domestic demand, real appreciation of the lira and the improvement in inflation expectations.
"The convergence of inflation expectations to the forecast range is of critical importance for disinflation," he added.
In its last quarterly report in May, the bank nudged up its year-end inflation forecast to 38% from a previous 36% due to an unexpectedly large rise in the first four months of the year.
The tightening cycle over the last year marked a stark turnaround after years of unorthodox economic policy under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who in the past urged low rates despite rising prices.
On July 26, Deputy Governor Cevdet Akcay told Reuters that the bank was not even considering a rate-cutting cycle at this time as easing too early could reignite inflation and extend the pain for an economy on the verge of disinflation.
As it seeks to cool the economy, the bank is also rebuilding foreign reserves which had plunged under previous economic programs that had sought to stabilize the lira.