Egypt: Proposal to Amend Strategy for Dealing with Debt

Egypt’s central bank in Cairo (Reuters)
Egypt’s central bank in Cairo (Reuters)
TT

Egypt: Proposal to Amend Strategy for Dealing with Debt

Egypt’s central bank in Cairo (Reuters)
Egypt’s central bank in Cairo (Reuters)

A member of the Egyptian parliament’s economic committee revealed a proposal to reduce monetary pressure, by addressing the debt problem, in light of the country’s severe currency crisis.

In exclusive remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, MP Ahmed Samir said that the proposed strategy included a plan to convert Egyptian debts into investments and projects, through an agreement with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

He explained: “If an agreement is reached with these two institutions to reduce Egyptian debt and transfer part of it to projects and investments, as happens with some other countries, this will reflect positively on the Egyptian credit rating.”

According to the Ministry of Finance’s financial report in September, Egypt spent 391.8 billion pounds on debt service in the first two months of the current fiscal year 2023/2024, with a 160-percent increase over the 149.9 billion pounds spent in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

This widened the budget deficit to 3.2 percent of GDP during the first two months, from 1.4 percent the previous year.

Samir said that Parliament’s economic committee was currently studying amending the capital law, to stimulate transactions on the Egyptian Stock Exchange by attracting new companies and increasing local and foreign offerings.

Despite the rise in Egyptian stock market indices over the past weeks, and the main index recording a new high of 24,300 points, supported by foreign purchases in Thursday’s session, the market capitalization of shares of listed companies amounts to 1.6 trillion pounds.

Moody’s, Fitch, and Standard & Poor's, have lowered Egypt’s credit rating, in light of a record rise in sovereign debt and debt service. In its latest report, Moody’s downgraded Egypt’s rating from B3 to Caa1.

In this context, the Egyptian deputy said: “We are currently comparing the Egyptian Stock Exchange to the Saudi Tadawul... Therefore, we see that the trading volume on the Egyptian Stock Exchange should double... We need more liquidity by offering more companies, and that is by increasing the incentives that we are currently studying.”

Egypt had launched the first version of the Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt Vision 2030, in 2016, as the basis for the comprehensive development process.

In early 2018, the country decided to update its sustainable development agenda with the participation of all stakeholders from development partners, in order to keep pace with the changes that occurred in the local, regional and global context.

The second version of Egypt’s Vision 2030 focused on explaining how the Egyptian contribution will serve the international agenda and the global context.



Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
TT

Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo

A top aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Friday said Kyiv would halt the transit of Russian oil across its territory at the end of the year, when the current contract expires and is not renewed.

Mykhailo Podolyak said in an interview with the Novini.Live broadcaster that current transit contracts for Russian supplies that run through the end of the year will not be renewed.

“There is no doubt that it will all end on January 1, 2025,” he said.

Kiev says it is prepared to transport gas from the Central Asian countries or Azerbaijan to Europe, but not from Russia, as it is crucial for Ukraine to deprive Russia of its sources of income from the sale of raw materials after it attacked its neighbor well over two years ago.

The contract for the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe between the state-owned companies Gazprom and Naftogaz ends on December 31.

Despite the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Ukrainians have fulfilled the contract terms - in part at the insistence of its European neighbors, especially Hungary.

But the leadership in Kiev has repeatedly made it clear that it wants the shipments to end.

Meanwhile, the Czech Republic energy security envoy Vaclav Bartuska said on Friday that any potential halt in oil supplies via the Druzhba pipeline through Ukraine from Russia from next year would not be a problem for the country.

Responding to a Reuters question – on comments by Ukrainian presidential aide Mykhailo Podolyak that flows of Russian oil may stop from January – Bartuska said Ukraine had also in the past warned of a potential halt.

“This is not the first time, this time maybe they mean it seriously – we shall see,” Bartuska said in a text message. “For the Czech Republic, it is not a problem.”

To end partial dependency on the Druzhba pipeline, Czech state-owned pipeline operator MERO has been investing in raising the capacity of the TAL pipeline from Italy to Germany, which connects to the IKL pipeline supplying the Czech Republic.

From next year, the increased capacity would be sufficient for the total needs of the country’s two refineries, owned by Poland’s Orlen, of up to 8 million tons of crude per year.

MERO has said it planned to achieve the country’s independence from Russian oil from the start of 2025, although the TAL upgrade would be finished by June 2025.

On Friday, oil prices stabilized, heading for a weekly increase, as disruptions in Libyan production and Iraq’s plans to curb output raised concerns about supply.

Meanwhile, data showing that the US economy grew faster than initially estimated eased recession fears.

However, signs of weakening demand, particularly in China, capped gains.

Brent crude futures for October delivery, which expire on Friday, fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $79.87 per barrel. The more actively traded November contract rose 5 cents, or 0.06%, to $78.87.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures added 6 cents, or 0.08%, to $75.97 per barrel.

The day before, both benchmarks had risen by more than $1, and so far this week, they have gained 1.1% and 1.6%, respectively.

Additionally, a drop in Libyan exports and the prospect of lower Iraqi crude production in September are expected to help keep the oil market undersupplied.

Over half of Libya’s oil production, around 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), was halted on Thursday, and exports were suspended at several ports due to a standoff between rival political factions.

Elsewhere, Iraq plans to reduce oil output in September as part of a plan to compensate for producing over the quota agreed with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Thursday.

Iraq, which produced 4.25 million bpd in July, will cut output to between 3.85 million and 3.9 million bpd next month, the source said.