Turkish Central Bank Raises Interest Rates to 40%

Turkish Central Bank raised interest rates double the expected. (The central bank’s website)

Türkiye’s central bank raised its policy rate by a larger-than-expected 500 basis points to 40% on Thursday, in an unexpected step.
The central bank is expected to raise its policy rate by 250 basis points to 37.5% this week, and reach 40% by year-end, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.
The bank has raised its one-week repo rate (TRINT=ECI) by 3,150 basis points since June.
The existing level of domestic demand, and geopolitical risks keep inflation pressures alive, the bank said following the Monetary Policy Committee meeting.
The committee will determine policy decisions to create the necessary financial conditions for a sustained decline in the underlying inflation trend, aiming to reach the 5 percent inflation target in the medium term.
The improvement in external financing conditions, continued increase in foreign exchange reserves, positive impact of demand rebalancing on current account balance, and the increase in domestic and foreign demand for Turkish lira-denominated assets contribute significantly to exchange rate stability and the effectiveness of monetary policy.
In light of these developments, a decline in the underlying trend of monthly inflation is observed.
Indicators of inflation and underlying trend of inflation will be closely monitored, and the Committee will continue to decisively use all the tools at its disposal in line with its main objective of price stability.
The Committee will continue to make its decisions in a predictable, data-driven, and transparent framework.
According to the monthly consumer tendency survey released by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK), the consumer confidence index in Türkiye was up by 1.1% month-on-month in November this year to 75.5 points.
Sub-indices for the present financial situation of households increased 2.7% and financial situation expectations of households over the next 12 months gained 2.6%.
The index for general economic situation expectations over the next 12 months went up 0.6% in November from the month prior.
On the other hand, assessments on spending for durable goods over the next 12 months fell 0.6%.