OPEC: IEA's Vision is 'Extremely Narrow'

A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of the OPEC logo (File Photo: Reuters)
A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of the OPEC logo (File Photo: Reuters)
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OPEC: IEA's Vision is 'Extremely Narrow'

A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of the OPEC logo (File Photo: Reuters)
A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of the OPEC logo (File Photo: Reuters)

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) refuted the latest report of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which sparked controversy in the energy sector.

Last week, IEA stated in its report ''The Oil and Gas Industry in Net Zero Transitions'' that the oil and gas industry faces a "moment of truth."

The industry has been told to "choose between fueling the climate crisis or embracing the shift to clean energy" against the IEA's proposed normative net-zero scenario.

OPEC indicated that recently, the IEA presented an "extremely narrow framing of the challenges before us, and perhaps expediently plays down such issues as energy security, energy access, and energy affordability."

It also unjustly vilifies the industry as being behind the climate crisis.

OPEC Secretary General Haitham al-Ghais said it was ironic that the IEA, an agency that has repeatedly shifted its narratives and forecasts in recent years, now addresses the oil and gas industry and says this is a "moment of truth."

Ghais noted that this manner in which the IEA has unfortunately used its "social media platforms in recent days to criticize and instruct the oil and gas industry is undiplomatic, to say the least."

"OPEC itself is not an organization that would prescribe to others what they should do."

OPEC also believes that the proposed IEA' Framework to assess the alignment of company targets with the NZE Scenario' is intended to curtail the sovereign actions and choices of oil- and gas-producing developing countries by pressuring their national oil companies.

The framework also contradicts the Paris Agreement's 'bottom-up' approach, where each country decides the means of contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions reduction based on national capabilities and circumstances.

It would likely lead to reduced investment and undermine the security of supplies, which is one of the IEA's key mandates.

OPEC stated it was regrettable that the IEA report now also calls technologies such as carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) an "illusion," even though Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment reports endorse such technologies as part of the solution to tackle climate change.

"The truth that needs to be spoken is simple and clear to those who wish to see it. It is that the energy challenges before us are enormous and complex and cannot be limited to one binary question," said Ghais.

"Energy security, energy access, and energy affordability for all must go hand-in-hand with reducing emissions. This requires major investments in all energies, all technologies, and an understanding of the needs of all peoples."

"At OPEC, we repeat that we believe the world has to concentrate on the task of reducing emissions, not choosing energy sources," he added.

The OPEC statement noted that in a world where "more dialogue is needed, we repeat that finger-pointing is not a constructive approach."

It asserted the importance of working collaboratively and acting with determination to ensure that emissions are reduced and people have access to the energy products and services required to live a comfortable life.

"These twin challenges should not be at odds with each other," said Ghais.

Ghais added, "We see a 'moment of truth' ahead. We need to understand that all countries have their own orderly energy transition pathways. We need an assurance that all voices are heard, not just a select few, and we need to ensure that energy transitions enable economic growth, enhance social mobility, boost energy access, and reduce emissions at the same time."

Meanwhile, Kuwait announced it was committed to any OPEC decisions, especially those concerning market quotas and oil production.

The comments came during a meeting between Japan's ambassador to Kuwait, Morino Yasunari, and the Gulf country's OPEC governor, Mohammad al-Shatti, the oil ministry said in a post on social media platform X on Monday.

OPEC+ is looking at deepening oil production cuts despite its policy meeting being postponed to this Thursday amid a quota disagreement between some producers.

OPEC and allies led by Russia, known as OPEC+, will begin online meetings to decide oil output levels at 1300 GMT on Thursday.

Several analysts have said they expect OPEC+ to extend or even deepen supply cuts into next year to support prices.

On Monday, Oil prices fell, with the Brent benchmark dipping below $80 a barrel as investors awaited this week's OPEC+ meeting and expected curbs on supplies into 2024.

Brent crude futures were down 60 cents, at $79.98 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures lost 68 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $74.86.



US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.