Gold Heads for First Weekly Drop in Four Weeks ahead of US Jobs Data

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
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Gold Heads for First Weekly Drop in Four Weeks ahead of US Jobs Data

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo

Gold was on track for its first weekly fall in four weeks after the dollar firmed, although prices held steady on Friday as markets looked ahead to key US jobs data to gauge the chance of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve as early as March.
Spot gold edged 0.1% higher to $2,030.32 per ounce by 0750 GMT. Bullion, however, has fallen nearly 2% for the week so far. US gold futures were steady at $2,047.10.
Bullion scaled an all-time peak of $2,135.40 on Monday on elevated bets for a rate cut by the Fed, before dropping more than $100 on uncertainty over the cut's timing, Reuters reported.
The dollar index was on track to snap a three-week losing streak, making greenback-priced gold more expensive for other currency holders.
Gold remains well-supported above $2,006 per ounce level, but stronger-than-expected payrolls data could put this support level in jeopardy, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA.
Data this week suggested that the US labor market was gradually losing momentum as higher borrowing costs curb demand in the broader economy.
The US non-farm payrolls report for November is due at 1330 GMT, which should show that employers added 180,000 jobs last month.
Markets are pricing in a 60% chance of a US rate cut as soon as March, CME's FedWatch Tool showed, but a Reuters poll saw rates unchanged until at least July.
Lower interest rates tend to support non-interest-bearing bullion.
"Outlook remains very bright for gold. Expect prices to remain in the range of $2,005 and on the upside it can test $2,080 in the near-term," said Kunal Shah, head of research at Nirmal Bang Commodities in Mumbai.
Spot silver rose 0.1% to $23.81 per ounce, while platinum gained 0.9% to $915.19 and palladium inched 0.6% higher to $975.20 per ounce.



Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher after US Rate Cut

The US last week announced a 10-nation coalition to counter the attacks in the Red Sea. - File Photo
The US last week announced a 10-nation coalition to counter the attacks in the Red Sea. - File Photo
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Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher after US Rate Cut

The US last week announced a 10-nation coalition to counter the attacks in the Red Sea. - File Photo
The US last week announced a 10-nation coalition to counter the attacks in the Red Sea. - File Photo

Oil prices eased on Friday, but were on track to register gains for a second straight week following a large cut in US interest rates and declining global stockpiles, Reuters reported.

Brent futures were down 50 cents, or 0.67%, at $74.38 a barrel at 1004 GMT while US WTI crude futures fell 48 cents, or 0.65%, at $71.47.

Still, both benchmarks were up 3.7% and 4% respectively on the week.

Prices have been recovering after Brent fell below $69 for the first time in nearly three years on Sept. 10.

"US interest cuts have supported risk sentiment, weakened the dollar and supported crude this week," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

"However, it takes time until rate cuts support economic activity and oil demand growth," he added, regarding crude's more muted performance so far on Friday.

Prices rose more than 1% on Thursday following the US central bank's decision to cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday.

Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but some also see it as a sign of a weak US labor market.

The Fed also projected a further half-point rate cut by year-end, a full point next year and a half-point trim in 2026.

"Easing monetary policy helped reinforce expectations that the US economy will avoid a downturn," ANZ Research analysts said.

Also supporting prices were a decline in US crude inventories, which fell to a one-year low last week.

A counter-seasonal oil market deficit of around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) will support Brent crude prices in the $70 to $75 a barrel range during the next quarter, Citi analysts said on Thursday, but added prices could plunge in 2025.

Crude prices were also being supported by rising tensions in the Middle East. Walkie-talkies used by Lebanese armed group Hezbollah exploded on Wednesday following similar explosions of pagers the previous day.

Security sources have said the Israeli spy agency Mossad was responsible, but Israeli officials have not commented on the attacks.

China's slowing economy also weighed on market sentiment, with refinery output in China slowing for a fifth month in August and industrial output growth hitting a five-month low.