Red Sea Ship Diversions Boost Bunker Demand, Prices in Africa, Mediterranean

File photo: A Houthi military helicopter flies over a cargo ship in the Red Sea. (Reuters)
File photo: A Houthi military helicopter flies over a cargo ship in the Red Sea. (Reuters)
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Red Sea Ship Diversions Boost Bunker Demand, Prices in Africa, Mediterranean

File photo: A Houthi military helicopter flies over a cargo ship in the Red Sea. (Reuters)
File photo: A Houthi military helicopter flies over a cargo ship in the Red Sea. (Reuters)

The re-routing of a growing number of ships around Africa to avoid potential attacks in the Red Sea is altering refueling patterns and boosting demand for bunker fuel at far-flung ports, from the Mauritius to South Africa to the Canary Islands.
Ships are also expected to top up more at Singapore and Rotterdam, the two busiest bunkering ports and where fuel is competitively priced, as they try to hedge against uncertainty over route changes, traders and analysts said.
Attacks by Yemen's Houthi militia on merchant ships in the Red Sea and retaliatory US strikes have ratcheted-up tensions in the Middle East as the Gaza war rages on, said Reuters.
The attacks by the Iran-allied Houthis, which they say are in support of Palestinians, target a route that accounts for about 15% of the world's shipping traffic and acts as a vital conduit between Europe and Asia.
Hundreds of large vessels have rerouted around the southern tip of Africa, adding 10-14 days of travel, to avoid drone and missile attacks by the Houthis.
"Ships are diverting away from the Red Sea and re-routing around the coast of South and West Africa – this increased traffic has created huge congestion in bunkering ports around Africa and placed significant pressure on port infrastructure," John A. Bassadone, founder and CEO of independent bunker supplier Peninsula, told Reuters.
Bunker fuel demand has risen at ports including Mauritius' Port Louis, Gibraltar and ports in the Canary Islands and South Africa, said traders and industry sources, with sales jumping in Cape Town and Durban.
Prices of low-sulphur bunker fuel delivered at Cape Town have jumped 15% to almost $800 per metric ton since mid-November when the attacks started, data from bunker supplier Integr8 Fuels showed.
"We have seen an increase in bunker demand and fixtures in South Africa, particularly for bunker-only vessels lately," said Philip Wang Balke, a senior bunker trader for Africa at Integr8, adding that supply is tightening as more shipowners and operators buy fuel in advance to ensure sufficient supplies.
TANKERS AND BULKERS
Container ships were first to divert away from the Red Sea, and now oil tankers and dry bulk carriers are following suit, diverting bunker demand to West Mediterranean ports at the expense of East Mediterranean, industry sources said.
"We are anticipating increased demand in Las Palmas and Western Mediterranean ports as it's likely the African ports will exceed capacity," Peninsula's Bassadone added.
Singapore and Rotterdam have yet to see a demand surge, though buying is poised to pick up in the next few weeks as ships lift more fuel at competitive prices, traders said.
"If the vessels are prone to higher ton-mileage or uncertainties, they are likely to fill up their tanks in case they ended up at expensive ports, and they can save a bit by buying less due to the extras they bought in Singapore," said an Asia-based bunkering manager.
Spot premiums for prompt low-sulphur bunker fuel delivered at Singapore rose to $25 to $30 a metric ton above cargo quotes in mid-January, climbing from about $20 in early January, said industry sources.



Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Expect September Fed Hike as Inflation Lingers

Federal Reserve building in Washington (Reuters)
Federal Reserve building in Washington (Reuters)
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Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Expect September Fed Hike as Inflation Lingers

Federal Reserve building in Washington (Reuters)
Federal Reserve building in Washington (Reuters)

Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan now expect the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week after a string of stronger-than-expected inflation readings challenged hopes that price pressures would continue to ease without additional policy tightening.

The Wall Street banks joined a growing number of forecasters turning more hawkish after data last week showed ‌US consumer ‌and producer prices rose more than expected in August, ‌while ⁠oil prices climbed ⁠above $100 a barrel due to renewed hostilities in the Middle East, reported Reuters.

In a note on Friday, Goldman Sachs abandoned its previous call for rates to remain unchanged and now expects a 25-basis-point increase at the US Fed's September 15-16 meeting. J.P. Morgan, meanwhile, forecasts quarter-point hikes in both September and December.

The latest data have revived concerns that progress toward the Fed's ⁠2% inflation target could stall after months of moderation.

"We ‌think that the FOMC will be ‌reluctant to surprise," Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle said.

J.P. Morgan struck a similarly ‌hawkish tone following the inflation reports.

"The week that saw rising ‌bond yields and energy prices and a firm enough set of inflation readings to make a rate hike at next week's FOMC meeting more likely than not," J.P. Morgan economists led by Michael Feroli said in a note.

The outlook ‌for further Fed tightening will be in focus this week as policymakers conclude their meeting on Wednesday, ⁠while investors ⁠also watch the Bank of Japan for policy signals.

J.P. Morgan said the latest inflation data cast doubt on a sustained disinflation trend, leading it to forecast another Fed rate hike this year and raise its estimate of the long-run policy rate to 3.25%.

Markets are pricing in an 87% chance of a quarter-point Fed rate hike this month, up from about 70% before the latest inflation data, with another increase expected in December, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

In a separate note on Sunday, Goldman Sachs said it still expects two Fed rate cuts in 2027, though later than previously forecast, as it sees this week's expected hike as driven more by market pricing than inflation fundamentals.


Saudi Arabia’s Dammam Airports Signs Design Contract to Develop King Fahd Int'l Airport

Dammam Airports CEO Eng. Mohammed Al-Hassany and President of WSP for the Middle East and Asia Dean McGrail seen at the signing of the agreement on Sunday. (X)
Dammam Airports CEO Eng. Mohammed Al-Hassany and President of WSP for the Middle East and Asia Dean McGrail seen at the signing of the agreement on Sunday. (X)
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Saudi Arabia’s Dammam Airports Signs Design Contract to Develop King Fahd Int'l Airport

Dammam Airports CEO Eng. Mohammed Al-Hassany and President of WSP for the Middle East and Asia Dean McGrail seen at the signing of the agreement on Sunday. (X)
Dammam Airports CEO Eng. Mohammed Al-Hassany and President of WSP for the Middle East and Asia Dean McGrail seen at the signing of the agreement on Sunday. (X)

Dammam Airports CEO Eng. Mohammed Al-Hassany and President of WSP for the Middle East and Asia Dean McGrail signed on Sunday a design contract to develop the King Fahd International Airport in accordance with the airport's approved master plan.

Al-Hassany said signing the contract marks a significant milestone in the development of King Fahd International Airport.

Dammam Airports is committed to upgrading airport facilities, increasing capacity, and delivering a seamless, high-quality travel experience through modern design solutions and smart technologies that meet travelers' needs and accommodate future growth in passenger and air cargo traffic, he stressed.

This will reinforce the airport's status as an international gateway connecting Eastern Region to the world, he added..

The project scope includes designing the expansion of passenger terminals, upgrading facilities, and improving airport entrances and access roads. It also includes developing baggage handling systems, digital services, and terminal wayfinding systems to streamline travel procedures and enhance passenger comfort.

The master plan aims to serve more than 19.3 million passengers annually by 2030, with capacity to be increased in phases to 32 million passengers per year to meet future travel demand.

It targets increasing air cargo capacity to more than 600,000 tons annually and aircraft operational capacity to 77 movements per hour, supported by comprehensive expansions of infrastructure, runways, and general aviation facilities.

The contract is part of Dammam Airports' ongoing efforts to develop the airport ecosystem, boost operational efficiency, and contribute to achieving the objectives of the Aviation Program and Saudi Vision 2030.


Iraq Signs Technical Consultancy Agreement with Chevron to Develop West Qurna 2 Field

Officials are seen during Sunday's signing of the agreement. (INA)
Officials are seen during Sunday's signing of the agreement. (INA)
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Iraq Signs Technical Consultancy Agreement with Chevron to Develop West Qurna 2 Field

Officials are seen during Sunday's signing of the agreement. (INA)
Officials are seen during Sunday's signing of the agreement. (INA)

Iraq’s Ministry of Oil signed on Sunday an agreement with the US company Chevron to provide technical consultancy to the Basra Oil Company.

The agreement was signed under the auspices of Oil Minister Basim Mohammed Khudair Al-Abadi.

Al-Abadi said the agreement provides consultancy services during the negotiation period with the Basra Oil Company regarding the development of the West Qurna 2 field, reported Iraq’s state news agency INA.

The signing ceremony was attended by the Undersecretary for Upstream Affairs, Naseer Aziz; the Director General of the Basra Oil Company; the Director General of the Oil Marketing Company (SOMO); and the Director General of the Petroleum Contracts and Licensing Directorate.