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Saudi Arabia Underscores Women's Role in Real Estate, National Development

The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 discussed on Tuesday women's prominent societal role that is significantly impacting real estate through purposeful planning for the required change. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 discussed on Tuesday women's prominent societal role that is significantly impacting real estate through purposeful planning for the required change. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Underscores Women's Role in Real Estate, National Development

The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 discussed on Tuesday women's prominent societal role that is significantly impacting real estate through purposeful planning for the required change. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 discussed on Tuesday women's prominent societal role that is significantly impacting real estate through purposeful planning for the required change. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 discussed on Tuesday women's prominent societal role that is significantly impacting real estate through purposeful planning for the required change.

On its second day, the Forum reviewed the positive transformations in the Kingdom's housing sector and its plan within Saudi Vision 2030. It underlined the role of programs and financing solutions for housing support that have allowed more than 755,000 beneficiaries to sign financing contracts that have totaled more than $124 billion.

The Real Estate Future Forum 2024 kicked off in Riyadh on Monday under the auspices of the Ministry of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing.

Held under the theme "The Power of Flexibility: Building a Sustainable and Flourishing Real Estate Future," the Forum features several strategic discussions about the real estate system on both local and global levels. Over 300 speakers representing over 85 countries worldwide are taking part in the event.

Executive Director of Urban Planning at Roshen Giovanna Carnevali stressed the importance of women's prominent role in society, which has significantly impacted real estate through purposeful planning.

Carnevali noted Roshen's participation in 100,000 housing units until 2030.

She said that 46 percent of the work in the facility depends on women, praising the Saudi opportunities available for women that are allowing them to develop in various fields.

Financing contracts

CEO of the Real Estate Development Fund (REDF) Mansour bin Madi stated revealed that the Fund's share of the total real estate financing market reached 74 percent, out of a total of $166.6 billion recorded in the Kingdom between 2017 and 2023.

Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Housing Division of the Saudi Umran Society Abdulrahman al-Johani discussed the transformations of the housing sector in the Kingdom over the past years, reviewing the current reality of housing and its plan within Vision 2030.

Johani cited ten development plans in housing that began implementation in 1970 and until the launch of Vision 2030 programs. They all focused on providing suitable housing for citizens at economic costs.

Urban planning development

CEO of the Quality of Life Program Khaled al-Bakr confirmed that the program developed urban planning, addressed visual distortions, and developed public spaces and facilities through many initiatives that contribute to improving the urban landscape and the quality of services provided in cities.

Governor of the Saudi Standards, Metrology, and Quality Organization (SASO) Saad al-Qasabi indicated that the conformity index for construction products and building materials offered in the Kingdom's markets for 2022 increased by 84% compared to 60% in 2020.

Qasabi explained that this comes from the authority issuing several technical regulations to improve construction products.

On the sidelines of the Forum, the Ministry of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing launched the professional volunteering initiative in real estate to support youth development and enhance the concept of volunteering in the commercial and non-profit sectors.

It aims to raise awareness among the real estate community on the goals and mission of professional volunteering and to empower pioneering and leading figures to transfer knowledge to beneficiaries and develop their capabilities economically and socially.

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Year of War Creates Cracks in Israel's Borrowing Strength

The Bank of Israel building is seen in Jerusalem June 16, 2020. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun/File Photo
The Bank of Israel building is seen in Jerusalem June 16, 2020. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun/File Photo
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Year of War Creates Cracks in Israel's Borrowing Strength

The Bank of Israel building is seen in Jerusalem June 16, 2020. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun/File Photo
The Bank of Israel building is seen in Jerusalem June 16, 2020. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun/File Photo

Israel's economy has for almost a year ridden out the chaos of a war that risks spiralling into a regional conflict, but rising borrowing costs are starting to strain its financial architecture.

The direct cost of funding the war in Gaza through August was 100 billion shekel ($26.3 billion), according to the finance ministry. The Bank of Israel reckons the total could rise to 250 billion shekel by the end of 2025, but that estimate was made before Israel's incursion into Lebanon, which will add to the tally.

That has led to credit ratings downgrades, which are amplifying economic effects that could reverberate for years, while the cost of insuring Israel's debt against default is near a 12-year high and its budget deficit is ballooning, Reuters reported.

"As long as the war continues, the sovereign debt metrics will continue to worsen," said Sergey Dergachev, portfolio manager at Union Investment.

Although Israel's debt-to-GDP, a core metric for economic health, stood at 62% last year, borrowing needs have blown out.

"Even if Israel has a relatively good base, still it will be painful on the fiscal side," Dergachev said, adding: "And over time, it will put pressure on the rating."

Israel's finance minister has said the economy is strong, and the country's credit ratings should rebound once the war has ended.

The cost of the war is steep due to Israel's Iron Dome air defenses, large-scale troop mobilization and intensive bombing campaigns. This year, debt-to-GDP hit 67%, while the government deficit is 8.3% of GDP, well above the 6.6% previously expected.

While the core buyers of Israel's international bonds - pension funds or major asset managers lured by its relatively high sovereign debt rating - are unlikely to shed the assets at short notice, the investor base has narrowed.

Privately, investors say there is increasing interest in offloading Israel's bonds, or not purchasing them, due to concerns over the ESG implications of how the war is conducted.

Norges Bank sold a small holding in Israeli government bonds in 2023 "given increased uncertainty in the market," a spokesperson for Norway's sovereign wealth fund said.

"What you do see reflecting these concerns is obviously the valuations," said Trang Nguyen, Global Head of Emerging Markets Credit Strategy at BNP Paribas, adding Israeli bonds were trading at far wider spreads than similarly rated countries.

Asked about rising borrowing costs and investors' ESG concerns for this story, Israel's finance ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

While Israel's domestic bond market is deep, liquid and expanding rapidly, foreign investors have pulled back.

Central bank data shows the share held by non-residents declined to 8.4%, or 55.5 billion shekels, in July from 14.4%, or nearly 80 billion shekels, in September last year. Over the same period, the amount of outstanding bonds grew by more than a fifth.

"Israeli institutions actually are buying more during the last few months and I guess some global investors sold bonds because of geopolitics and uncertainty," a finance ministry official said, declining to be named.

Equity investors are also cutting back. Data from Copley Fund Research showed that international investors' cuts to Israel funds, which began in May 2023 amid disputed judicial reforms, accelerated after the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks.

Global funds' ownership of Israeli stocks is now at its lowest in a decade.

Foreign direct investment into Israel dropped by 29% year-on-year in 2023, according to UNCTAD - the lowest since 2016. While 2024 figures are not available, ratings agencies have flagged the war's unpredictable impact on such investment as a concern.

All this has amplified the need for local investment, and government support.

The government in April pledged $160 million in public money to boost venture capital funding for the crucial tech sector, which accounts for some 20% of Israel's economy.

This adds to other costs, including housing thousands displaced by the fighting, many in hotels vacant due to the steep drop in tourists.

The displacements, worker shortages due to mobilization and Israel's refusal to allow Palestinian workers in, are hindering its agriculture and construction sectors.

The latter has been a key factor curtailing economic growth - which plunged more than 20% in the fourth quarter of last year and has yet to recover. Data from the three months to end-June show seasonally adjusted GDP remained 1.5% below pre-attack levels, Goldman Sachs calculations show.

Israel has thus far had little trouble raising money. It sold some $8 billion of debt on international capital markets this year. Its diaspora bond vehicle, Israel Bonds, is targeting a second annual record haul above $2.7 billion.

But rising borrowing costs, coupled with rising spending and economic pressure, loom.

"There is room for Israel to continue muddling through, given a large domestic investor base that can continue to fund another sizeable deficit," said Roger Mark, analyst in the Fixed Income team at Ninety One.

"However, local investors are looking for at least some signs of consolidation efforts from the government."