Freight Through Suez Canal Down 45% Since Houthi Attacks

A handout photo made available by the Suez Canal Authority shows the Greek-owned bulk carrier 'Zografia' at the Suez Shipyard Co. in Ismailia, Egypt, 22 January 2024. EPA/SUEZ CANAL AUTHORITY OFFICE / HANDOUT
A handout photo made available by the Suez Canal Authority shows the Greek-owned bulk carrier 'Zografia' at the Suez Shipyard Co. in Ismailia, Egypt, 22 January 2024. EPA/SUEZ CANAL AUTHORITY OFFICE / HANDOUT
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Freight Through Suez Canal Down 45% Since Houthi Attacks

A handout photo made available by the Suez Canal Authority shows the Greek-owned bulk carrier 'Zografia' at the Suez Shipyard Co. in Ismailia, Egypt, 22 January 2024. EPA/SUEZ CANAL AUTHORITY OFFICE / HANDOUT
A handout photo made available by the Suez Canal Authority shows the Greek-owned bulk carrier 'Zografia' at the Suez Shipyard Co. in Ismailia, Egypt, 22 January 2024. EPA/SUEZ CANAL AUTHORITY OFFICE / HANDOUT

Freight going through the Suez Canal has dropped by 45% in the two months since attacks by Yemen's Houthis led shipping groups to divert freight, disrupting already strained maritime trading routes, according to UN agency UNCTAD.
UNCTAD, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, which supports developing countries in global trade, warned of risks of higher inflation, uncertainty of food security and increased greenhouse gas emissions, Reuters reported.
Shipping companies have diverted ships from the Red Sea since the Iran-alighned Houthi movement began attacking vessels in what it says is support of Palestinians in Gaza. The United States and Britain have responded with air strikes against the Houthis.
The agency said 39% fewer ships than at the start of December transited the canal, leading to a 45% decline in freight tonnage.
Jan Hoffmann, UNCTAD's head of trade logistics, said there were now three key global trade routes disrupted, also including flows of grain and oils since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the Panama Canal, where low water levels from drought meant shipping last month was down 36% year-on-year and 62% from two years ago.
"We are very concerned," he told a briefing late on Thursday. "We are seeing delays, higher costs, higher greenhouse gas emissions."
Emissions were rising, he said, because ships were opting for longer routes and also travelling faster to compensate for detours.
The Suez Canal handles 12-15% of global trade and 25-30% of container traffic. Container shipments through the canal were down 82% in the week to Jan 19 from early December, while for LNG, the decline was even greater. The drop-off for dry bulk was smaller and crude oil tanker traffic was very slightly higher.
Spot container rates recorded their sharpest weekly increase of $500, affecting not just Asia-to-Europe shipments but also the non-Suez route to the US west coast, which has more than doubled. However, rates were still only about half of the peak hit during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Hoffmann said food prices could feel the impact, adding about half of the increases seen since the war in Ukraine were due to higher transport costs, although end-consumers in developed countries may take some time to see an effect.
"Passing on these higher freight rates to consumers takes time, up to a year until... we would really see them in the shop, whatever shop - Ikea, Walmart or something," he said.



Maersk Rules Out Suez Canal Return Until 'Well Into 2025'

Maersk containers are transported by train in Ronda, Spain October 27, 2024. REUTERS/Jon Nazca
Maersk containers are transported by train in Ronda, Spain October 27, 2024. REUTERS/Jon Nazca
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Maersk Rules Out Suez Canal Return Until 'Well Into 2025'

Maersk containers are transported by train in Ronda, Spain October 27, 2024. REUTERS/Jon Nazca
Maersk containers are transported by train in Ronda, Spain October 27, 2024. REUTERS/Jon Nazca

Danish shipping group A.P. Moller-Maersk said on Thursday it expects strong demand for shipping goods around the globe to continue in the coming months, though does not expect to resume sailing through the Suez Canal until "well into 2025.”
Attacks on vessels in the Red Sea by Iran-aligned Houthi militias have disrupted a shipping route vital to east-west trade, with prolonged re-routing of shipments pushing freight rates higher and causing congestion in Asian and European ports.
"There are no signs of de-escalation and it is not safe for our vessels or personnel to go there ... Our expectation at this point is that it will last well into 2025," Chief Executive Vincent Clerc told journalists, according to Reuters.
Maersk, viewed as a barometer of world trade, said in January it was diverting all container vessels from Red Sea routes around Africa's Cape of Good Hope for the foreseeable future.
The company said on Thursday it had seen strong demand in the third quarter especially driven by exports out of China and Southeast Asia.
Clerc said he saw no signs of a slowdown in volumes from Europe or North America in the coming months.
Maersk also confirmed robust preliminary third-quarter earnings released on Oct. 21 driven by high freight rates, when it also raised its full-year forecasts citing solid demand and the continuing disruption to shipping in the Red Sea.
Maersk's shares rose 2.4% by 0957 GMT.