EU Agrees Long-delayed Reform of Fiscal Rules

After weeks of discussions, EU negotiators agreed to set annual targets for cutting public debt and limits for public spending.
After weeks of discussions, EU negotiators agreed to set annual targets for cutting public debt and limits for public spending.
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EU Agrees Long-delayed Reform of Fiscal Rules

After weeks of discussions, EU negotiators agreed to set annual targets for cutting public debt and limits for public spending.
After weeks of discussions, EU negotiators agreed to set annual targets for cutting public debt and limits for public spending.

The EU has agreed a much-delayed reform of its fiscal rules, in a move that economists say will usher in an era of tighter budgets, even as European growth prospects are set to weaken.

After weeks of discussions, EU negotiators on behalf of governments and the European parliament on Saturday agreed to set annual targets for cutting public debt and limits for public spending — a key German demand.

The EU said in its press release on Saturday that the reforms address shortcomings in the current framework and seek to ensure that the framework is simpler, more transparent and effective, with greater national ownership and better enforcement.

"They take into account the need to reduce increased public debt levels, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, in a realistic, gradual and sustained manner. The new framework also builds on the lessons learned from the EU policy response to the financial crisis where a lack of investment hampered a swift economic recovery," the statements read.

The new framework also introduces risk-based surveillance which differentiates between Member States based on their individual fiscal situations. This approach will adhere to a transparent common EU framework underpinned by safeguards to ensure that debt is put on a downward path (the debt sustainability safeguard) or provide a safety margin below the Treaty deficit reference value of 3% of GDP in order to create fiscal buffers (the deficit resilience safeguard).

"Both reforms and investment are needed to face new and existing challenges. They are also essential components of credible debt-reduction plans."

According to the report, the new framework will facilitate and encourage Member States to implement the measures needed to secure the green and digital transitions, strengthen economic and social resilience and bolster Europe's security capacity.

The European Parliament and the Council will now have to formally adopt the political agreement.

The new framework will come into operation next year, on the basis of plans that will be presented later this year by Member States.

"This leaves sufficient time for Member States to prepare their plans for the years to come. In 2024, fiscal surveillance will be based on the country-specific recommendations already issued in spring 2023."



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.