IMF, World Bank Warn Gaza War, Red Sea Attacks Imperil Global Economy

Managing Director of International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva attends a session at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 12 February 2024. (EPA)
Managing Director of International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva attends a session at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 12 February 2024. (EPA)
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IMF, World Bank Warn Gaza War, Red Sea Attacks Imperil Global Economy

Managing Director of International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva attends a session at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 12 February 2024. (EPA)
Managing Director of International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva attends a session at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 12 February 2024. (EPA)

The IMF and World Bank warned on Monday that the Gaza war and the related attacks on shipping through the Red Sea pose threats to the global economy.

The Israel-Hamas war raging since October has already hit the Middle East and North Africa region's economy, said the International Monetary Fund's managing director Kristalina Georgieva.

Its knock-on effects could impact the world the longer the fighting drags on, Georgieva told the World Governments Summit, an annual gathering of business and political leaders in Dubai.

"I fear most a longevity of the conflict because, if it goes on and on, the risk of spillover goes up," she said.

"Right now we see a risk of spillover in the Suez Canal," she said, as Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi militias have attacked Red Sea shipping leading to the crucial maritime passage.

The Houthis say they are targeting what they consider Israeli-linked shipping in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza, pushing some cargo carriers to take longer and more expensive routes to avoid attacks.

The UN Conference on Trade and Development warned late last month that the volume of commercial traffic passing through the Suez Canal had fallen more than 40 percent in the previous two months.

Georgieva said that if there are other "consequences in terms of where the fighting goes, it could be more problematic for the world as a whole".

On a personal note, she added that "as a woman, as a mother, grandmother... I pray for peace".

The Gaza Strip has been under intense Israeli assault for over four months, in retaliation for the October 7 Hamas attack on southern Israel.

Hamas's unprecedented attack resulted in the deaths of about 1,160 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Israel vowed to destroy the militant group and launched air strikes and a ground offensive that have killed at least 28,340 people, mostly women and children, according to the health ministry in the Hamas-run territory.

Despite the war-related uncertainties, Georgieva said the IMF is "very confident that the world economy is now poised for this soft landing we have been dreaming of".

"I expect to see by mid-year interest rates going in the direction inflation has been going for the last year now," she said, when asked about interest rates being cut in leading economies.

Also speaking at the summit, World Bank President Ajay Banga said that "what's going on Gaza, but also the challenges of Ukraine... and the Red Sea" are among the top challenges to the global economic outlook.

"When you add these variables to what is already turning out to be probably the lowest growth of the last 55 years.... that's something we have to keep a close eye on," he said.



Vision 2030 Sets Saudi Arabia on the Path to Energy Sustainability, Emissions Reduction

 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
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Vision 2030 Sets Saudi Arabia on the Path to Energy Sustainability, Emissions Reduction

 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 

For decades, Saudi Arabia heavily relied on traditional energy sources as a cornerstone of its national energy mix. This reliance led to significant fossil fuel consumption and a rise in carbon emissions. Despite the Kingdom’s abundant natural resources in solar and wind energy, previous investments in these renewable sources were not scaled to their full potential.

However, with the launch of Vision 2030, a transformative shift began. Diversifying energy sources became a strategic priority for achieving environmental sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. Saudi Arabia introduced the National Renewable Energy Program and the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Initiative for Renewable Energy. According to the Vision 2030 Report for 2024, these initiatives have significantly accelerated the diversification of the national energy portfolio.

Under these frameworks, Saudi Arabia has achieved notable milestones in the renewable energy sector, including setting a global record for the lowest cost of electricity production from solar and wind energy. The Kingdom has also begun implementing sustainable transportation solutions utilizing hydrogen, while actively supporting the broader transition to a low-carbon energy future.

As part of these efforts, Saudi Arabia has taken practical steps to develop hydrogen-powered transportation solutions and to expand its reliance on low-carbon energy sources. These initiatives are aimed at ensuring the long-term sustainability of the Kingdom’s energy resources, thereby advancing sustainable development and supporting the creation of a thriving green economy.

In the field of energy storage, Saudi Arabia now ranks among the world’s top ten markets. Current projects provide 26 gigawatts of storage capacity, with a target of reaching 48 gigawatts by 2030. Among these projects is the Bisha Energy Storage Project, one of the largest of its kind in the Middle East and Africa, boasting a capacity of 2,000 megawatt-hours and housing 488 state-of-the-art battery containers.

The Kingdom has also made significant advancements in the conventional energy sector. Two new oil fields and two unconventional reservoirs were discovered in the Eastern Province, reinforcing Saudi Arabia’s standing as a leading global energy supplier. These new discoveries produce approximately 11,437 barrels per day of Arabian oil and 9.39 million standard cubic feet per day of associated gas.

In addition, two natural gas fields and two reservoirs were discovered in the Empty Quarter, yielding 140 barrels per day of condensates and 19.5 million standard cubic feet per day of associated gas.