Red Sea Attacks Hike Up Shipping Insurance Rates

A giant cargo ship near the Red Sea (AFP)
A giant cargo ship near the Red Sea (AFP)
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Red Sea Attacks Hike Up Shipping Insurance Rates

A giant cargo ship near the Red Sea (AFP)
A giant cargo ship near the Red Sea (AFP)

Houthi attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea hiked the shipping insurance rates, with fees being imposed to cover risks associated with conflicts.
Since last Nov. 19, Iran-backed Houthis have targeted ships in the Red Sea that they suspect are linked to Israel or heading to its ports.
Houthis say their attack is in support of the Gaza Strip, which has been witnessing a war since Oct. 7, 2023.
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Red Sea container shipping dropped 30% within a year.
The Red Sea is a vital route that usually carries about 12-15% of global trade, based on European Union figures.
Commercial boats need to obtain three types of insurance: hull insurance covers damage to the vessel, cargo insurance covers the vessel's load, and protection and indemnity insurance includes coverage for damage caused to third parties.
However, Premiums for ships and their cargos have "increased significantly" following the Houthi attacks, according to Frederic Denefle, head of Garex, a French firm specializing in marine risk insurance.
Garex told AFP that they have increased in proportion to the threat level.
Head of Marine and aviation at the Lloyd's Market Association (LMA), Neil Roberts, told AFP that the Red Sea is a Listed Area, meaning that vessels planning to enter must notify their insurers.
Insurance providers can then review the vessel and its voyage and demand an extra war premium on top of normal coverage.
The war premium, however, is limited to a short period.
However, Marsh Marcus Baker's global head of marine, cargo, and logistics explained that this new coverage is usually valid for only seven days, considering that hostilities may escalate.
General Manager of Ascoma International Claire Hamonic indicated that war insurance premiums have multiplied by five to ten times for vessels and cargo crossing the Red Sea.
- Huge sums of money
According to several sources contacted by AFP, the current rate of war risk premium stands at between 0.6 percent and 1.0 percent of the value of the ship.
The amounts can equal a considerable sum when some of the enormous vessels are worth over 100 million euros.
The nationalities of the companies owning or operating the ships are also considered.
Houthis have begun targeting US and UK ships, considering that they have become "legitimate targets" since Washington and London launched joint strikes on Houthi sites inside Yemen several times since Jan. 12.
The US Army alone carries out strikes from time to time that it says target sites or missiles and drones prepared for launch, the most recent of which was last Wednesday.
Head of operations at war insurance specialist Vessel Protect Munro Anderson said that the Houthis expressly indicated that they are targeting US and UK-connected vessels" or those linked to Israel.
Anderson explained that many vessels are flagged or associated with countries that don't carry the same risk profile.
"For example, Chinese connected vessels. Hong Kong Chinese connected vessels, of which there are lots, are trading in that area. Those will be able to add less premium than those connected with Israel, UK and US."
The Houthi strikes have also prompted some shipping companies to detour around southern Africa to avoid the Red Sea.
However, Hamonic warned that the diversion of ships around the Cape of Good Hope could "very possibly lead to a resurgence in piracy in the Indian Ocean."
"That risk extends from just below the Red Sea and towards the coast of Somalia," she added.
The journey takes an additional 10 to 15 days via this route, and sometimes up to 20 days, depending on the vessel's speed.
According to a London Stock Exchange Group report, the cost of a trip from Asia to northwestern Europe increased by 35% for a large container ship, and up 110% for an Aframax, an oil tanker with a deadweight between 80,000 and 120,000 metric.
- Impact on inflation
Meanwhile, analysts from Moody's Investors Services said on Thursday that attacks on merchant vessels in the Red Sea have delayed cargo and sent higher shipping costs, but soft demand and ample ship availability are muting the impact on inflation.
Nevertheless, Daniel Harlid, a transport sector analyst, said diversions are not expected to affect inflation because they are not driven by demand significantly.
Rerouting ships around Africa requires anywhere from 6% to 10% more vessels due to longer sail times, slowing the return of ships to their origination points, and sending on-demand spot rates on some routes up more than 100%.
The increases came off rock-bottom levels, and shipping experts expect them to normalize. Owners who have new ships arriving were struggling to fill existing vessels with cargo before the Houthi attacks began in November.



China, US Agree to $30 Billion Tariff Cut, AI Dialogue

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 25: US President Donald Trump (R) and President of China Xi Jinping (L) speak as they depart following a tour of the National Archives Museum on September 25, 2026 in Washington, DC. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP
WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 25: US President Donald Trump (R) and President of China Xi Jinping (L) speak as they depart following a tour of the National Archives Museum on September 25, 2026 in Washington, DC. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP
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China, US Agree to $30 Billion Tariff Cut, AI Dialogue

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 25: US President Donald Trump (R) and President of China Xi Jinping (L) speak as they depart following a tour of the National Archives Museum on September 25, 2026 in Washington, DC. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP
WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 25: US President Donald Trump (R) and President of China Xi Jinping (L) speak as they depart following a tour of the National Archives Museum on September 25, 2026 in Washington, DC. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP

China and the US have agreed to a $30 billion reciprocal tariff-reduction arrangement and to launch dialogue on AI, under an eight-point consensus reached during Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to the US, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said.

The two sides recognized the work of their economic teams and endorsed steps including the establishment of a trade council, the tariff-reduction arrangement and an extension of outcomes from earlier talks in Kuala Lumpur, the ministry said.

The United ⁠States and China ⁠had earlier agreed to extend by two months a trade truce that was due to expire on November 10, allowing more time to work on a potentially bigger trade deal, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday.

The leaders of ⁠the world's two largest economies ended a three-day summit that showcased personal diplomacy rather than big public breakthroughs. Xi has since landed in Beijing, Chinese state media Xinhua reported on Saturday.

On artificial intelligence, the two sides agreed to establish a dialogue to discuss the technology's risks and benefits, with the next round of discussion set for November, and to set up a communication channel for AI-related incidents, according to the ⁠ministry.

They ⁠also agreed to support each other in hosting the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders' meeting and the Group of Twenty summit, with both leaders signaling their intention to attend the gatherings hosted by the other, Reuters reported.

On foreign policy, the leaders agreed that Iran should fulfil its commitment not to develop nuclear weapons, and that no country or entity should impose transit tolls on international waterways, the ministry said. They also recalled that China and the United States fought as allies in World War Two.


Gold Rises, but on Track for Weekly Loss as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Build

FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
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Gold Rises, but on Track for Weekly Loss as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Build

FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo

Gold prices rose on Friday but was on track for a weekly loss, as rising US Treasury yields and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weighed on the metal.

Spot gold was up 0.6% at $4,303.19 per ounce by 1210 GMT, but was down about 1.7% so far this week. US gold futures rose 1% to $4,339.

US and Iranian negotiators in New York are seeking a deal that would involve Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran, sources close to the talks said.

"Gold finds support today as oil prices pull back on renewed hopes for a US-Iran deal," said Nikos Tzabouras, a senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

"That said, the precious metal is heading for weekly losses, as higher Fed rates and bond yields raise the opportunity cost of holding gold."

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter-point last week, its first hike in three years, and flagged more hikes follow. Traders are pricing in a 71% chance of an October hike and a 95% chance of an increase in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Although gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates dampen demand as investors shift to yield-bearing assets.

Gold demand in India picked up modestly this week as lower prices drew in buyers ahead of the festive season.

Oil prices fell, and the dollar eased about 0.3%, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

"Lingering deficit fears could revive the debasement trend that drives investors toward hard assets like gold. Alongside persistent central bank demand, the precious metal has a credible case for a strong fourth-quarter recovery, should the macro winds begin to shift," said Tzabouras.

Spot silver gained 1.4% to $64.82 per ounce, platinum added 1.7% to $1,777.38 and palladium fell 0.4% to $1,269.77. All three metals were poised for weekly losses.


Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Rallies on Japan Remarks

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Rallies on Japan Remarks

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar fell on Friday as oil prices eased, but was poised for a second straight weekly advance on growing rate hike bets, while the yen rallied after Japan said Tokyo and Washington remain committed to the stance behind July's joint intervention.

The dollar was on track to snap a four-day streak of gains as crude prices fell more than 1%.

Global oil prices have eased but still they remain above $100 a barrel, maintaining upward pressure on inflation.

Comments from central bank officials flagging inflation concerns and support for more rate increases after last week's rate hike of 25 basis points have boosted market expectations for a more aggressive path of monetary policy and helped spark a jump in US Treasury yields.

"We've had like a pretty aggressive rally in the dollar over the last couple of days and maybe it's a little stretched, just taking a little breather. So I wouldn't really say that the dollar is really weakening materially today," said Eugene Epstein, head of trading and structured products at Moneycorp in Stamford, Connecticut.

"It's just a combination of those factors that you have not only a slight increase in odds of a second hike before year-end, but also just general bond yields going up and the market getting a bit concerned about that, so that's really what we have, what's been driving the dollar stronger overall."

DOLLAR INDEX POISED FOR BIGGEST DROP IN THREE WEEKS

The dollar index, which measures the dollar against five other currencies, fell 0.34% and was on track for its biggest daily percentage drop since September 3, to 100.95. The euro was up 0.2% at $1.1402 but on pace for a third straight weekly decline.

Expectations for a rate hike from the Fed at its October meeting stood at about 66%, according to CME FedWatch, up from about 58% a week earlier.

On the data front, new orders for US-manufactured capital goods increased more than expected in August and data for the prior month was revised sharply higher, pointing to another quarter of robust growth in business spending as part of artificial intelligence infrastructure is created.

In a separate report, the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers said its Consumer Sentiment Index ticked up to 48.1 from the prior reading of 47.8, above the 47.6 estimate of economists polled by Reuters.

Sterling strengthened 0.24% to $1.3247, supported by hawkish comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Yet it remained close to a three-month low hit on Thursday.

YEN STRENGTHENS AS JAPAN STEPS UP INTERVENTION WARNINGS

The Japanese yen strengthened 1.09%, on pace to snap a four-day streak of declines and its biggest daily gain against the dollar since September 7, to 157.13.

The currency rose after Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said US President Donald Trump raised concern about yen weakness during a summit with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi earlier this week.

Katayama said this reaffirmed the shared US-Japan stance behind July's joint intervention, adding she and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would stay in close contact as policymakers stepped up warnings over renewed yen weakness.

Still, the yen was on track for a second weekly fall, after markets judged the Bank of Japan's rate hike last week to a 31-year high and its latest guidance as insufficiently hawkish.

Elsewhere, the dollar strengthened 0.14% to 6.725 versus the offshore Chinese yuan, as a Trump-Xi summit in Washington showed no signs of breakthroughs at a closed-door meeting on thorny issues such as AI, trade, Taiwan and the Iran war.