Sisi Defends Decision to Float Currency

Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi during his speech at the Martyr’s Day celebration (Egyptian Presidency)
Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi during his speech at the Martyr’s Day celebration (Egyptian Presidency)
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Sisi Defends Decision to Float Currency

Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi during his speech at the Martyr’s Day celebration (Egyptian Presidency)
Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi during his speech at the Martyr’s Day celebration (Egyptian Presidency)

Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi pledged that economic conditions in the country would improve soon, defending a decision to liberalize the exchange rate despite his initial rejection of the move last year.

Speaking during the Martyr’s Day celebration in Cairo, Sisi said that liberalizing the exchange rate came “after providing the necessary amount for that.”

On Wednesday, the Egyptian Central Bank announced the liberalization of the exchange rate of the pound, allowing it to be determined according to market mechanisms. The value of the local currency fell to slightly less than 50 pounds to the dollar, after it had been stable for months at 30.85 pounds.

The president noted that around $45-50 billion in new financing have been injected through the multibillion-dollar Ras Al-Hekma development investment deal with the United Arab Emirates, an $8 billion loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund and agreements with the European Union.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Egyptian economic expert Mustafa Badra said that the shortage of foreign currency has “difficult repercussions on the economy and on Egyptians,” noting that at the beginning of 2024, the country suffered from a severe scarcity of foreign currency, amid fears that the dollar exchange rate would reach one hundred pounds, which would have caused social panic and affected prices.”

Egypt has been suffering from a long-term shortage of hard currency that worsened in early 2022, which “slowed down economic activity and led to a deficit in imported goods. This coincided with the acceleration of the inflation rate until it reached record levels during the past year,” according to observers.

Sisi said that Egypt has been experiencing a major crisis, as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, which lasted for two years, followed by the Russian-Ukrainian war, and then the war in Gaza that poses big threats and challenges to the country and the region.

“The previous circumstances and the pressure that Egyptians have endured over the past four years, which have increased in the last year with the rise in prices, require more effort, patience, and work in order to preserve and protect the country,” he remarked.

In the same context, Badra stressed that external challenges have complicated the situation in Egypt, stressing that it was not possible for the government to make decisions that would further exacerbate the economic situation.

He pointed to “the decline in Egypt’s dollar revenues from the Suez Canal and tourism due to the repercussions of the war in Gaza, which affected the regional environment as a whole.”

Revenues from the Egyptian Suez Canal declined by 50 percent at the beginning of 2024, according to official estimates, due to security tensions in the Red Sea, while the war in Gaza also affected inbound tourism.



Oil Falls on Demand Growth Concerns, Robust Dollar

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Falls on Demand Growth Concerns, Robust Dollar

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices fell on Friday on worries about demand growth in 2025, especially in top crude importer China, putting global oil benchmarks on track to end the week down nearly 3%.
Brent crude futures fell by 33 cents, or 0.45%, to $72.55 a barrel by 0730 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures eased 32 cents, or 0.46%, to $69.06 per barrel, Reuters said.
Chinese state-owned refiner Sinopec said in its annual energy outlook released on Thursday that China's crude imports could peak as soon as 2025 and the country's oil consumption would peak by 2027 as diesel and gasoline demand weaken.
"Benchmark crude prices are in a prolonged consolidation phase as the market heads towards the year-end weighed by uncertainty in oil demand growth," said Emril Jamil, senior research specialist at LSEG.
He added that OPEC+ would require supply discipline to perk up prices and soothe jittery market nerves over continuous revisions of its demand growth outlook. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, recently cut its growth forecast for 2024 global oil demand for a fifth straight month.
Meanwhile, the dollar's climb to a two-year high also weighed on oil prices, after the Federal Reserve flagged it would be cautious about cutting interest rates in 2025.
A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, while a slower pace of rate cuts could dampen economic growth and trim oil demand.
JPMorgan sees the oil market moving from balance in 2024 to a surplus of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025, as the bank forecasts non-OPEC+ supply increasing by 1.8 million bpd in 2025 and OPEC output remaining at current levels.
In a move that could pare supply, G7 countries are considering ways to tighten the price cap on Russian oil, such as with an outright ban or by lowering the price threshold, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.
Russia has circumvented the $60 per barrel cap imposed in 2022 using its "shadow fleet" of ships, which the EU and Britain have targeted with further sanctions in recent days.