Oil Up as Middle East Tensions Persist

(FILES) A picture taken on May 23, 2016 shows the ExxonMobil refinery in Notre-Dame-de-Gravenchon, northwestern France, on March 11, 2024. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP)
(FILES) A picture taken on May 23, 2016 shows the ExxonMobil refinery in Notre-Dame-de-Gravenchon, northwestern France, on March 11, 2024. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP)
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Oil Up as Middle East Tensions Persist

(FILES) A picture taken on May 23, 2016 shows the ExxonMobil refinery in Notre-Dame-de-Gravenchon, northwestern France, on March 11, 2024. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP)
(FILES) A picture taken on May 23, 2016 shows the ExxonMobil refinery in Notre-Dame-de-Gravenchon, northwestern France, on March 11, 2024. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP)

Oil prices rose in Tuesday trade as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to spur concern, but gains were limited on bearish demand sentiments and as the market waited for monthly reports from oil agencies.
Brent futures for May delivery was up 26 cents, or 0.3%, to $82.47 a barrel by 0408 GMT. The US crude April contract rose 17 cents, or 0.2%, to $78.10 a barrel, Reuters reported.
While the war between Israel and Palestinian group Hamas has not led to significant oil supply disruptions, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis have been attacking ships in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden since November in what they say is a campaign of solidarity with Palestinians.
Airstrikes attributed to a US-British coalition hit port cities and small towns in western Yemen on Monday, while the Houthis said on Tuesday they had targeted what was described as the "US ship Pinocchio" in the Red Sea with missiles.
Capping gains however are the outlooks for weaker demand and increasing supply from producers outside of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects oil supply to grow to a record high of about 103.8 million bpd, almost entirely driven by producers outside OPEC and its allies (OPEC+), including the United States, Brazil and Guyana.
Meanwhile, China's crude oil imports rose in the first two months of the year versus the same period in 2023, but they were weaker than the preceding months, continuing a trend of softening purchases by the world's biggest buyer.
In the meantime, the market is awaiting demand estimates from monthly reports by OPEC, the IEA and the Energy Information Administration, analysts from ANZ said in a note.
"While we believe the estimates will be largely unchanged, any upside surprise will ease demand concerns."



Gold Prices Extend Gains as US-China Trade War Escalates

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo
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Gold Prices Extend Gains as US-China Trade War Escalates

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo

Gold prices extended gains on Thursday, driven by an escalating trade war between the United States and China, even after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for other countries.

Spot gold was up 1% at $3,113.20 an ounce at 0955 GMT, after its biggest daily gain since October 2023 on Wednesday. US gold futures were up 1.6% to $3,129.90.

"We're just living in a world of extreme uncertainty. We just don't really know which way this trade war is going to go ... I think for the course of this year, gold will march higher," said Nitesh Shah, commodities strategist at WisdomTree.

Trump said on Wednesday he would temporarily lower the hefty duties he had just imposed on dozens of countries, but ramped up the tariff on China to 125% from 104% following Beijing's decision to impose an 84% levy on US goods.

The US Federal Reserve's minutes of its meeting last month showed policymakers were nearly unanimous in thinking the US economy faced simultaneous risks of higher inflation and slower growth, with some noting that "difficult trade-offs" could lie ahead for the central bank.

Investors' focus is on US consumer price index data at 1230 GMT to gauge the trajectory of the Fed's monetary policy. The market is currently pricing in 84 basis points of rate cuts by the Fed by year-end.

Bullion is viewed as a safe haven amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties, and tends to thrive in a low-interest rate environment. Spot gold prices have maintained an upward trend from last year, and have risen over 18% this year.

"My forecast (for gold) is for $3,600 in about a year's time with a lot of upside risk, and I wouldn't be surprised if we get to $4,000," Shah said.

Spot silver fell 0.3% to $30.95 an ounce, platinum lost 0.8% to $930.19, and palladium shed 1.9% to $914.20.