EU Saw Record Agri-food Surplus in 2023

Belgian farmers stand next to their tractors during a protest on the day of an EU agriculture ministers' meeting in Brussels, Belgium, March 26. REUTERS/Yves Herman
Belgian farmers stand next to their tractors during a protest on the day of an EU agriculture ministers' meeting in Brussels, Belgium, March 26. REUTERS/Yves Herman
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EU Saw Record Agri-food Surplus in 2023

Belgian farmers stand next to their tractors during a protest on the day of an EU agriculture ministers' meeting in Brussels, Belgium, March 26. REUTERS/Yves Herman
Belgian farmers stand next to their tractors during a protest on the day of an EU agriculture ministers' meeting in Brussels, Belgium, March 26. REUTERS/Yves Herman

EU agri-food trade balance reached its record level in 2023, according to the latest report published by the European Commission.

The report released by the European Commission indicates that the EU agri-food trade balance reached its record level in 2023. EU exports reached €228.6 billion, with EU imports at €158.6 billion in 2023, resulting in a total surplus of €70.1 billion (+22% and €12.8 billion higher than in 2022).

"This positive balance is mainly due to sustained high prices for EU export products paired with declining world prices for imported products," the report said.

Key drivers of EU exports included cereal preparations, dairy products, and wine. Regarding imports, the EU continues to experience a trade deficit in certain product categories such as oilseeds and protein crops, fruit and nuts and coffee, tea, cocoa, and spices.

With its renowned quality, competitiveness and high level of diversification, the European Union remains the top global trader of agri-food products.

EU agri-food exports reached €228.6 billion in 2023. The EU trades with a large number of countries, with the United Kingdom (UK) being the top destination for EU agri-food exports, accounting for 22% (€51.3 billion). The United States (US) remains the second destination of all EU agri-food exports, even though there was a slight decrease of EU exports there, in particular for spirits and liqueurs. China is still the third destination absorbing 6% of all EU agri-food export value.

However, exports of pigmeat to China decreased by 29% in 2023. EU agri-food exports to Türkiye (+€683 million, +7%) and Ukraine increased (+€533 million, +18%). Overall, EU agri-food trade remained diversified with an important number of partner countries.

Meanwhile, EU agri-food imports decreased by 7% in 2023, reaching €158.6 billion. This evolution of the value of EU agri-food imports is related to the evolution of prices of products imported.



Gold Edges Down as Markets Eye Fed's 2025 Monetary Policy Outlook

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Edges Down as Markets Eye Fed's 2025 Monetary Policy Outlook

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices edged lower as the dollar held firm on Wednesday, with investors awaiting a key US Federal Reserve decision expected to shape market sentiment and gold's trajectory by outlining the central bank's 2025 outlook.

Spot gold slipped 0.3% to $2,637.13 per ounce by 10:00 a.m. EST (1500 GMT). US gold futures were down 0.3% at $2,653.20.

The Fed's 2025 economic projections and decision are due at 2 p.m. EST (1900 GMT), followed by Fed chair Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. EST, Reuters reported.

"What markets will truly focus on is the tone set by Jerome Powell. A hawkish stance could drive Treasury yields higher and bolster the dollar, putting downward pressure on gold prices," said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.

"Conversely, a more cautious tone might provide some support for bullion."

While markets are pricing in a 99% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut during this meeting, the chances of another reduction in January stand at only 17%.

Non-yielding gold tends to do well in a low-interest-rate environment.

Traders are also watching out for key US GDP and inflation data due later this week that could further shape expectations around monetary policy.

"I do see the consolidation as a continuation pattern within the longer term uptrend in gold. I think that trend will re-exert itself in the first quarter of 2025," said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

Grant highlighted that bullion remains underpinned by easing central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, sustained buying by central banks, and rising global political instability.

UBS echoed this sentiment in a note, predicting gold would "build on its gains in 2025." The bank emphasized that central banks are likely to continue accumulating gold as they diversify reserves, while heightened demand for hedges could drive inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Spot silver fell 1.1% at $30.19 per ounce, platinum slipped 1.3% to $926.90, while palladium declined 1.3% to $922.19.