Saudi Inflation Slows to Lowest Level Since 2021

A Saudi citizen buys sweets from one of the major stores in preparation for Eid al-Fitr (SPA)
A Saudi citizen buys sweets from one of the major stores in preparation for Eid al-Fitr (SPA)
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Saudi Inflation Slows to Lowest Level Since 2021

A Saudi citizen buys sweets from one of the major stores in preparation for Eid al-Fitr (SPA)
A Saudi citizen buys sweets from one of the major stores in preparation for Eid al-Fitr (SPA)

In March, inflation in Saudi Arabia slowed down to its lowest level since 2021, hitting 1.6% annually compared to 1.8% in February.

This drop was mainly due to a slowdown in food and beverage price increases. However, housing rents continued to climb, reaching 10.5%.

In June 2021, inflation peaked at 6.16%, according to data from Saudi Arabia’s General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).

Among the G20 nations, Saudi Arabia ranks third lowest in inflation rates, trailing behind Switzerland and Italy.

According to the World Bank’s latest report for the Middle East and North Africa, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have managed to keep inflation in check through strict monetary policies and support for food and energy prices.

Recent data from GASTAT shows that housing and utility prices went up by 8.8%, while food and drink prices rose by 0.9%. However, transportation costs fell by 1.8%, and prices for miscellaneous goods and personal services increased by 1.1%.

Experts speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat say the Saudi government's measures have kept inflation lower compared to global economies.

Mohammed Bin Duleim Al-Qahtani, an economist at King Faisal University, pointed out that housing, rent, dining out, and electricity prices still affect inflation.

He believes the economy will grow, preventing major economic downturns over the next couple of years. Al-Qahtani also expected inflation to drop significantly by 2028.

Nasser Al-Quraowi, head of the Saudi Center for Studies and Research, said Saudi Arabia ranks among the top five countries in stable inflation despite global crises.

He emphasized the state’s role in protecting citizens and residents’ living standards, which will remain a priority for inflation control in the future.



Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
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Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

Russia's central bank has left its benchmark interest rate at 21%, holding off on further increases as it struggles to snuff out inflation fueled by the government's spending on the war against Ukraine.
The decision comes amid criticism from influential business figures, including tycoons close to the Kremlin, that high rates are putting the brakes on business activity and the economy.
According to The Associated Press, the central bank said in a statement that credit conditions had tightened “more than envisaged” by the October rate hike that brought the benchmark to its current record level.
The bank said it would assess the need for any future increases at its next meeting and that inflation was expected to fall to an annual 4% next year from its current 9.5%
Factories are running three shifts making everything from vehicles to clothing for the military, while a labor shortage is driving up wages and fat enlistment bonuses are putting more rubles in people's bank accounts to spend. All that is driving up prices.
On top of that, the weakening Russian ruble raises the prices of imported goods like cars and consumer electronics from China, which has become Russia's biggest trade partner since Western sanctions disrupted economic relations with Europe and the US.
High rates can dampen inflation but also make it more expensive for businesses to get the credit they need to operate and invest.
Critics of the central bank rates and its Governor Elvira Nabiullina have included Sergei Chemezov, the head of state-controlled defense and technology conglomerate Rostec, and steel magnate Alexei Mordashov.
Russian President Vladimir Putin opened his annual news conference on Thursday by saying the economy is on track to grow by nearly 4% this year and that while inflation is “an alarming sign," wages have risen at the same rate and that "on the whole, this situation is stable and secure.”
He acknowledged there had been criticism of the central bank, saying that “some experts believe that the Central Bank could have been more effective and could have started using certain instruments earlier.”
Nabiullina said in November that while the economy is growing, “the rise in prices for the vast majority of goods and services shows that demand is outrunning the expansion of economic capacity and the economy’s potential.”
Russia's military spending is enabled by oil exports, which have shifted from Europe to new customers in India and China who aren't observing sanctions such as a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian oil sales.