Saudi Central Bank Chief Warns of Soaring Sovereign Debt Levels

The Spring Meetings of the IMF and World Bank held in Washington (IMF website)
The Spring Meetings of the IMF and World Bank held in Washington (IMF website)
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Saudi Central Bank Chief Warns of Soaring Sovereign Debt Levels

The Spring Meetings of the IMF and World Bank held in Washington (IMF website)
The Spring Meetings of the IMF and World Bank held in Washington (IMF website)

Ayman Al-Sayari, Governor of the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA), has warned about the growing gap in economic growth between countries. He pointed out the risks of food shortages and increased vulnerability to debts.

Speaking at a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from the G20, Al-Sayari stressed the importance of countries working together and having a fair global trade system.

This, he said, would help make the global economy stronger and fairer, especially for poorer countries.

The world economy is uncertain due to various reasons, including political changes in the Middle East, rising prices in many countries, and big economies keeping interest rates high. This affects how much money goes into developing countries and increases their debts.

Al-Sayari also said that countries with strong economies can attract more stable investments. Many countries are trying hard to control rising prices, which means people spend less and slow down the economy. This leads to more borrowing and higher debts worldwide.

Global debt is a big problem, reaching record levels and causing problems for countries and people.

With global public debt rising slightly to 93% of GDP in 2023, up by about 9 percentage points from its pre-COVID-19 level, the IMF places addressing global debt as one of its top priorities, with significant attention given to this issue during the ongoing Spring Meetings in Washington.

In this context, the IMF, World Bank, and Brazil, the current president of the G20, stated on Wednesday that there has been significant progress on global debt issues in recent months, pointing to new agreements on required timelines and fair treatment of stakeholders.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, World Bank President Ajay Banga, and Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad issued a joint statement on the matter after a ministerial-level meeting for the Global Sovereign Debt Roundtable (GSDR).

The meeting brought together debtor and creditor nations, international financial institutions, and the private sector to reinvigorate debt restructuring efforts that have been stalled for a long time, and to build a better understanding of addressing challenges.

The statement emphasized the need for improving clarity, coordination, and transparency among creditor groups, and providing debtor countries with metrics for evaluating their own debts.

Creditors from the private sector and debtor governments must ensure, before finalizing and announcing a deal, that the deal has been reviewed by IMF staff for consistency with debt objectives and program standards, and by official bilateral creditors regarding fair treatment of stakeholders.

Al-Sayari emphasized the need for policies that focus on making finances stable, saving money, and dealing with inflation. He also talked about how the world economy is coping with these challenges, facing risks that could affect its future.



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.