Iraq Stresses Commitment to OPEC+, Does Not Oppose Extending Production Cuts

Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul-Ghani during his participation in the licensing round for 29 oil and gas exploration areas on Saturday. (Reuters)
Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul-Ghani during his participation in the licensing round for 29 oil and gas exploration areas on Saturday. (Reuters)
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Iraq Stresses Commitment to OPEC+, Does Not Oppose Extending Production Cuts

Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul-Ghani during his participation in the licensing round for 29 oil and gas exploration areas on Saturday. (Reuters)
Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul-Ghani during his participation in the licensing round for 29 oil and gas exploration areas on Saturday. (Reuters)

Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul-Ghani resolved a debate that arose on Saturday after comments he made about his country’s refusal to agree to any new cuts in production, when the OPEC+ alliance meets in June.

In remarks to Iraq's state news agency INA, the minister said the country is committed to voluntary oil production cuts agreed by OPEC and is keen to cooperate with member countries on efforts to achieve more stability in global oil markets.

On Saturday, both Bloomberg and Reuters reported that Abdul-Ghani stated, at a press conference in Baghdad during the launch of a licensing round for oil and gas exploration, that Iraq would not support extending the reduction in oil production during the upcoming OPEC Plus meeting.

INA quoted the minister as saying that the Ministry of Oil “is keen on the cooperation of member states and working to achieve greater stability in the global oil market by agreeing on voluntary reduction programs.”

A high-level source had previously informed Asharq Al-Awsat that what was reported about Abdul-Ghani was inaccurate, adding that a clarification statement would be issued in this regard.

The members of the OPEC+ alliance are scheduled to meet in early June to decide on oil production during the third quarter of the year. OPEC and its allies, led by Russia, are widely expected to extend current quotas to help boost the oil market.

Iraq has faced difficulties in complying with its target of 4 million barrels per day (bpd) in recent months, which includes a voluntary reduction of 223,000 bpd of oil below production levels for December 2023.

In April, Iraq pumped 4.24 million bpd of crude oil, including 200,000 bpd from the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region, over which the Iraqi federal government says it has no control.



Indian State Refiners May Buy Mideast Spot Oil to Replace Russian Shortfall

A worker rides a bicycle at the Bharat Petroleum Corporation refinery in Mumbai, April 24, 2008. REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe/FILE PHOTO
A worker rides a bicycle at the Bharat Petroleum Corporation refinery in Mumbai, April 24, 2008. REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe/FILE PHOTO
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Indian State Refiners May Buy Mideast Spot Oil to Replace Russian Shortfall

A worker rides a bicycle at the Bharat Petroleum Corporation refinery in Mumbai, April 24, 2008. REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe/FILE PHOTO
A worker rides a bicycle at the Bharat Petroleum Corporation refinery in Mumbai, April 24, 2008. REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe/FILE PHOTO

Indian state refiners are considering tapping the Middle East crude market as spot supply from their top supplier Russia have fallen, three refining sources said, in a move that could support prices for high-sulphur oil.
The three large state refiners- Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp and Hindustan Petroleum- are short of 8-10 million barrels of Russian oil for January loading, the sources told Reuters.
The refiners fear continued problems in securing Russian oil in the spot market could continue in coming months as Moscow's own demand is rising and it has to meet commitments under the OPEC pact.
However, they added that they can draw from their inventories to meet crude processing needs in March.
Two of the sources said their company may lift more crude from Middle East suppliers under optional volumes in term contracts or to float a spot tender for high-sulphur oil.

IOC, the country's top refiner, previously floated spot tenders to buy sour grades in March 2022.
The companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
India became the largest importer of Russian crude after the European Union, previously the top buyer, imposed sanctions on Russian oil imports in response to the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Russian oil accounts for more than a third of India's energy imports.
Russia's spot crude exports since November as its refineries resumed operations after the maintenance season and poor weather disrupted shipping activities, traders said.
“We have to explore alternative grades as Russia's own demand is rising and it has to meet its commitments under OPEC,” said another of the three sources.
Russia, an ally of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, promised to make extra cuts to its oil output from the end of 2024 to compensate for overproduction earlier.
Also, most supplies from Russia's state oil firm Rosneft are tied up in a deal with Indian private refiner Reliance Industries, Reuters reported earlier this month.
The new deal accounts for roughly half of Rosneft's seaborne oil exports from Russian ports, leaving little supply available for spot sales, sources told Reuters earlier this month.
India has no sanctions on Russian oil, so refiners there have cashed in on supplies made cheaper than rival grades by the penalties by at least $3 to $4 per barrel.
Sources said there are traders in the market that are willing to supply Russian oil for payments in Chinese Yuan but noted that state refiners stopped paying for Russian oil in the Chinese currency after advice from the government last year.
“It is not that alternatives to Russian oil are not available in the market but our economics will suffer,” the first source said.
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, reversing the prior session's losses, buoyed by a slightly positive market outlook for the short term, despite thin trade ahead of the Christmas holiday.
Brent crude futures were up 42 cents, or 0.6%, to $73.05 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 38 cents, or 0.6%, to $69.62 a barrel at 0742 GMT, Reuters reported.
FGE analysts said they anticipated the benchmark prices would fluctuate around current levels in the short term “as activity in the paper markets decreases during the holiday season and market participants stay on the sidelines until they get a clearer view of 2024 and 2025 global oil balances.”
Supply and demand changes in December have been supportive of their current less-bearish view so far, the analysts said in a note.
“Given how short the paper market is on positioning, any supply disruption could lead to upward spikes in structure,” they added.
Some analysts also pointed to signs of greater oil demand over the next few months.
“The year is ending with the consensus from major agencies over long 2025 liquids balances starting to break down,” Neil Crosby, Sparta Commodities' assistant vice president of oil analytics, said in a note.
Also supporting prices was a plan by China, the world's biggest oil importer, to issue 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) worth of special treasury bonds next year, as Beijing ramps up fiscal stimulus to revive a faltering economy.
China's stimulus is likely to provide near-term support for WTI crude at $67 a barrel, said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.