Oil Prices Rise on US Inventories Drawdown Expectations, CPI Focus

Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. (Reuters)
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. (Reuters)
TT

Oil Prices Rise on US Inventories Drawdown Expectations, CPI Focus

Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. (Reuters)
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. (Reuters)

Oil prices rose on Wednesday on expectations for higher demand as the US dollar weakened and a report showed US crude and gasoline inventories fell while the release of inflation data may point to a more supportive economic outlook.
Brent crude futures were up 51 cents, or 0.6%, at $82.89 a barrel at 0630 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) rose 55 cents, or 0.7%, to $78.57 a barrel.
US crude oil inventories fell 3.104 million barrels in the week ended May 10, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories fell by 1.269 million barrels and distillates rose by 673,000 barrels, Reuters said.
US government inventory data is due later on Wednesday and are likely to also show a drop in crude stockpiles as refineries increase their runs to meet increased fuel demand heading into the peak summer driving season.
"Expectations of another drawdown in US oil inventories should support oil prices," ANZ Research said in a note.
US consumer price index (CPI) data is also due on Wednesday and should give a clearer indication whether the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates later this year, which could spur the economy and boost fuel demand.
Oil prices also found support from a softer US dollar and stimulus measures from China, said independent market analyst Tina Teng, with a weaker greenback making dollar-denominated oil cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
Teng was referring to China's plans to raise 1 trillion yuan ($138.39 billion) in long-term special treasury bonds this week to raise funds to stimulate key sectors of its flagging economy, which is the world's largest oil importer.
"The US CPI and China's economic data are key to driving oil prices for the rest of the week," she added. China will release economic activity data on Friday.
Prices were also supported by concerns around Canadian oil supply, a key exporter to the US.
A large wildfire is approaching Fort McMurray, the hub for Canada's oil sands industry that produces 3.3 million barrels per day of crude, or two-thirds of the country's total output.



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
TT

Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.