Poverty Strikes 14.5 Million Syrians in their Country

Despite the improvement in weather conditions, agricultural production in Syria declined due to the displacement of farmers (Syrian Agricultural Media Account)
Despite the improvement in weather conditions, agricultural production in Syria declined due to the displacement of farmers (Syrian Agricultural Media Account)
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Poverty Strikes 14.5 Million Syrians in their Country

Despite the improvement in weather conditions, agricultural production in Syria declined due to the displacement of farmers (Syrian Agricultural Media Account)
Despite the improvement in weather conditions, agricultural production in Syria declined due to the displacement of farmers (Syrian Agricultural Media Account)

Two recent World Bank reports show that the poverty belt in Syria currently includes about 69 percent of the population, or about 14.5 million Syrian citizens.

For more than 10 years, Syria has been mired in conflict, leading to widespread devastation and humanitarian crises. The situation has worsened with the recent external shocks, as the two reports pointed to the continued lack of funding and limited humanitarian aid, which further depleted families’ ability to secure their basic needs, amid rising prices, a decline in basic services, and an increase in unemployment rates.

The Regional Director of the Middle East Department at the World Bank, Jean-Christophe Carret, said Syria witnessed multiple and overlapping shocks last year, more than a decade after the start of the bloodiest conflict of this century.

The economic situation in Syria continued to deteriorate in 2023, according to the updated monitor of the World Bank, a copy of which was obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat, as economic activity maintained its decline, and the value of the Syrian pound dropped significantly by 141 percent against the US dollar. At the same time, estimates indicate that consumer price inflation rose by 93 percent, due to the reduction in subsidies provided by the government.

Amid the economic slowdown, which is partly caused by the damage to infrastructure due to earthquakes and conflicts, public finance revenues continue to drop, prompting the authorities to further reduce spending, while tightly adjusting support programs.

Although agricultural production had improved due to better weather conditions over the previous year, the conflict severely affected the agricultural sector, with massive displacement of farmers and widespread damage to infrastructure and irrigation networks, leading to a decline in yields.

Conflict-related unrest has also severely affected foreign trade, and the collapse of domestic industrial and agricultural production has amplified Syria’s dependence on imports.

The Spring 2024 issue of the Syrian Economic Monitor expects the economic contraction to continue, as a result of the real GDP being exposed to an unprecedented state of uncertainty, leading to its decline by 1.5 percent during the current year.

A special section, which is focused on the main findings of the Syrian Household Well-Being Report, indicates that in 2022, poverty affected 69 percent of the population, or about 14.5 million Syrians.

Although extreme poverty did not actually exist before the outbreak of the conflict, it affected more than one in every 4 Syrians in 2022, and may have worsened due to the devastating effects of the earthquake in February 2023 and other several external factors, especially Lebanon’s financial crisis in 2019, the Covid-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine.



Gold Eyes Best Quarter in over Eight Years

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
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Gold Eyes Best Quarter in over Eight Years

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)

Gold halted its record run on Friday but remained on track for its best quarter since 2016 after a rally catalysed by an outsized US Federal Reserve interest rate cut, while markets braced themselves for a crucial inflation report due later in the day.

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,666.50 per ounce as of 1115 GMT, below the all-time peak of $2,685.42 hit in the previous session. It is heading for its best quarter since the first three months of 2016.

US gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,688.90, Reuters reported.

"The market at this point in time has priced in all the good news and there's also some hesitancy from fresh buyers to get involved at these record high levels," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Bullion has risen 29% so far this year, hitting successive record peaks after last week's half-percentage-point cut by the Federal Reserve and the stimulus measures announced by China earlier this week.

Silver prices surged, tracking bullion's strong performance, though some analysts warn that the rally may fade.

"Overall, industrial demand is still supportive for silver. But we need to have a stronger economic performance in China as well as in other developed countries," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari.

The surge in silver prices is more a spillover impact from gold, Kumari said.

Spot silver eased 0.1% to $31.98 per ounce, after hitting its highest since December 2012 at $32.71 on Thursday. It is set for a third straight week of gains.

"I do believe silver will continue to outperform gold. But as we all know, wherever gold goes, silver tends to go, but faster," Hansen added.

Both gold and silver serve as safe-haven investments, but the latter has more industrial applications, so tends to underperform during recessions and outperform when economies expand.

Inflows into gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, are set to rise in coming months, adding yet more positive stimulus for already record high bullion prices. Some banks expect gold to rise towards $3,000.

In other metals, platinum was up 0.5% at $1,012.40 but palladium fell nearly 1.5% to $1,031.75.