Saudi Arabia: Extending Voluntary Cuts Supports Market Stability

02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
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Saudi Arabia: Extending Voluntary Cuts Supports Market Stability

02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa

Saudi Arabia’s cabinet on Tuesday welcomed the latest OPEC+ decisions, saying the Kingdom’s decision with seven other countries to extend their voluntary oil cuts aimed to boost precautionary efforts to support oil market stability.

OPEC oil-producing nations plus others including Russia make up OPEC+.

The OPEC+ alliance agreed on Sunday to extend its additional voluntary oil production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day, initially announced in November 2023, until the end of September 2024.

The alliance also decided to extend the additional cuts of 1.65 million barrels per day, announced in April 2023, until the end of December 2025.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman met in person in Riyadh on the sidelines of the 37th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said that it is better for OPEC+ countries to remain cautious, in the context of the different views on the market and the continuing state of economic uncertainty.

“The group is moving hard and showing its cohesion and that it can stop or reverse course if necessary,” he told reporters after attending the OPEC+ meeting in Riyadh on Sunday.

On his part, Kuwait’s Oil Minister Imad Al-Atiqi affirmed on Tuesday that the economic conditions and interest rates were two main factors in determining market stability and supply and demand rates.

In a ministry press release, Al-Atiqi said that the OPEC and OPEC+ ministerial meetings that were held on Sunday came as part of OPEC+ efforts to help stabilize the oil market.

Al-Atiqi applauded the positive results of those meetings that would help restore balance in the oil market, in which they included the extension of voluntary output cuts until December 2025.

He called for being cautious during the revision of the oil market developments, pointing out that OPEC+ strategy towards the market will depend mainly on the pattern of those developments.

He stressed that the commitment of the OPEC+ member states in the voluntary reduction in an integrated manner is vital, as it will ensure market stability and interacting proactively with the dynamics of global oil demand.

Al-Atiqi praised Iraq, Russia, and Kazakhstan’s pledge to achieve full compliance with OPEC+ production targets and to submit their updated compensation plans to the OPEC Secretariat by the end of June 2024.

These plans address excess production levels since January 2024.

HSBC stated that the recent OPEC+ agreement has successfully maintained the cohesion of the alliance.

The bank kept its Brent crude price forecast unchanged at $82 per barrel for 2024, expecting it to average $80 per barrel in the second half of the year.

HSBC analysts noted that the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting was anticipated, as they had previously forecasted the continuation of production cuts until at least the end of 2025, given strong supply growth from non-OPEC sources.

Overall, HSBC indicated that OPEC+ plans to add approximately 2.5 million barrels per day to production from October 2024 to September 2025.

This includes the end of the second phase of voluntary cuts agreed upon in November 2023, amounting to about 2.2 million barrels per day, along with an additional 300,000 barrels per day from the UAE.



Gold Extends Gains as Trump Tariffs Fuel Safe Haven Flows

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Extends Gains as Trump Tariffs Fuel Safe Haven Flows

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices rose for a second straight session on Tuesday, but traded below the recent all-time highs, as uncertainty around US President Donald Trump's tariff plans continued to fuel economic growth concerns and safe haven flows into bullion.

Spot gold gained 0.6% at $2,913.79 an ounce as of 0714 GMT. It hit a record high of $2,942.70 last week.

US gold futures added 0.9% to $2,925.50.

"Trump's disruptive modus operandi, aggressive rhetoric and tariffs - whether actual or threatened - could unravel global trade and intricate supply chains," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior financial writer at trading platform Tradu, Reuters reported.

"With uncertainty surrounding the global economy and the broader geopolitical landscape in the Trump 2.0 era, gold is set to remain a natural beneficiary of risk-off flows and central bank buying."

Since taking office last month, Trump has swiftly redrawn the global trade battlefield with a series of tariffs, while plans are already in motion for sweeping reciprocal tariffs, aimed squarely at any nation that taxes US products.

"Gold continues to benefit from the uncertainty surrounding the US. government's tariff policy. Central bank buying should also continue to provide support, even if there is no new data on this," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

The market's focus has now shifted to the US Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes due on Wednesday for clues into the central bank's interest rate trajectory.

"Price gains are also supported by growing expectations that the Fed will cut rates in 2025 - a sentiment that gained further traction among traders after last week's disappointing US retail sales figures," Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at brokerage firm ActivTrades, said.

Bullion benefits from geopolitical and economic uncertainties, as well as rising price pressures, but higher interest rates diminish the asset's allure.

Spot silver fell 0.9% to $32.50 an ounce. Platinum jumped 0.9% to $985.20 and palladium climbed 1.6% to $978.00.