Saudi Arabia: Extending Voluntary Cuts Supports Market Stability

02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
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Saudi Arabia: Extending Voluntary Cuts Supports Market Stability

02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa
02 June 2024, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh: Ministers of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman pose for a photo during the 37th OPEC+ ministerial meeting. Photo: -/Saudi Press Agency/dpa

Saudi Arabia’s cabinet on Tuesday welcomed the latest OPEC+ decisions, saying the Kingdom’s decision with seven other countries to extend their voluntary oil cuts aimed to boost precautionary efforts to support oil market stability.

OPEC oil-producing nations plus others including Russia make up OPEC+.

The OPEC+ alliance agreed on Sunday to extend its additional voluntary oil production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day, initially announced in November 2023, until the end of September 2024.

The alliance also decided to extend the additional cuts of 1.65 million barrels per day, announced in April 2023, until the end of December 2025.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman met in person in Riyadh on the sidelines of the 37th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said that it is better for OPEC+ countries to remain cautious, in the context of the different views on the market and the continuing state of economic uncertainty.

“The group is moving hard and showing its cohesion and that it can stop or reverse course if necessary,” he told reporters after attending the OPEC+ meeting in Riyadh on Sunday.

On his part, Kuwait’s Oil Minister Imad Al-Atiqi affirmed on Tuesday that the economic conditions and interest rates were two main factors in determining market stability and supply and demand rates.

In a ministry press release, Al-Atiqi said that the OPEC and OPEC+ ministerial meetings that were held on Sunday came as part of OPEC+ efforts to help stabilize the oil market.

Al-Atiqi applauded the positive results of those meetings that would help restore balance in the oil market, in which they included the extension of voluntary output cuts until December 2025.

He called for being cautious during the revision of the oil market developments, pointing out that OPEC+ strategy towards the market will depend mainly on the pattern of those developments.

He stressed that the commitment of the OPEC+ member states in the voluntary reduction in an integrated manner is vital, as it will ensure market stability and interacting proactively with the dynamics of global oil demand.

Al-Atiqi praised Iraq, Russia, and Kazakhstan’s pledge to achieve full compliance with OPEC+ production targets and to submit their updated compensation plans to the OPEC Secretariat by the end of June 2024.

These plans address excess production levels since January 2024.

HSBC stated that the recent OPEC+ agreement has successfully maintained the cohesion of the alliance.

The bank kept its Brent crude price forecast unchanged at $82 per barrel for 2024, expecting it to average $80 per barrel in the second half of the year.

HSBC analysts noted that the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting was anticipated, as they had previously forecasted the continuation of production cuts until at least the end of 2025, given strong supply growth from non-OPEC sources.

Overall, HSBC indicated that OPEC+ plans to add approximately 2.5 million barrels per day to production from October 2024 to September 2025.

This includes the end of the second phase of voluntary cuts agreed upon in November 2023, amounting to about 2.2 million barrels per day, along with an additional 300,000 barrels per day from the UAE.



Trump’s Trade War Is ‘Wake-up Call’ for Europe, Lagarde Says 

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde looks on as she speaks to the media following the Governing Council's monthly monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, March 6, 2025. (Reuters)
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde looks on as she speaks to the media following the Governing Council's monthly monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, March 6, 2025. (Reuters)
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Trump’s Trade War Is ‘Wake-up Call’ for Europe, Lagarde Says 

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde looks on as she speaks to the media following the Governing Council's monthly monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, March 6, 2025. (Reuters)
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde looks on as she speaks to the media following the Governing Council's monthly monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, March 6, 2025. (Reuters)

A full-scale global trade war would hurt the United States in particular and could re-energize Europe's push towards unity, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Friday.

The US has imposed a raft of tariffs on friends and foes alike and threatened even more measures, prompting retaliation from most and raising concern that global growth could take a major hit.

"If we were to go to a real trade war, where trade would be dampened significantly, that would have severe consequences," Lagarde told BBC's HARDTalk program. "It would have severe consequences for growth around the world and for prices around the world, but particularly in the United States."

However, these tensions could also have the positive side effect of giving European unity another push, Lagarde argued.

"You know what it's doing at the moment? Stirring European energy. It's a big wake-up call for Europe. Maybe this is a European moment, yet again," she said.

The European Commission and Germany, the bloc's biggest economy, have already announced increased spending on defense and infrastructure, ending years of reluctance to spend, Lagarde argued.

This "collective waking up" also appears to include the UK, which left the European Union, as it's taking part in Europe's security effort, Lagarde argued.

Many of the EU's large scale efforts to deepen unity have been stalled for the better part of the last decade and former ECB chief Mario Draghi delivered a scathing report on the European project last year.

Leaders, however, have taken few if any steps to implement Draghi's reform proposals, even as the bloc is barely growing now and Germany suffered two straight years to economic contraction.