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Gold Eyes First Weekly Gain in Four on Cooling US Inflation

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Eyes First Weekly Gain in Four on Cooling US Inflation

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices rose on Friday and were on course for their first weekly gain in four, as US economic data indicated a softening of price pressures, fuelling optimism that a rate cut by the Federal Reserve might be forthcoming.
Spot gold was up 0.4% at $2,311.39 per ounce, as of 0654 GMT. Bullion has gained 0.5% so far for the week.
US gold futures rose 0.4% to $2,326.40, reported Reuters.
"Market will try to take cues from what type of comments are coming from Fed officials. But overall, we see that market is set for two interest rate cuts this year, because inflation numbers are softening and moving in a desirable direction for the Fed," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari.
"There could be sentiment-driven pullback in gold prices in the short-term. But that will be a buying opportunity for most of the investors who missed the rally initially."
Data on Thursday showed that US producer prices unexpectedly fell in May, another indication that inflation was subsiding, keeping hopes of a Fed rate cut in September alive.
The data followed a cooler-than-expected CPI report released just ahead of the Fed meeting on Wednesday, where the central bank pushed out the start of rate cuts to perhaps as late as December.
Traders are seeing a 67% probability of a rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, compared to 63% before the producer prices data.
Lower interest rates would reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
"The best recipe for gold would be continued weakness in inflation, then that recessionary appeal of gold will start to come through as a bit of an extension of expectations of potential rate cuts this year," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Spot silver rose 0.1% to $29.02 per ounce, platinum was up 1.2% at $957.75 and palladium gained 0.6% to $888.52. All three metals were headed for weekly losses.

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Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Egypt's cabinet approved a 4.6 trillion Egyptian pound ($91 billion) draft state budget for the financial year that will begin in July, a government statement said on Wednesday, as it continues to tighten its finances under an IMF program.

Expenditures will rise by 18% and revenue by 19% over the current 2024/25 budget. Revenue is expected to hit 3.1 trillion pounds, working out to a deficit of about 1.5 trillion pounds ($30 billion).

The increased expenditure partly reflects elevated headline inflation, which was running at an annual 12.8% in February.

Financial reforms under an $8 billion financial reform program signed in March 2024 with the International Monetary Fund have helped Egypt bring inflation down from a peak of 38% in September 2023.

The IMF this month approved the disbursement of $1.2 billion to Egypt after its fourth review of the program.

The new budget targets a primary surplus of 795 billion pounds, equal to 4% of GDP, up from the 3.5% primary surplus originally targeted in the 2024/25 budget.

The IMF granted the government a waiver in the fourth review after the surplus came in 0.5% of GDP lower than Egypt's earlier commitment.

In its third review in June, the IMF praised Egypt for its "strict control of spending".

The new budget also lowers public debt to 82.9% of GDP from an expected 92% in 2024/25, the cabinet statement said.

The cabinet said 732.6 billion pounds in spending in the new budget would be allocated for subsidies, grants and social benefits, an increase of 15.2%.

The budget increases commodities and bread subsidies by 20% to 160 billion pounds. It will also include 75 billion pounds to subsidize petroleum products, 75 billion pounds to subsidize electricity and 3.5 billion pounds to subsidize natural gas deliveries to households, the statement added.