Gold Gains Traction on Weak US Economic Data

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Gains Traction on Weak US Economic Data

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices edged up on Wednesday after data suggesting lacklustre US economic activity kept alive hopes for at least one interest rate cut this year.

Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,330.27 per ounce as of 1156 GMT. Prices rose about 0.4% in the previous session.

US retail sales barely rose in May and figures for the prior month were revised considerably lower, data showed on Tuesday, suggesting economic activity remained lacklustre in the second quarter, Reuters reported.

That slightly boosted the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September to 67% from 61% a day earlier, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

The main drive for gold's price action remains the market expectations over the Fed's monetary policy and despite prices creeping up, the move is quite subdued as the market waits for more substantial news, said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.

Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

"Market expectations point to at least one rate cut from the Fed. That scenario has been fully priced in the value of the dollar. Government purchases (of gold) remain stable as well. So, unless there is any significant change in this scenario, prices are expected to remain supported above the $2,300 level," Evangelista said.

Gold prices rose about 1.3% last Friday on signs of inflation cooling in the United States amid a selloff across European equities as French stocks were battered by political turmoil.

Political uncertainty surrounding Europe can be a positive, with elections in France and the UK nearing, Kinesis Money market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa said.

The more immediate focus, however, is on the US weekly jobless claims data on Thursday and flash purchasing managers' indexes on Friday.

Spot silver was up 0.1% at $29.54 per ounce, platinum rose 1.1% to $983.45 and palladium gained 1.9% to $904.00.



Gold Rises on Dip-buying, Focus on US-China Trade Updates

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
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Gold Rises on Dip-buying, Focus on US-China Trade Updates

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo

Gold prices rebounded on Thursday as investors bought bullion following a sharp decline in the previous session, while focus still remained on US-China trade tensions.
Spot gold was up 1.6% to $3,340.79 an ounce, as of 0907 GMT, Reuters reported. Bullion lost over 3% on Wednesday, in its worst daily performance since late November.
US gold futures gained 1.8% to $3,352.10.
"Gold's pullback earlier has cleared some of the froth from its latest surge. That in turn attracted some buy-the-dip action, amid still-persistent global trade war fears," said Han Tan, Exinity Group's chief market analyst.
"Given the still-evident tailwinds for this precious metal, gold bugs could ultimately conquer the $3,500 level with conviction."
Non-yielding bullion, traditionally seen as a hedge against global instability, has risen over 27% so far this year.
The International Monetary Fund made sharp reductions to its outlook for both US and global growth this year, with President Donald Trump's tariff policy the central reason behind the downgrade.
"If the economic outlook deteriorates further, then there's no reason why gold could not receive another strong bid," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
However, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US economic growth will surpass the IMF's revised estimate of 1.8%, down from 2.7% in January, if Trump administration's policies are implemented.
He also said that the excessively high tariffs between the US and China are unsustainable, and must be reduced before trade negotiations can proceed.
Supporting gold, the US dollar eased, making the greenback-priced bullion cheaper for overseas buyers.
Spot silver fell 0.5% to $33.37 an ounce, platinum was steady at $973.25 and palladium was down 0.6% to $939.53.