Saudi Arabia’s PMI Remains in Economic Expansion Zone

King Abdullah Financial Center in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s PMI Remains in Economic Expansion Zone

King Abdullah Financial Center in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The latest Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) showed the Kingdom's PMI stabilized at 55, as a result of another strong improvement in business activity in the non-oil-producing private sector.
The analytical readings issued by the Ministry of Economy and Planning indicate that the index stayed above the fifty-point limit, remaining in the economic expansion zone.
Riyad Bank said on Wednesday that companies had increased their production levels to support sales and projects, despite additional evidence of declining demand expectations. Growth in new orders fell to its weakest level in nearly two and a half years.
Non-oil producing companies recorded the slowest increase in purchases of production inputs in nearly 3 years, as they are looking to ease recent increases in inventory, while job growth has also declined compared to May.
At the same time, other reports noted that customer discounts affected overall selling prices and ran counter to efforts to pass on the strong increase in input prices to customers.
Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, said: “The PMI for the non-oil economy recorded at 55.0 in June, marking the slowest pace of expansion since January 2022. The new orders component fell compared to the previous month, suggesting a slight moderation in demand growth.”
He added: “However, the growth in non-oil sectors was supported by a strong increase in output levels. Employment numbers also rose, while suppliers’ delivery times continued to improve.”
In an analytical bulletin, the Saudi Ministry of Economy and Planning explained that the production index recorded 61.1 points, supported by the improvement in commercial activity in the non-oil private sector, and that employment indicators continued to rise, driven by the increase in the number of employees and the stability of supply chains.
The Ministry indicated that the optimistic outlook of business owners and investors continued in light of the improvement in market conditions and the rise in demand for goods and services, which in turn reflects positively on the future outlook for the current year.

 



Oil Falls Nearly 4% as Iran's Retaliation Focuses on Regional US Military Bases

FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009.  REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009. REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
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Oil Falls Nearly 4% as Iran's Retaliation Focuses on Regional US Military Bases

FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009.  REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009. REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo

Oil prices slipped more than $3, or 4%, on Monday after Iran attacked the US military base in Qatar in retaliation for US attacks on its nuclear facilities, and took no action to disrupt oil and gas tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures were down $2.91, or 3.8%, at $74.09 a barrel by 1:13 p.m. ET (1713GMT). US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) eased $2.8, or 3.8%, to $71.06, Reuters reported.

"Oil flows for now aren't the primary target and is likely not to be impacted, I think it's going to be military retaliation on US bases and/or trying to hit more of the Israeli civilian targets," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital.

US President Donald Trump said he had "obliterated" Iran's main nuclear sites in strikes over the weekend, joining an Israeli assault in an escalation of conflict in the Middle East as Tehran vowed to defend itself.

Israel also carried out fresh strikes against Iran on Monday including on capital Tehran and the Iranian nuclear facility at Fordow, which was also a target of the US attack.

At least two supertankers made U-turns near the Strait of Hormuz following US military strikes on Iran, ship tracking data shows, as more than a week of violence in the region prompted vessels to speed, pause, or alter their journeys.

About a fifth of global oil supply flows through the strait. However, the risk of a complete shutdown is low, analysts have said.

A telegraphed attack on a well defended US base could be a first step in reducing tensions provided there are no US casualties, Energy Aspects said in a post.

"Unless there are indications of further Iranian retaliation or escalation by Israel/the US then we may see some geopolitical risk premium come out of the price in subsequent days," it said.

Qatar said there were no casualties from the attack on the US military base.
Iran, which is OPEC's third-largest crude producer, said on Monday that the US attack on its nuclear sites expanded the range of legitimate targets for its armed forces and called Trump a "gambler" for joining Israel's military campaign against Iran.

Meanwhile, Trump expressed a desire to see oil prices kept down amid fears that ongoing fighting in the Middle East could cause them to spike. On his Truth Social platform, he addressed the US Department of Energy, encouraging "drill, baby, drill" and saying, "I mean now."

Investors are still weighing up the extent of the geopolitical risk premium, given the Middle East crisis has yet to crimp supply.

HSBC expects Brent prices to spike above $80 a barrel to factor in a higher probability of a Strait of Hormuz closure, but to recede again if the threat of disruption does not materialize, the bank said on Monday.

Iraq's state-run Basra Oil Company said international oil majors including BP, TotalEnergies and Eni had evacuated some staff members working in oilfields.