Oil Rises as US Inflation Eases

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices rose on Friday amid signs of easing inflationary pressures in the United States, the world's biggest oil consumer, with Brent crude peaking above $86 though it was still set for a weekly decline.
Brent crude futures rose 72 cents, or 0.8%, to $86.12 a barrel by 0819 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 85 cents, or 1%, to $83.47 a barrel. Both contracts gained in the prior two sessions, Reuters reported.
Brent futures were set to fall about 1% week-on-week following four weekly gains. WTI futures were broadly stable on a weekly basis.
Investor confidence was bolstered after data on Thursday showed US consumer prices fell in June, stoking hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon.
Lower rates are expected to boost economic growth, which would help raise fuel consumption.
The market, however, is still awaiting clearer signs of action. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the recent improving trend in price pressures, he told lawmakers that more data was needed to strengthen the case for rate cuts.
"Cooling US inflation numbers may support the case for the Fed to kick-start its policy easing process earlier rather than later, but it also adds to the series of downside surprises in US economic data, which points to a clear weakening of the US economy," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
Indications of strong summer fuel demand in the US also supported prices.
US gasoline demand was at 9.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in the week ended July 5, the highest since 2019 for the week that includes the Independence Day holiday, government data showed on Wednesday. Jet fuel demand on a four-week average basis was at its strongest since January 2020.
"The market will remain rangebound, paralyzed by opposing forces of expected demand recovery fueled by an anticipation of a strong summer for fuels consumption ... but sentiment remains pegged by ongoing economic weakness and uncertain demand recovery," said Emril Jamil, senior oil analyst at LSEG.
The strong fuel demand encouraged US refiners to ramp up activity and draw from crude oil stockpiles. US Gulf Coast refiners' net input of crude rose last week to more than 9.4 million bpd for the first time since January 2019, government data showed.
But weaker demand signs from China, the world's biggest oil importer, could counter the outlook from the US and weigh on prices.
"The recent downside correction is evidently over, although the speed of further ascent might be hindered by falling Chinese crude oil imports, which plummeted 11% in June from the previous year," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.