Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Overshadow China Data Concerns

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
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Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Overshadow China Data Concerns

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo

Oil prices climbed on Wednesday, rebounding from 7-week lows, as the killing of a Hamas leader in Iran ratcheted up tensions in the Middle East and overshadowed concerns about weak China demand.

Brent crude futures climbed $1.80, or 2.29%, to $80.43 a barrel by 1038 GMT ahead of expiry on Wednesday, while the more active October contract was up $1.85 at $79.92.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up $2, or 2.68%, to $76.73 a barrel.

A 0.4% fall in the US dollar index also lent support to prices. A weaker dollar can boost demand for oil by making greenback-denominated commodities like oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.

A day earlier Brent and WTI both fell about 1.4%, closing at their lowest levels in seven weeks.

Tension in the Middle East heated up on news that Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Iran.

This came a day after the Israeli government claimed it killed Hezbollah's most senior commander in an airstrike on Beirut in retaliation for Saturday's rocket attack on Israel.

Separately, the United States also conducted a strike in Iraq in the latest conflict in the region.

"Overnight developments and elevated geopolitical risk merely provide temporary reprieve for oil benchmarks. Unless oil and gas infrastructure is hit, the latest spike is unlikely to last," said Gaurav Sharma, an independent oil analyst in London.

Still, Brent and WTI are on track in July to post their biggest monthly loss since October 2023 on lingering concerns about China's demand outlook and expectations OPEC+ will stick to their current deal on production and start unwinding some output cuts from October.

Top ministers from OPEC+, will hold an online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) on Thursday.

Slowing fuel demand in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, is also weighing on oil markets.

China's manufacturing activity in July shrank for a third month, an official factory survey showed on Wednesday.

"Concerns about Chinese demand remain elevated as today's PMIs declined, with the manufacturing sector further contracting. This suggests that any additional gains due to intensifying tensions in the Middle East may remain limited and short lived," said Charalampos Pissouros, senior investment analyst at brokerage XM.

In the US, crude, gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Data from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

Crude inventories are expected to have fallen by 1.1 million barrels in the week to July 26, forecasts from 10 analysts polled by Reuters showed.



BP Raises Dividend as $2.8 billion Quarterly Profit Beats Forecasts

Logo of British Petrol BP is seen e at petrol station in Pienkow, Poland, June 8, 2022. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
Logo of British Petrol BP is seen e at petrol station in Pienkow, Poland, June 8, 2022. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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BP Raises Dividend as $2.8 billion Quarterly Profit Beats Forecasts

Logo of British Petrol BP is seen e at petrol station in Pienkow, Poland, June 8, 2022. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
Logo of British Petrol BP is seen e at petrol station in Pienkow, Poland, June 8, 2022. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

BP (BP.L), increased its dividend and extended its share repurchasing program on Tuesday as it reported a forecast beating second-quarter profit of nearly $2.8 billion, with weak refining offset by stronger oil prices and retail earnings.

The result, which topped analysts' estimates by 9%, is likely to ease pressure on CEO Murray Auchincloss after BP fell short of profit expectations in the previous two quarters.

The 53-year-old Canadian, who took office in January, has vowed to revamp BP's operations and focus on the most profitable ones, mostly in oil and gas, Reuters reported.

In a sign of change from his predecessor Bernard Looney's strategy to grow renewables and reduce fossil fuel output, BP said it had given a green light to the development of the Kaskida oilfield in the US Gulf of Mexico, a highly complex project in deep geological formations.

The field is expected to start production in 2029 and have a capacity of 80,000 barrels of oil per day (bpd).

The company also announced it would go ahead with the development of a low-carbon hydrogen project at its Castellon refinery in Spain.

BP shares closed 0.3% down, after being up most of the day, compared with a flat performance for the broader European energy index (.SXEP).

The stock has underperformed rivals this year amid investor concern over the British company's energy transition strategy and doubts that it will meet its 2025 earnings targets.

BP is working to exceed its target to reduce annual costs by $2 billion by the end of 2026, Auchincloss said in an analyst presentation posted online. Reuters reported in June that the company had imposed a hiring freeze and suspended investments in new offshore wind projects.

"We are driving focus across the business and reducing costs, all while building momentum in our drive to 2025," Auchincloss said in a statement.