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Most Base Metals Fall as US Recession Jitters Dampen Sentiment

Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
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Most Base Metals Fall as US Recession Jitters Dampen Sentiment

Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Prices of most industrial metals dropped on Tuesday, weighed down by bleak demand outlook following US data that sparked fears of a possible recession in the world's biggest economy.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.3% at $8,858.50 per metric ton, as of 0303 GMT. The contract was hovering near a 4-1/2-month low of $8,714 hit in the previous session, Reuters said.
The most-traded September copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) declined 2.5% to 71,260 yuan ($9,964.90) a ton. The contract tumbled as much as 3.3% earlier in the session to 70,630 yuan, its lowest since March 13.
US data showed job growth fell short of expectations and the unemployment rate rose, pointing to possible weakness in the labor market and greater vulnerability to recession.
On the COMEX, fund managers dropped their bullish bets for copper, with net long positioning down to 9,449 contracts on July 30, an 87% drop from May 21, latest exchange data showed.
LME copper has shed 20% since its record high of $11,104.50 a ton hit on May 20.
Physical demand, however, improved as prices fell.
The premium to import copper into China rose to $48 a ton on Monday, the highest since March 18. Copper stocks in SHFE warehouses eased to 295,141 tons, the lowest since May 17, although inventories outside of China remained elevated.
LME aluminium eased 0.1% to $2,248.50 a ton, nickel edged down 0.4% at $16,205, zinc dipped 0.2% to $2,629, while tin advanced 0.3% to $29,570 and lead rebounded 0.7% to $1,944.50 after tumbling 4.6% in the previous session.
SHFE aluminium fell 0.7% to 18,855 yuan a ton, nickel dropped 1.1% to 128,910 yuan, zinc declined 1.4% to 22,225 yuan, lead shed 3% to 17,345 yuan and tin decreased 1.6% to 243,880 yuan.
SHFE lead hit its lowest since May 7 of 17,075 yuan, tracking losses in the previous session on the LME.

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Saudi Arabia Leads G20 with Booming Job Market Performance

People attend a job fair organized by the Human Resources Development Fund. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People attend a job fair organized by the Human Resources Development Fund. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Leads G20 with Booming Job Market Performance

People attend a job fair organized by the Human Resources Development Fund. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People attend a job fair organized by the Human Resources Development Fund. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has made significant strides in increasing employment and modernizing work patterns in recent years. As a result, the Kingdom led the G20 in workforce participation rates from 2016 to 2021, driven by a strong local market.

According to recent data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), the unemployment rate for Saudis fell to 7.6% in early 2024, down from 7.8% at the end of 2023. This brings it closer to the Vision 2030 goal of 7%.

A new report from the National Labor Observatory showed Saudi Arabia’s workforce participation rose from 55% in 2016 to 61.2% in 2021, the highest increase among G20 countries. Japan followed with a smaller increase of 2.2 percentage points.

The report noted that female workforce growth in Saudi Arabia was 5.5%, significantly higher than Australia’s 2.1% and other G20 nations. Male workforce growth was 1.7%, ahead of Australia’s 1.5% and other G20 countries.

Saudi Arabia’s workforce is growing due to several factors: initiatives promoting female participation, a large young population, and strong economic growth.

For people aged 25 and older, Saudi Arabia’s workforce participation rate is 70%, second only to Indonesia’s 72%.

The report also showed Saudi Arabia has the second-highest male workforce participation rate in the G20, following Indonesia.

Moreover, Saudi Arabia is one of the top ten G20 countries for employment, with a rate of 57%. The Kingdom has also achieved the highest increase in female employment, rising by 10% from 2016 to 2021. Male employment remains high at 76%.

The National Labor Observatory credits this growth to targeted strategies for developing skills, aligning education with job market needs, and supporting job creation and localization.

Additional factors include preparing workers for technological changes, promoting modern work options, like remote and flexible jobs, and improving support programs, such as income assistance and social protection.

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that new policies and programs have significantly improved the Saudi labor market, increasing opportunities for both citizens and residents.

Badr Al-Anzi, a board member of the Saudi Human Resources Society, told Asharq Al-Awsat that new work options like remote and flexible jobs have helped many people join the workforce.

Recent government regulations, including new rules for flexible work, are expected to further increase employment and support the Kingdom’s future goals.

Al-Anzi noted that the latest changes in flexible work regulations are part of ongoing efforts by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development to review rules, support businesses, protect workers, and make the job market more flexible and appealing.

He added that the government’s focus on creating more job opportunities and providing additional work options has led to higher workforce participation, helping Saudi Arabia top the G20 in employment rates from 2016 to 2021.

Majd Al-Mohamade, former vice president of the national labor committee, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia leads the G20 in workforce participation, and that this success is attributed to its attractive job market and modern work patterns, which draw in more talent.

Al-Mohamade also noted that the arrival of foreign companies and their establishment of regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia has created new job opportunities and attracted skilled workers.

He praised initiatives from the Human Resources Development Fund that encourage the private sector to hire local talent.

He added that ongoing efforts by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development to localize various professions are boosting job availability and helping lower the unemployment rate.

Job growth in the tourism sector and increased employment for women are major factors contributing to the overall decrease in unemployment rates, including a significant drop in female unemployment, he remarked.