Gold Firms as US Rate-cut Optimism, Geopolitical Risks Lend Support

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
TT

Gold Firms as US Rate-cut Optimism, Geopolitical Risks Lend Support

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights

Gold prices drifted higher on Wednesday driven by safe-haven demand and rising bets that the US Federal Reserve might reduce interest rates as early as September.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $2,402.43 per ounce, as of 1242 GMT, having settled lower in the previous four sessions. US gold futures gained 0.5% to $2,442.70.

Gold is seeing some "stabilization as some interest develops in the physical gold markets in the far East; geopolitical tensions are still supportive," said StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell, Reuters reported.

"It's possible that some distressed sellers from the weekend/Monday will be looking to re-establish their positions as gold has done its usual job by providing liquidity ahead of potential margin calls."

Prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a US recession.

Bullion is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment.

Traders have altered their rate cut expectations following the soft jobs report last week, with nearly 105 basis points of cuts anticipated by year-end and a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The outlook for looser monetary policy provides a supportive element for gold as a non-yield-bearing asset, and this factor has combined with strong central bank buying to deliver a positive performance for the yellow metal in 2024 so far, Kinesis Money said in a note.

Meanwhile, China's central bank held back on buying gold for its reserves for a third straight month in July, official data showed.

Spot silver edged 0.1% lower to $27.02 per ounce.

The expected economic slowdown will dent industrial demand and that is likely to cap the upside for silver, said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.

Platinum rose 1.8% to $928.25 and palladium was up 2.5% to $896.65.

 

 

 



Egypt Reviews Public Spending Priorities to Contain Impact of Economic Reforms

 Egypt’s Finance Minister, Ahmed Kouchouk, speaks during the news conference. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Egypt’s Finance Minister, Ahmed Kouchouk, speaks during the news conference. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Egypt Reviews Public Spending Priorities to Contain Impact of Economic Reforms

 Egypt’s Finance Minister, Ahmed Kouchouk, speaks during the news conference. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Egypt’s Finance Minister, Ahmed Kouchouk, speaks during the news conference. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Egypt’s Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk said on Tuesday the ministry was working to re-arrange priorities in order to contain the impact of economic reforms.

In his first press conference after assuming office, he stressed that the volume of spending on education was increased during the last fiscal year by 25 percent, the health sector by 24 percent, and the social protection sector by 20 percent.”

He added that fuel subsidies topped EGP 165 billion ($3.35 billion), an increase of 31 percent year-on-year in the fiscal year 2023-2024, while government support for food supplies rose to more than EGP 133 billion, an increase of 10 percent on an annual basis.

This year, Egypt raised the prices of fuel and bread, a heavily subsidized commodity, in implementation of one of the conditions of the International Monetary Fund’s $8 billion loan program.

The government’s priority is to maximize resources to create sufficient financial space to spend on areas of human development, emphasized the minister.

He added: “The budget figures, no matter how much they improve, will be meaningless, if they are not reflected in strengthening the performance of the economy and the competitiveness of the business community, and improving the standard of living.”

Regarding tax revenues, Kouchouk said: “No new taxes were imposed last year, and the 30% increase in tax revenues was spent on health, education, and social protection programs.”

Tax revenues grew by 60%, exceeding the rate of expenditure growth, with non-tax revenues increasing by 190%, mainly due to diversifying state resources, including the treasury’s 50% share from the Ras El-Hikma deal.

Kouchouk also stressed the government’s continued efforts to encourage investment and support economic activities despite global, regional, and local challenges.