Gold Firms as US Rate-cut Optimism, Geopolitical Risks Lend Support

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
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Gold Firms as US Rate-cut Optimism, Geopolitical Risks Lend Support

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO Purchase Licensing Rights

Gold prices drifted higher on Wednesday driven by safe-haven demand and rising bets that the US Federal Reserve might reduce interest rates as early as September.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $2,402.43 per ounce, as of 1242 GMT, having settled lower in the previous four sessions. US gold futures gained 0.5% to $2,442.70.

Gold is seeing some "stabilization as some interest develops in the physical gold markets in the far East; geopolitical tensions are still supportive," said StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell, Reuters reported.

"It's possible that some distressed sellers from the weekend/Monday will be looking to re-establish their positions as gold has done its usual job by providing liquidity ahead of potential margin calls."

Prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a US recession.

Bullion is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment.

Traders have altered their rate cut expectations following the soft jobs report last week, with nearly 105 basis points of cuts anticipated by year-end and a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The outlook for looser monetary policy provides a supportive element for gold as a non-yield-bearing asset, and this factor has combined with strong central bank buying to deliver a positive performance for the yellow metal in 2024 so far, Kinesis Money said in a note.

Meanwhile, China's central bank held back on buying gold for its reserves for a third straight month in July, official data showed.

Spot silver edged 0.1% lower to $27.02 per ounce.

The expected economic slowdown will dent industrial demand and that is likely to cap the upside for silver, said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.

Platinum rose 1.8% to $928.25 and palladium was up 2.5% to $896.65.

 

 

 



Maersk Sees Sustained Global Demand, but at Slower Pace

FILE PHOTO: A view of the sign for A.P. Moller-Maersk outside their offices in Copenhagen, Denmark, January 25, 2024. REUTERS/Tom Little/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the sign for A.P. Moller-Maersk outside their offices in Copenhagen, Denmark, January 25, 2024. REUTERS/Tom Little/File Photo
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Maersk Sees Sustained Global Demand, but at Slower Pace

FILE PHOTO: A view of the sign for A.P. Moller-Maersk outside their offices in Copenhagen, Denmark, January 25, 2024. REUTERS/Tom Little/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the sign for A.P. Moller-Maersk outside their offices in Copenhagen, Denmark, January 25, 2024. REUTERS/Tom Little/File Photo

Shipping company Maersk on Wednesday said the global demand for container transport was expected to continue to grow in the next few quarters albeit at a slower pace as substantial market risks persisted.

The Danish company also confirmed preliminary second-quarter earnings released last week when it raised its outlook for the third time since May, citing higher freight rates due to the Red Sea crisis and solid container shipping demand.

Maersk, viewed as a barometer of world trade, on Wednesday said global container demand was estimated to have grown 5%-7% in the second quarter, boosted by strong Chinese exports which grew 10% compared to a year ago, among other factors, Reuters reported.

"Global container demand growth is expected to remain positive in coming quarters, but likely at a slower pace," the company said in its earnings report.

Maersk last week also cautioned that prospects for the fourth quarter were uncertain.

"A healthy, albeit cooling labor market, and wage gains are expected to continue to support US consumers. Declining consumer confidence and savings, however, are clouds at the horizon," Maersk said on Wednesday.
For the full year, it expects global container market volumes to increase by 4-6%.

Shipping disruptions caused by Houthi militants' attacks on vessels in the Red Sea were expected to last at least until the end of the year, Maersk has said.

The attacks have drawn US and British retaliatory strikes and disrupted global trade but Maersk and rivals have benefited from longer sailing times and soaring freight rates as ships are rerouted around Africa.