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Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher on US Demand Optimism

File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
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Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher on US Demand Optimism

File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif

Oil prices were set for a second straight week of gains despite edging lower on Friday, as recent US economic data boosted optimism over demand in the world's top oil consumer.
Brent crude futures looked set for a 1.3% weekly rise, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures had increased about 1.2%. On Friday, Brent fell 30 cents, or 0.4%, to $80.74 per barrel by 0528 GMT, while the WTI fell 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $77.76.
US retail sales data on Thursday beat analysts' expectations, while separate data showed fewer Americans had filed new applications for unemployment benefits last week, sparking renewed optimism around US economic growth.
"Crude oil reversed recent losses as positive economic data and supply side concerns boosted investor sentiment," analysts at ANZ Research said.
Analysts at consultancy FGE said oil markets would now return their focus to geopolitics, amid warnings of retaliatory attacks from Iran against Israel over the killing of a Hamas leader in Tehran.
A fresh round of negotiations began on Thursday to secure a ceasefire in the Gaza war, even as Israeli troops continued their assault on the Palestinian enclave.
The talks, which have been boycotted by Hamas, were extended and will resume in the Qatari capital Doha on Friday.
Keeping a lid on oil prices, Chinese refineries sharply lowered crude processing rates last month on tepid fuel demand.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Monday pared its demand outlook for this year citing softer expectations for China.
"Despite crude oil inventories rising last week, gasoline and distillate demand remains strong. This doesn't appear to be the case in China, with apparent oil demand falling 8% y/y in July," ANZ analysts said.

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Iraqi Central Bank Discusses Foreign Transfer Mechanisms with US Delegation

The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq meets a US delegation in Baghdad. (Central Bank of Iraq)
The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq meets a US delegation in Baghdad. (Central Bank of Iraq)
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Iraqi Central Bank Discusses Foreign Transfer Mechanisms with US Delegation

The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq meets a US delegation in Baghdad. (Central Bank of Iraq)
The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq meets a US delegation in Baghdad. (Central Bank of Iraq)

Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq Ali Mohsen Al-Alaq held talks with Steve Lutes, Vice President of Middle East Affairs at the US Chamber of Commerce and Chairman of the US-Iraq Business Council mechanisms for international trade and Iraq’s shift to fully utilizing correspondent banks for foreign transfers. 

Sunday's discussions in Baghdad follow the US blacklisting of 14 Iraqi banks - half of the country’s total banks - on suspicions of involvement in money laundering and transferring funds to Iran and Syria. The move has prevented these banks from conducting dollar transactions.

According to a statement by the Central Bank of Iraq on Sunday, the meeting, which was also attended by the Directors General of the Investments Department and the Banking Supervision Department, addressed “banking and economic relations” between Iraq and the US. They covered a visit by a Central Bank delegation to Washington in April, during which the delegation will meet with officials from the US Chamber of Commerce and American companies.

The two sides also touched on US companies’ interest in investing in Iraq’s energy, infrastructure, and advanced technology sectors, as well as opportunities arising from Iraq’s current security stability.

Al-Alaq emphasized the Central Bank’s role in supporting Iraq’s economic growth and pledged full support to global firms, including US companies and banks, looking to invest in the country. He stressed the importance of diversifying investment sectors to bolster economic development.

Since the beginning of 2023, the Central Bank of Iraq has implemented a monitoring system for dollar transactions through a specialized platform, which was designed to regulate financial transfers by Iraqi banks and provide proactive oversight, replacing the US Federal Reserve’s previous practice of auditing daily transfers. However, the Central Bank decided to discontinue the platform at the beginning of 2024.

The closure triggered significant withdrawals of deposits by individuals and companies, amid concerns that the banks holding their funds might face bankruptcy due to non-compliance with the Central Bank’s requirements and the US Treasury Department’s standards.

According to Central Bank data, the total volume of deposits in Iraq’s commercial banks fell to its lowest level in 22 months, dropping to 123 trillion Iraqi dinars in November 2024, compared to 127.5 trillion dinars in October.

Between June and November 2024, deposits decreased by 7 trillion dinars, reflecting a continued trend of declining savings in the banking sector over recent months.