Gold Climbs as Traders Position for Powell's Speech

A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
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Gold Climbs as Traders Position for Powell's Speech

A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)

Gold prices gained on Friday as investors positioned themselves for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech that could shed more light on a potential US September interest rate cut.

Spot gold rose 0.7% to $2,500.83 per ounce by 1219 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,531.60 on Tuesday. US gold futures gained 0.8% to $2,536.50.

Bullion fell more than 1% in the previous session, setting it on course for a 0.3% weekly decline, pressured by a rebound in the dollar and higher Treasury yields, Reuters reported.

"I think it's position-taking ahead of the expected rate cut, which I think is now looking like almost a certainty in September," said independent analyst Ross Norman.

Traders are expecting a 74% chance of a 25 basis points cut in September, while 26% expect a deeper 50 bps cut. Gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment as it yields no interest by itself.

"If Powell now hints at stronger interest rate cuts as a result, we could see new record highs for gold," Commerzbank said in a note.

"Given that the market has already priced in Fed rate cuts of around 100 basis points by the end of the year, the bar for a dovish surprise is likely to be set quite high."

Powell is expected to deliver speech at the annual central banking conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming at 1400 GMT.

Meanwhile, India's silver imports are on course to nearly double this year due to rising demand from solar panel and electronics makers and as investors bet the metal will give better returns than gold, leading importers said on Friday.

Spot silver rose nearly 1.5% to $29.41 per ounce and was up 1.3% for the week.

Platinum gained 0.3% to $946.35 and palladium steadied at $933.71. Both metals were on track for a weekly decline.



Minister: Israel-Hezbollah Conflict Cost Lebanon $10 Billion

Empty tables stand at an empty restaurant at the Hilton Beirut Metropolitan Palace, with a general view visible in the background, in Beirut, Lebanon, August 19, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky
Empty tables stand at an empty restaurant at the Hilton Beirut Metropolitan Palace, with a general view visible in the background, in Beirut, Lebanon, August 19, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky
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Minister: Israel-Hezbollah Conflict Cost Lebanon $10 Billion

Empty tables stand at an empty restaurant at the Hilton Beirut Metropolitan Palace, with a general view visible in the background, in Beirut, Lebanon, August 19, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky
Empty tables stand at an empty restaurant at the Hilton Beirut Metropolitan Palace, with a general view visible in the background, in Beirut, Lebanon, August 19, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky

Lebanon’s hopes of boosting its economy with tourism revenue have been thwarted, after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut’s southern suburbs and threat of all-out war triggered a series of travel bans and sent holidaymakers packing, Bloomberg reported Thursday.

Summer-season income from visitors — mostly from among Lebanon’s large diaspora — had been expected to surpass the $5 billion to $7 billion pumped in last year, according to Minister of Economy and Trade Amin Salam. But, he said in an interview, that all changed after the strike late last month, which has raised fears of a wider conflict on Lebanese soil between Israel and Hezbollah.

The rocket attack in Beirut’s southern suburbs killed Fouad Shukr, a senior commander of Hezbollah, which has been trading fire with Israel since the Israel-Hamas war began in October.

The conflict has already cost Lebanon more than $10 billion, Salam said, basing his estimate on lost revenue and damage to infrastructure.

“We had dreamed” the growth in spending by tourists and returning Lebanese would continue, he said in his Beirut office. But “everyone who had booked canceled, and everyone who was here left. That sector froze. Hotels and stores are empty.”

Governments issued travel warnings around the time of Israel’s strike and airlines suspended flights. Tourist spending in Lebanon was a significant boost to a economy that’s been in meltdown over the past five years because of a banking and debt crisis.

“This money is what kept the country alive,” Salam said.