Pakistan Eyes $4 Billion from Middle East Banks

Laborers busy in unloading fruits from truck at market in Peshawar (AFP)
Laborers busy in unloading fruits from truck at market in Peshawar (AFP)
TT

Pakistan Eyes $4 Billion from Middle East Banks

Laborers busy in unloading fruits from truck at market in Peshawar (AFP)
Laborers busy in unloading fruits from truck at market in Peshawar (AFP)

State Bank of Pakistan Governor Jameel Ahmad said his country aims to raise up to $4 billion from Middle Eastern commercial banks by the next fiscal year, as the country looks to plug its external financing gap.

In a wide-ranging interview with Reuters, Ahmad said Pakistan was also in the “advanced stages” of securing $2 billion in additional external financing required for International Monetary Fund approval of a $7 billion bailout program.

This came as Pakistan is making good progress with the International Monetary Fund and hopes to get board approval in September for a new $7 billion loan program, Pakistan's Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said last Wednesday.

Pakistan and the IMF reached an agreement on the 37-month loan program in July. The IMF said the program was subject to approval from its executive board and obtaining “timely confirmation of necessary financing assurances from Pakistan's development and bilateral partners.”

In his interview with Reuters on Tuesday, Ahmad said he expected the country's gross financing needs would be smoothly met - both over the next fiscal year and in the medium term.

In addition, Ahmad said the central bank reckoned Pakistan's gross financing needs for the coming years would be lower than the 5.5% of gross domestic product projected by the IMF in its latest country report in May.

Asked about monetary policy, Ahmad said recent interest rate cuts in Pakistan have had the desired effect, with inflation continuing to slow and the current account remaining under control, despite the cuts.

Pakistan's annual consumer price index inflation was 11.1% in July, having fallen from highs of over 30% in 2023.

“The Monetary Policy Committee will review all these developments,” Ahmad said, adding that future rate decisions could not be pre-determined.

Pakistan's central bank cut rates for two straight meetings from a historic high of 22% to 19.5%, and will meet again to review monetary policy on September 12.

There have been some concerns in markets that the government might take advantage of lower interest rates to borrow more, but the central bank chief said this was not his expectation.

“We understand that the government will continue on the path of fiscal consolidation, notwithstanding the reduction in interest rates,” said Ahmad.



Gold Holds above $2,500/Oz Level on Fed Optimism, Middle East Concerns

A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
TT

Gold Holds above $2,500/Oz Level on Fed Optimism, Middle East Concerns

A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A jeweller shows a gold bar at his shop in downtown Kuwait City on May 20, 2024. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)

Gold prices were little changed on Tuesday, but held above the $2,500 per-ounce psychological level on investor optimism for imminent US rate cuts and lingering concerns about the Middle East conflict.
Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $2,513.74 per ounce, as of 0722 GMT. Prices have risen more than 21% this year, hitting a record high of $2,531.60 on Aug. 20.
US gold futures fell 0.3% to $2,548.20.
A September US rate cut has been set in stone, but the debate revolving around its size may prompt a wait-and-see mode as investors look forward to upcoming economic data to anchor their views, said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.
Traders see a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point (bp) rate cut and about 30% probability of a bigger 50-bp reduction, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
A low interest rate environment tends to boost non-yielding bullion's appeal.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said a quarter-percentage point cut in borrowing costs next month was likely.
"We expect the upward trend for gold prices to persist, given its positive performance in past Fed rate-easing cycles, healthy central bank demand and its status as a good hedge against geopolitical and economic risks," Yeap said.
Residents of Lebanese cities felt only partial relief on Monday that one of the biggest exchanges of fire between armed group Hezbollah and the Israeli military the previous day was over, worn down by the relentless tension of 10 months of conflict.
ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari said gold prices can hit $2,550 levels in mid-longer term, but in the near-term the market might look for an opportunity to correct.
Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.2% to $29.96 per ounce, platinum fell 0.7% to $955.17 and palladium gained 0.7% to $965.07.