Gold Dips to One-week Low as US Jobs Data Awaited

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Dips to One-week Low as US Jobs Data Awaited

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices fell to their lowest in more than a week on Monday as the US dollar firmed, while market focus shifted to a series of economic data due this week for clues to the extent of rate cuts at the Federal Reserve's September meeting.

Spot gold fell 0.1% to $2,501.06 per ounce, as of 10:34 GMT after dipping to its lowest since Aug. 23 earlier in the session.

US gold futures rose 0.2% to $2,533.40. Trading is expected to be light with U.S. markets closed for a holiday.

"To move higher from here we need to have more clarity whether it will be 25 (bps) rate cut or 50 (bps) rate cut and probably by the end of the week, with the employment data, we might get more clarity on that side," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Traders await a slew of US economic data pending this week including the ISM surveys, JOLTS job openings, ADP employment and the non-farm payrolls report, Reuters reported.

The markets broadly expect the Fed to cut rates at its Sept. 17-18 meeting, which would mark its first cut in this policy cycle.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, investors now see a 71% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and a 29% chance of a 50 bp cut in September. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

"With earnings season now largely completed and a Fed rate cut on Sept. 18 all-but guaranteed, investors appear content to remain long despite some recent firming of both short rates and the US dollar," Mike Ingram, market analyst at Kinesis Money, said in a note.

"High levels of geopolitical risk and portfolio diversification remain as additional supports."

The dollar hovered near a two-week peak hit earlier in the session, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Spot silver fell 0.7% to $28.62 per ounce, and hit its lowest in over two weeks.

Platinum was steady at $926.40 and palladium rose 0.5% at $969.99.



Oil Extends Losses on Weak China Data, Expected OPEC+ Supply Boost

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
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Oil Extends Losses on Weak China Data, Expected OPEC+ Supply Boost

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

Oil prices slipped on Monday, extending losses from the end of last week on expectations of higher OPEC+ production from October while signs of sluggish demand in China and the United States raised concerns about future consumption growth.

Brent crude futures were down 8 cents, or 0.1%, at $76.85 a barrel by 1020 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 11 cents, or 0.2%, to $73.44.

Brent and WTI had lost 1.4% and 3.1% respectively on Friday, Reuters reported

With momentum skewed to the downside, there is a real risk that prices could revisit a range at multi-month lows, said Chris Weston, head of research at brokerage Pepperstone.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, together known as OPEC+, is set to proceed with planned increases to oil output from October, six sources from the producer group told Reuters.

Eight OPEC+ members are scheduled to boost output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) in October as part of a plan to begin unwinding their most recent layer of supply cuts of 2.2 million bpd while keeping other cuts in place until the end of 2025.

There are fears for an even larger jump in production, which could tilt the demand-supply balance even more negatively and apply stronger downside pressure to prices, said Achilleas Georgolopoulos, investment analyst at brokerage XM.

"These stronger production increases could also come at a period when the global economy is probably slowing down, with China continuing to disappoint," he added.

More pessimism about Chinese demand growth surfaced after an official survey showed on Saturday that manufacturing activity sank to a six-month low in August as factory gate prices tumbled and owners struggled for orders.

"The softer than expected China PMI released over the weekend heightens concerns that the Chinese economy will miss growth targets," said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore.

In the US, oil consumption in June dropped to seasonal lows last registered during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, Energy Information Administration data showed on Friday.