Gold Eases on Firmer Dollar, All Eyes on US Inflation Print

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. Reuters
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. Reuters
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Gold Eases on Firmer Dollar, All Eyes on US Inflation Print

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. Reuters
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. Reuters

Gold prices dipped on Monday as the dollar ticked higher, while investors looked towards this week's US inflation data to gauge the size of an expected Federal Reserve rate cut.

Spot gold fell 0.1% to $2,495.04 per ounce by 1027 GMT. US gold futures were unchanged at $2,524.50.

The dollar index rose 0.5%, making dollar-priced gold less appealing to holders of other currencies.

Bullion, which offers no interest of its own, tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment.

According to Reuters, traders see a 75% chance of a 25-basis point cut at the Fed's meeting next week, and a 25% chance of a 50 bp reduction. August US consumer price data on Wednesday could change these expectations. Eyes are also on Thursday's Producer Price Index (PPI).

"If inflation numbers comes much lower than expected and raise hopes for a 50 bp cut, then gold could hit all-time highs. But even if the consensus stays for a 25 bp cut, gold wouldn't see a dramatic loss in prices as the Fed is definitely cutting rates," said Kinesis Money market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa.

"The key support area is at $2,470 and key resistance at $2,520," he added.

Last week, a report showed US employment increased less than expected in August, but a drop in the jobless rate to 4.2% suggested the labour market was not falling off a cliff to warrant a half-point cut.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Friday said he could support back-to-back cuts, or bigger cuts, if the data suggests the need. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said he wants to calibrate policy based on data as it comes in.

On the central bank front, the People's Bank of China held back on buying gold for its reserves for a fourth straight month in August, official data showed on Saturday.

Spot silver rose 0.7% to $28.11 per ounce, platinum gained 1.9% to $939.65 and palladium was up 1.4% at $923.25.



Saudi Non-Oil Sector Grows 4.9% in Q2, Exceeding Estimates

Data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) show a 0.3% contraction in real GDP in the second quarter (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) show a 0.3% contraction in real GDP in the second quarter (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Non-Oil Sector Grows 4.9% in Q2, Exceeding Estimates

Data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) show a 0.3% contraction in real GDP in the second quarter (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) show a 0.3% contraction in real GDP in the second quarter (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia's non-oil economy grew by 4.9% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, beating the July estimate of 4.4%.

According to the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), this is the highest growth rate in a year, up from 3.4% in the first quarter of 2024 and 4.2% and 3.2% in the last two quarters of 2023.

The IMF forecasts that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP growth will stay strong.

Its latest report says that smart economic policies, transformative reforms, and increased investment have driven this growth, pushing employment above pre-COVID levels. Continuing these efforts is key to maintaining growth and diversifying the economy.

The IMF also predicts that reform momentum will rise in 2025 with more investment, especially from the Public Investment Fund, which plans to boost its annual investments from $40 billion to $70 billion.

This is in preparation for major events like the 2027 AFC Asian Cup, the 2029 Winter Asian Games, and Expo 2030. Full execution of the national investment strategy could push non-oil GDP growth to 8%.

Saudi authorities project non-oil growth to stay at 4% in 2024 and are confident that Vision 2030 will help sustain this growth long-term.

The General Authority for Statistics reported a 0.3% decline in real GDP in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the same period last year, better than the 0.4% drop expected.

Compared to the first quarter of 2024, seasonally adjusted real GDP grew by 1.4%. Non-oil sectors grew 4.9% year-on-year and 2.1% quarter-on-quarter.

Oil sector activity fell 8.9% year-on-year, slightly worse than the July estimate of 8.5%, but rose 0.9% quarter-on-quarter.

Government activities grew 3.6% year-on-year and 2.3% quarter-on-quarter.